{"ticker":"KXARREST-27JAN-HCLIN","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before Jan 2027?","description":"If Hillary Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":10,"bestBid":7,"bestAsk":9,"spread":2,"volume":127158.56,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":53128.44,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":189,"iyYes":2566.139806048363,"iyNo":14.53819522446177,"cri":13.286,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2857,"cvr":null,"overround":1.5,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T05:51:06.361Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-AFAU","connectedTitle":"Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before Jan 2027?: Anthony Fauci","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-ASCH","connectedTitle":"Will Adam Schiff be arrested before Jan 2027?: Adam Schiff","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-BCLIN","connectedTitle":"Will Bill Clinton be arrested before Jan 2027?: Bill Clinton","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-BJOH","connectedTitle":"Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before Jan 2027?: Brandon Johnson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-BNET","connectedTitle":"Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before Jan 2027?: Benjamin Netanyahu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-BOM","connectedTitle":"Will Barack Obama be arrested before Jan 2027?: Barack Obama","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-COWE","connectedTitle":"Will Candace Owens be arrested before Jan 2027?: Candace Owens","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-GNEW","connectedTitle":"Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before Jan 2027?: Gavin Newsom","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-JBID","connectedTitle":"Will Joe Biden be arrested before Jan 2027?: Joe Biden","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-JBRE","connectedTitle":"Will John Brennan be arrested before Jan 2027?: John Brennan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-JCLA","connectedTitle":"Will James Clapper be arrested before Jan 2027?: James Clapper","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-JKER","connectedTitle":"Will John Kerry be arrested before Jan 2027?: John Kerry","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-JZAP","connectedTitle":"Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before Jan 2027?: José Luis Rodríg","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-KPAT","connectedTitle":"Will Kash Patel be arrested before Jan 2027?: Kash Patel","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-LCOO","connectedTitle":"Will Lisa Cook be arrested before Jan 2027?: Lisa Cook","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-LJAE","connectedTitle":"Will Lee Jae Myung be arrested before Jan 2027?: Lee Jae Myung","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-LJAM","connectedTitle":"Will Letitia James be arrested before Jan 2027?: Letitia James","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-LJUN","connectedTitle":"Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested before Jan 2027?: Lee Jun-seok","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-LLYN","connectedTitle":"Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before Jan 2027?: Loretta Lynch","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-MKHA","connectedTitle":"Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before Jan 2027?: Mahmoud Khalil","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-PBON","connectedTitle":"Will Pam Bondi be arrested before Jan 2027?: Pam Bondi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-SRIC","connectedTitle":"Will Susan Rice be arrested before Jan 2027?: Susan Rice","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXARREST-27JAN-THOM","connectedTitle":"Will Tom Homan be arrested before Jan 2027?: Tom Homan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXARREST-27JAN","groupLabel":"KXARREST-27JAN"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T20:00:24.583Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1682.3121954085516,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:15:43.825Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1930.35544293552,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T19:15:25.450Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1713.3100696620581,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T02:45:58.113Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1969.8064685675668,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T18:01:41.142Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1745.30661487759,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T20:15:26.268Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1985.910561874302,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T10:00:24.465Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1759.1581886523045,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T15:45:23.842Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1575.1542788095,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T17:45:29.411Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1770.322330312353,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T19:45:23.467Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1584.0180534660342,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T22:46:11.914Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1789.2821915919094,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T04:45:28.515Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1594.5905275983089,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T16:45:33.438Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1795.812132585705,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T17:15:25.429Z","priceCents":8,"iy":2052.6776501425506,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T21:00:34.600Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2396.6973658569646,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T06:02:24.413Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2831.4748427050117,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T01:30:46.111Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2410.840793599499,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T04:00:43.038Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2844.3759119246583,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T19:30:31.869Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2419.8636264805577,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T02:30:40.456Z","priceCents":8,"iy":2097.669700104446,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T02:45:36.237Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2423.5159222390157,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T14:30:25.067Z","priceCents":8,"iy":2102.9243047449186,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T15:15:25.250Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2429.8427205648654,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T20:00:34.520Z","priceCents":8,"iy":2148.4434981113145,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T13:45:34.310Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1896.1515231437243,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T15:00:50.756Z","priceCents":8,"iy":2157.1882291270517,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T20:45:37.419Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2495.2201593500736,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T11:30:59.893Z","priceCents":8,"iy":2166.6976379253383,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T18:31:11.843Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2506.9199705772003,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T08:31:07.763Z","priceCents":8,"iy":2176.5282365324883,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T16:17:41.363Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2518.7300169250934,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T16:45:58.275Z","priceCents":8,"iy":2203.307980200411,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T17:01:28.076Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2545.583530685736,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T09:16:23.305Z","priceCents":8,"iy":2211.2937978411237,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T10:30:56.228Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2555.362421831655,"cri":13.286}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 2566%","23 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 13.3","illiquid (LAS 0.29)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXARREST-27JAN-AFAU","reason":"Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before Jan 2027?: Anthony Fau"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXARREST-27JAN-ASCH","reason":"Will Adam Schiff be arrested before Jan 2027?: Adam Schiff"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXARREST-27JAN-BCLIN","reason":"Will Bill Clinton be arrested before Jan 2027?: Bill Clinton"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Hillary%20Clinton%20be%20arrested%20before%20Jan%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":123}