{"ticker":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-MPEL-P1","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 0% and 3%?","description":"If the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":26,"bestBid":20,"bestAsk":26,"spread":6,"volume":5875.27,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1840.53,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":341,"iyYes":427.76862990981704,"iyNo":26.735539369363565,"cri":4,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.28,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":877,"askDepthUsd":1001,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T06:43:52.882Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P1","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P4","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P56","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-MPEL-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-MPEL-P4","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-MPEL-P56","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-MPEL-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T18:31:25.803Z","priceCents":14,"iy":612.9221723570734,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T18:45:27.589Z","priceCents":15,"iy":565.4242823531126,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T01:45:50.731Z","priceCents":17,"iy":490.2365336660372,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T05:30:37.910Z","priceCents":18,"iy":457.6192302211557,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T05:45:26.167Z","priceCents":19,"iy":428.25997241695796,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T21:00:51.836Z","priceCents":20,"iy":402.5276530983601,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T23:00:44.199Z","priceCents":22,"iy":357.8553716265815,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T23:45:33.673Z","priceCents":23,"iy":337.93699594271186,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T02:15:24.393Z","priceCents":24,"iy":319.74232503155935,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T15:01:36.524Z","priceCents":23,"iy":338.53243509313586,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T15:15:26.171Z","priceCents":22,"iy":358.52557961005715,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T15:30:27.990Z","priceCents":23,"iy":338.55119362634764,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T00:15:26.674Z","priceCents":22,"iy":358.89845026968436,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T00:30:26.846Z","priceCents":23,"iy":338.90330144028775,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T20:15:26.187Z","priceCents":22,"iy":362.7556586442495,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T03:15:57.197Z","priceCents":23,"iy":348.6851140797696,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T04:01:56.707Z","priceCents":25,"iy":313.3809367084985,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T03:31:12.004Z","priceCents":20,"iy":425.11435867422557,"cri":4}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 428%","9 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.30)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P1","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alas"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P10","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alas"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P4","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alas"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Mary%20Peltola%20in%20the%202026%20Alas","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":126}