{"ticker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-VITI","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?","description":"If Vitinha wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":4,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":4,"spread":1,"volume":19424.4,"volume24h":1336.12,"openInterest":11797.99,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-31T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":250,"iyYes":4714.895634410149,"iyNo":4.509943746380204,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3333,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.15,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":2163,"askDepthUsd":12766,"volume24h":1336.12},"computedAt":"2026-04-24T21:43:37.014Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-KMBA","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Kylian Mbappe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-LYAM","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Lamine Yamal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-HKAN","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Harry Kane","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-EHAA","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Erling Haaland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-DRIC","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Declan Rice","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-MOLI","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Michael Olise","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-RAPH","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Raphinha","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-LMES","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Lionel Messi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-VJUN","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Vinicius Junior","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-BSAK","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Bukayo Saka","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-LDIA","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Luis Diaz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-PEDR","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Pedri","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-CRON","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Cristiano Ronaldo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-RCHE","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Rayan Cherki","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-JBEL","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Jude Bellingham","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-ODEM","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Ousmane Dembele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-DDOU","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Desire Doue","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-MSAL","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Mohamed Salah","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-CPAL","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Cole Palmer","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-SMCT","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Scott McTominay","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-NMEN","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Nuno Mendes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-BFER","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Bruno Fernandes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-BBAR","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Bradley Barcola","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-LMAR","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Lautaro Martinez","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-TREI","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Tijjani Reijnders","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-PFOD","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Phil Foden","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-GDON","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Gianluigi Donnarumma","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-RODR","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Rodri","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBALLONDOR-26-MRAS","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Marcus Rashford","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBALLONDOR-26","groupLabel":"KXBALLONDOR-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T06:22:45.314Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3281.6117358827014,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T08:07:45.096Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4422.26960293877,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T10:38:06.744Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3283.789102768354,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T11:23:40.810Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2599.978255408966,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T17:10:46.036Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3312.0094369583953,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T02:50:54.803Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2646.047716615348,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T15:05:34.773Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3348.8926863394995,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T00:45:17.572Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4624.912478707507,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T01:55:19.372Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7010.206641372174,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T11:55:52.819Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4633.355711636587,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 4715%","29 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 0.33)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBALLONDOR-26-KMBA","reason":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Kylian Mbappe"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBALLONDOR-26-LYAM","reason":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Lamine Yamal"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBALLONDOR-26-HKAN","reason":"Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?: Harry Kane"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20win%20the%20Ballon%20d'Or%20in%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2056}