{"ticker":"KXBTC2026250-27JAN01-250000","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Bitcoin be above $250000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?","description":"If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $250000 starting 2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":4,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":4,"spread":1,"volume":649100.78,"volume24h":420.95,"openInterest":199869.74,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"US freezes Russian assets, sanctions Iran, bombs Iran — each action tells the wo","thesisSlug":"dollar-weaponization-de-dollarization","thesisPrice":12,"edge":9,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-23T06:04:58.051Z","firstDetectedPrice":4}],"indicators":{"tauDays":221,"iyYes":5333.218851019345,"iyNo":5.101389059323425,"cri":32.333,"ee":8,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.3333,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.427,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"sfEdgeCents":9,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes","observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-05-24T22:16:29.911Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T13:15:50.359Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4883.663830679424,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T15:35:49.537Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3626.4582419129156,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T18:10:49.378Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4887.810225125043,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T14:00:19.924Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3640.519480519481,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T20:15:53.847Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2971.752283985533,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T13:50:52.447Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3781.8772098725985,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T19:45:58.954Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5190.169389654844,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["+9c executable edge (yes)","IY 5333%"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 0.33)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Bitcoin%20be%20above%20%24250000%20by%20Jan%201%2C%202027%20at%2012%3A00AM%20ET%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":204}