{"ticker":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-LSIL","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","description":"If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":19,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":27,"spread":27,"volume":369.34,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":367.67,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":466,"iyYes":334.0559442297754,"iyNo":18.380459665744382,"cri":4.263,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.37,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":27,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":74,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-25T19:05:45.654Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-EBOL","connectedTitle":"Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3","groupLabel":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-FBOL","connectedTitle":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presid","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3","groupLabel":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-MBOL","connectedTitle":"Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian pres","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3","groupLabel":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-RCAI","connectedTitle":"Will Ronaldo Caiado finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presiden","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3","groupLabel":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-RSAN","connectedTitle":"Will Renan Santos finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidenti","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3","groupLabel":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-RZEM","connectedTitle":"Will Romeu Zema finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3","groupLabel":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T17:45:44.693Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1204.2576879796761,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T18:16:09.294Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1844.9018790199275,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T21:15:51.851Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1460.9319207831518,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T11:00:43.763Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1847.6179227375117,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T07:01:43.257Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1024.5907824559388,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T09:30:56.982Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1851.2765566256046,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T12:45:56.873Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2500.082971260874,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T13:15:33.741Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1855.8103175427036,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T13:31:32.086Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2500.247164668164,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T14:01:12.098Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1855.936135457914,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T14:46:14.171Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2500.5226343028903,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T15:00:33.867Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1469.4104136385015,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T15:16:31.592Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2500.6338988629377,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T15:30:36.587Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1469.4757986765178,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T15:47:21.492Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2500.75047235613,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T16:01:34.333Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1856.262555200502,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T16:45:48.509Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2500.962452009847,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T17:00:40.197Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1469.6688741721853,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T17:15:51.761Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2501.0737557149237,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T18:00:45.561Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1469.799696078909,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T18:15:34.866Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2501.291091503947,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T18:31:47.664Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1856.6756603809577,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T19:01:34.325Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1469.9305412778112,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T19:16:16.391Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1856.797659926237,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T19:30:35.276Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2501.5720937462465,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T19:45:44.959Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1856.8763778192301,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T20:16:00.282Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1470.0925723758262,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T20:46:07.066Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1857.0417071216277,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T21:01:26.295Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1470.192301577038,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T21:15:38.019Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1857.1243828135432,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T21:45:45.837Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2502.065325777315,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T22:01:25.634Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1470.3200993923665,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T22:31:01.945Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2502.235085003905,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T22:45:33.695Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1470.4167417600472,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T23:01:02.969Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2502.34650201573,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T23:15:36.542Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1470.4822163888264,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T23:31:22.653Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2502.4579289501266,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T23:45:34.134Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1857.533932861599,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T00:16:07.058Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1470.6131831406444,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T20:15:56.318Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1030.1431821637286,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T21:45:34.151Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1473.409578118327,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T20:46:02.594Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2512.500408046246,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T01:15:56.034Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1477.0057781062376,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T05:15:55.731Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2514.395366211867,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T13:01:52.564Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1867.6445505713798,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T02:15:57.649Z","priceCents":16,"iy":409.9026928975869,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T02:31:04.379Z","priceCents":17,"iy":381.20699231395093,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T03:31:12.004Z","priceCents":20,"iy":312.34155618832057,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T04:15:57.554Z","priceCents":18,"iy":355.74592062955503,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T06:31:08.877Z","priceCents":19,"iy":332.9793867007369,"cri":4.263}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 334%","6 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 17c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-LSIL","marketTitle":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":17},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-EBOL","reason":"Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish 3rd in the first round of the "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-FBOL","reason":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish 3rd in the first round of the 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-MBOL","reason":"Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish 3rd in the first round of the"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Luiz%20In%C3%A1cio%20Lula%20da%20Silva%20finish%203rd%20in%20the%20first%20round","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":155}