{"ticker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T78999.99","venue":"kalshi","title":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?","description":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 78999.99 at 5 PM EDT on May 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":84,"bestBid":84,"bestAsk":85,"spread":1,"volume":22599.9,"volume24h":12194.93,"openInterest":5956.07,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":4,"iyYes":1595.9307409782552,"iyNo":51247.10934919062,"cri":5.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0118,"cvr":null,"overround":14.21,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":13371,"askDepthUsd":12533,"volume24h":12194.93,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T20:12:26.351Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T66999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $67,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T67499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $67,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T67999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $68,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T68499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $68,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T68999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $69,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T69499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $69,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T69999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $70,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T70499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $70,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T70999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $71,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T71499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $71,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T71999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $72,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T72499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $72,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T72999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $73,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T73499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $73,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T73999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $74,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T74499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $74,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T74999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $75,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T75499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $75,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T75999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $76,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T76499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $76,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T76999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $77,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T77499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $77,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T77999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $78,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T78499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $78,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T79499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $79,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T79999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $80,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T80499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $80,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T80999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $81,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T81499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $81,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T81999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $82,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T82499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $82,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T82999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $83,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T83499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $83,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T83999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $84,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T84499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $84,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T84999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $85,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T85499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $85,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T85999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $86,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T86499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $86,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T86999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $87,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T87499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $87,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T87999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $88,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T88499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $88,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T88999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $89,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T89499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $89,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T89999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $90,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T90499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $90,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T90999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $91,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T91499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $91,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T11:25:53.683Z","priceCents":77,"iy":27778.052324144817,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T12:05:45.958Z","priceCents":78,"iy":29606.289386660013,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T12:10:39.639Z","priceCents":77,"iy":27975.19509476031,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T12:30:38.771Z","priceCents":78,"iy":29721.88583121059,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T12:35:40.486Z","priceCents":79,"iy":31565.40777230433,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T12:41:11.194Z","priceCents":78,"iy":29776.597079864456,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T12:50:56.625Z","priceCents":77,"iy":28155.680224403925,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T13:00:58.603Z","priceCents":76,"iy":26675.12885606585,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T13:10:55.641Z","priceCents":78,"iy":29914.260496784773,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T13:31:09.855Z","priceCents":77,"iy":28338.50931677019,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T13:36:02.434Z","priceCents":74,"iy":24114.348975073208,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T13:51:10.418Z","priceCents":76,"iy":26892.35303241818,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T13:55:59.479Z","priceCents":75,"iy":25500.698649278063,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:06:02.775Z","priceCents":76,"iy":26961.35603763316,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:21:00.745Z","priceCents":77,"iy":28570.412011670105,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:25:57.270Z","priceCents":75,"iy":25620.028076743096,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:35:54.829Z","priceCents":73,"iy":23127.53343922783,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:40:57.208Z","priceCents":72,"iy":22016.68844877853,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:45:57.752Z","priceCents":74,"iy":24386.05994944023,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:50:38.849Z","priceCents":73,"iy":23187.30854915065,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T15:00:23.245Z","priceCents":74,"iy":24443.438914027145,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T15:05:24.814Z","priceCents":75,"iy":25788.97786151672,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T15:10:24.448Z","priceCents":74,"iy":24483.765115393675,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T15:15:43.837Z","priceCents":75,"iy":25831.564048124557,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T15:20:25.393Z","priceCents":76,"iy":27285.961598992766,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T15:35:42.101Z","priceCents":79,"iy":32499.29557621866,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T15:40:54.158Z","priceCents":78,"iy":30651.134748718836,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T16:00:52.168Z","priceCents":79,"iy":32630.590258917262,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T16:10:58.244Z","priceCents":80,"iy":34753.63008807428,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T16:16:05.702Z","priceCents":81,"iy":37075.354576577265,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T16:20:50.754Z","priceCents":83,"iy":42490.67295015287,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T16:45:53.603Z","priceCents":82,"iy":39817.4755214985,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T16:51:03.705Z","priceCents":81,"iy":37288.5845094404,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T17:16:10.665Z","priceCents":80,"iy":35138.387484957886,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T17:25:59.239Z","priceCents":81,"iy":37504.28131065192,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T17:45:59.294Z","priceCents":83,"iy":43096.94857386727,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T17:51:03.395Z","priceCents":84,"iy":46387.07334785765,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T17:56:22.888Z","priceCents":83,"iy":43170.02963976287,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T18:05:37.550Z","priceCents":84,"iy":46499.63601067701,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T18:35:26.271Z","priceCents":85,"iy":50447.15447154471,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T18:45:21.943Z","priceCents":84,"iy":46817.73760078182,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:00:21.381Z","priceCents":83,"iy":43645.819826828585,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:05:24.419Z","priceCents":84,"iy":46966.911764705874,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:10:29.499Z","priceCents":82,"iy":40794.35176098571,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:15:25.978Z","priceCents":83,"iy":43752.97872647707,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:30:54.601Z","priceCents":85,"iy":50919.08747743311,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:35:43.128Z","priceCents":84,"iy":47209.90391722098,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:45:36.915Z","priceCents":85,"iy":51044.75156301416,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:50:51.899Z","priceCents":83,"iy":44023.1922808649,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T20:05:56.403Z","priceCents":85,"iy":51221.726927521864,"cri":5.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 1596%","tight LAS 0.012","49 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 5.7"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 76c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T78999.99","marketTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":76},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T66999.99","reason":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $67,000 or above"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T67499.99","reason":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $67,500 or above"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T67999.99","reason":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $68,000 or above"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Bitcoin%20price%20%20on%20May%2015%2C%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":142}