{"ticker":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-MBOL","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","description":"If Michelle Bolsonaro finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":3,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":1,"spread":1,"volume":200,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":200,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":466,"iyYes":2533.6012560307654,"iyNo":2.423468094832276,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.37,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":84,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-25T19:05:44.492Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-EBOL","connectedTitle":"Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3","groupLabel":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-FBOL","connectedTitle":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presid","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3","groupLabel":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-LSIL","connectedTitle":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazili","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3","groupLabel":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-RCAI","connectedTitle":"Will Ronaldo Caiado finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presiden","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3","groupLabel":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-RSAN","connectedTitle":"Will Renan Santos finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidenti","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3","groupLabel":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-RZEM","connectedTitle":"Will Romeu Zema finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3","groupLabel":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 2534%","6 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 3c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-MBOL","marketTitle":"Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":3},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-EBOL","reason":"Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish 3rd in the first round of the "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-FBOL","reason":"Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish 3rd in the first round of the 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-LSIL","reason":"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish 3rd in the first round"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Michelle%20Bolsonaro%20finish%203rd%20in%20the%20first%20round%20of%20the","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":279}