{"ticker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T78499.99","venue":"kalshi","title":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?","description":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 78499.99 at 5 PM EDT on May 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":86,"bestBid":86,"bestAsk":89,"spread":3,"volume":4919.4,"volume24h":3353.78,"openInterest":2648.55,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":4,"iyYes":1483.6106030252881,"iyNo":55983.59193864811,"cri":6.143,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0116,"cvr":null,"overround":13.8,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":7906,"askDepthUsd":9564,"volume24h":3353.78,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T20:53:58.937Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T66999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $67,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T67499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $67,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T67999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $68,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T68499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $68,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T68999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $69,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T69499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $69,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T69999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $70,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T70499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $70,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T70999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $71,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T71499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $71,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T71999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $72,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T72499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $72,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T72999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $73,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T73499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $73,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T73999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $74,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T74499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $74,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T74999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $75,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T75499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $75,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T75999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $76,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T76499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $76,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T76999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $77,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T77499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $77,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T77999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $78,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T78999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $79,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T79499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $79,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T79999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $80,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T80499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $80,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T80999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $81,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T81499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $81,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T81999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $82,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T82499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $82,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T82999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $83,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T83499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $83,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T83999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $84,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T84499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $84,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T84999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $85,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T85499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $85,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T85999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $86,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T86499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $86,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T86999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $87,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T87499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $87,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T87999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $88,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T88499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $88,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T88999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $89,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T89499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $89,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T89999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $90,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T90499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $90,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T90999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $91,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T91499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $91,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":-1,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T13:10:55.641Z","priceCents":82,"iy":38436.84183490008,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T13:36:02.434Z","priceCents":78,"iy":30039.250443150166,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T13:46:02.103Z","priceCents":79,"iy":31925.02297361633,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T13:51:10.418Z","priceCents":80,"iy":33969.28804094929,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T13:55:59.479Z","priceCents":79,"iy":31977.066560205833,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:06:02.775Z","priceCents":81,"iy":36297.005635151574,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:11:11.242Z","priceCents":79,"iy":32051.709572717984,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:21:00.745Z","priceCents":81,"iy":36381.871208298995,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:25:57.270Z","priceCents":80,"iy":34160.03743565747,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:30:51.989Z","priceCents":79,"iy":32156.797145087556,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:35:54.829Z","priceCents":78,"iy":30327.886315699765,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:40:57.208Z","priceCents":76,"iy":27113.144108218006,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:45:57.752Z","priceCents":78,"iy":30377.720870678622,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T15:00:23.245Z","priceCents":79,"iy":32308.123249299722,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T15:05:24.814Z","priceCents":80,"iy":34385.30381535563,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T15:20:25.393Z","priceCents":81,"iy":36734.009244073364,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T15:35:42.101Z","priceCents":84,"iy":45355.02958579881,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T15:40:54.158Z","priceCents":83,"iy":42208.87786663693,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T15:46:02.562Z","priceCents":82,"iy":39420.99994731573,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T15:51:07.063Z","priceCents":83,"iy":42278.97564719837,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T16:05:52.923Z","priceCents":84,"iy":45581.588962892485,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T16:16:05.702Z","priceCents":86,"iy":53422.512679124535,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T16:25:51.887Z","priceCents":87,"iy":58298.145768312825,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T16:35:58.872Z","priceCents":85,"iy":49446.1710096422,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T16:40:51.761Z","priceCents":86,"iy":53639.78127136022,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T16:51:03.705Z","priceCents":84,"iy":45920.20129403306,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T17:06:08.827Z","priceCents":85,"iy":49695.65913823482,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T17:16:10.665Z","priceCents":84,"iy":46119.13357400721,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T17:25:59.239Z","priceCents":85,"iy":49851.36980798586,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T17:45:59.294Z","priceCents":87,"iy":59073.57455120453,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T17:51:03.395Z","priceCents":88,"iy":64794.642136690076,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T17:56:22.888Z","priceCents":87,"iy":59173.747763864034,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T18:10:39.377Z","priceCents":88,"iy":64999.19054557229,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T18:15:20.212Z","priceCents":87,"iy":59375.11686174788,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T18:35:26.271Z","priceCents":88,"iy":65284.552845528466,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T18:45:21.943Z","priceCents":87,"iy":59679.75342517243,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:00:21.381Z","priceCents":86,"iy":54914.103775235286,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:05:24.419Z","priceCents":87,"iy":59869.90950226243,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:10:29.499Z","priceCents":86,"iy":55008.41160801907,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:25:43.388Z","priceCents":87,"iy":60090.83167754753,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:30:54.601Z","priceCents":88,"iy":65895.28967667816,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:35:43.128Z","priceCents":87,"iy":60179.657740633345,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:45:36.915Z","priceCents":88,"iy":66057.9137874301,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:50:51.899Z","priceCents":86,"iy":55388.90457368717,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T20:00:32.873Z","priceCents":87,"iy":60447.71857689451,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T20:05:56.403Z","priceCents":88,"iy":66286.9407297342,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T20:21:00.107Z","priceCents":87,"iy":60657.86708945387,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T20:30:58.303Z","priceCents":88,"iy":66583.74792703152,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T20:36:05.427Z","priceCents":87,"iy":60808.86999482966,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T20:51:13.666Z","priceCents":86,"iy":55969.61700306682,"cri":6.143}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 1484%","tight LAS 0.012","49 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.1"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 77c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T78499.99","marketTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":77},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T66999.99","reason":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $67,000 or above"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T67499.99","reason":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $67,500 or above"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T67999.99","reason":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $68,000 or above"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Bitcoin%20price%20%20on%20May%2015%2C%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":130}