{"ticker":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49-1490","venue":"kalshi","title":"next Claude Opus debut score?","description":"If A model called Opus 4.9 or greater scores Above 1490 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":99,"bestBid":65,"bestAsk":100,"spread":35,"volume":1308,"volume24h":1003,"openInterest":1299,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":158,"iyYes":124.2490953644632,"iyNo":428.5325942162099,"cri":1.857,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":5.41,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":35,"bidDepthUsd":384,"askDepthUsd":0,"volume24h":1003},"computedAt":"2026-07-27T10:44:47.839Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49-1460","connectedTitle":"next Claude Opus debut score?: Above 1460","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARENASCORE-OPUS49","groupLabel":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49-1465","connectedTitle":"next Claude Opus debut score?: Above 1465","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARENASCORE-OPUS49","groupLabel":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49-1470","connectedTitle":"next Claude Opus debut score?: Above 1470","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARENASCORE-OPUS49","groupLabel":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49-1475","connectedTitle":"next Claude Opus debut score?: Above 1475","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARENASCORE-OPUS49","groupLabel":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49-1480","connectedTitle":"next Claude Opus debut score?: Above 1480","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARENASCORE-OPUS49","groupLabel":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49-1485","connectedTitle":"next Claude Opus debut score?: Above 1485","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARENASCORE-OPUS49","groupLabel":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49-1495","connectedTitle":"next Claude Opus debut score?: Above 1495","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARENASCORE-OPUS49","groupLabel":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49-1500","connectedTitle":"next Claude Opus debut score?: Above 1500","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARENASCORE-OPUS49","groupLabel":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49-1505","connectedTitle":"next Claude Opus debut score?: Above 1505","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARENASCORE-OPUS49","groupLabel":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49-1510","connectedTitle":"next Claude Opus debut score?: Above 1510","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARENASCORE-OPUS49","groupLabel":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49-1515","connectedTitle":"next Claude Opus debut score?: Above 1515","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARENASCORE-OPUS49","groupLabel":"KXARENASCORE-OPUS49"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T23:46:25.364Z","priceCents":36,"iy":401.4556893282904,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T00:02:29.698Z","priceCents":38,"iy":368.4663171636918,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T16:31:00.062Z","priceCents":36,"iy":403.1943486512666,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T16:46:51.574Z","priceCents":32,"iy":481.976187813032,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T17:31:32.829Z","priceCents":38,"iy":370.13351302991,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T19:15:58.215Z","priceCents":46,"iy":266.43012825954486,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T23:16:01.598Z","priceCents":44,"iy":289.1553720654408,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T15:31:23.271Z","priceCents":47,"iy":257.2827167990918,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T21:02:45.339Z","priceCents":45,"iy":279.25927780699055,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T04:46:01.471Z","priceCents":43,"iy":303.4870154819952,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T11:16:42.877Z","priceCents":45,"iy":280.2997776451328,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-27T00:16:35.081Z","priceCents":44,"iy":292.8798109521001,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-27T01:00:58.146Z","priceCents":42,"iy":317.84467379707735,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-27T04:46:55.951Z","priceCents":66,"iy":447.2305125198553,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-27T05:00:59.046Z","priceCents":65,"iy":427.89689353167796,"cri":1.857}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 124%","11 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXARENASCORE-OPUS49-1460","reason":"next Claude Opus debut score?: Above 1460"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXARENASCORE-OPUS49-1465","reason":"next Claude Opus debut score?: Above 1465"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXARENASCORE-OPUS49-1470","reason":"next Claude Opus debut score?: Above 1470"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=next%20Claude%20Opus%20debut%20score%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":184}