{"ticker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T82999.99","venue":"kalshi","title":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?","description":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 82999.99 at 5 PM EDT on May 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":36,"bestBid":35,"bestAsk":36,"spread":1,"volume":13703.41,"volume24h":5752.64,"openInterest":3124.66,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-05-15T21:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"US freezes Russian assets, sanctions Iran, bombs Iran — each action tells the wo","thesisSlug":"dollar-weaponization-de-dollarization","thesisPrice":45,"edge":10,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-11T06:05:29.742Z","firstDetectedPrice":24}],"indicators":{"tauDays":4,"iyYes":16795.27113124735,"iyNo":4869.6348250362125,"cri":1.857,"ee":9,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.0286,"cvr":null,"overround":14.21,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.442,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":16550,"askDepthUsd":8992,"volume24h":5752.64,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15,"sfEdgeCents":10,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T20:09:56.791Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T66999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $67,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T67499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $67,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T67999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $68,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T68499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $68,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T68999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $69,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T69499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $69,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T69999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $70,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T70499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $70,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T70999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $71,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T71499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $71,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T71999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $72,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T72499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $72,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T72999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $73,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T73499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $73,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T73999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $74,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T74499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $74,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T74999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $75,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T75499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $75,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T75999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $76,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T76499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $76,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T76999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $77,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T77499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $77,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T77999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $78,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T78499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $78,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T78999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $79,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T79499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $79,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T79999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $80,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T80499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $80,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T80999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $81,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T81499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $81,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T81999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $82,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T82499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $82,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T83499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $83,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T83999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $84,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T84499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $84,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T84999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $85,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T85499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $85,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T85999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $86,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T86499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $86,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T86999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $87,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T87499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $87,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T87999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $88,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T88499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $88,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T88999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $89,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T89499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $89,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T89999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $90,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T90499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $90,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T90999.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $91,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T91499.99","connectedTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $91,500 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCD-26MAY1517","groupLabel":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T13:15:58.867Z","priceCents":27,"iy":22833.221930861906,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T13:26:10.842Z","priceCents":26,"iy":24075.229521347705,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T13:31:09.855Z","priceCents":25,"iy":25394.24860853432,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T13:36:02.434Z","priceCents":23,"iy":28364.821767389283,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T13:46:02.103Z","priceCents":22,"iy":30088.140178816764,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T13:51:10.418Z","priceCents":24,"iy":26892.35303241818,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T13:55:59.479Z","priceCents":23,"iy":28457.301391223347,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:06:02.775Z","priceCents":25,"iy":25542.337298810355,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:11:11.242Z","priceCents":26,"iy":24249.443367090425,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:21:00.745Z","priceCents":25,"iy":25602.057516951136,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:25:57.270Z","priceCents":24,"iy":27043.362969895497,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:30:52.796Z","priceCents":23,"iy":28617.248752672844,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:35:54.829Z","priceCents":21,"iy":32179.405626792548,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:40:57.208Z","priceCents":20,"iy":34248.182031433265,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:45:57.752Z","priceCents":22,"iy":30377.720870678622,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:50:38.849Z","priceCents":21,"iy":32262.576083064807,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T15:00:23.245Z","priceCents":22,"iy":30449.197860962562,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T15:20:25.393Z","priceCents":23,"iy":28846.94338383216,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T15:35:42.101Z","priceCents":27,"iy":23357.440280517203,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T15:40:54.158Z","priceCents":26,"iy":24605.54604088474,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T16:00:52.168Z","priceCents":27,"iy":23451.80256301929,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T16:05:52.923Z","priceCents":28,"iy":22325.676226722848,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T16:16:05.702Z","priceCents":30,"iy":20292.27225796204,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T16:20:50.754Z","priceCents":32,"iy":18493.68144969003,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T16:25:51.887Z","priceCents":33,"iy":17686.410645837852,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T16:45:53.603Z","priceCents":32,"iy":18573.39559386973,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T16:51:03.705Z","priceCents":31,"iy":19468.472438023233,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T17:06:08.827Z","priceCents":30,"iy":20462.91846868493,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T17:11:01.299Z","priceCents":29,"iy":21486.431585842092,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T17:25:59.239Z","priceCents":30,"iy":20527.034626817705,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T17:36:13.044Z","priceCents":31,"iy":19614.180464478744,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T17:45:59.294Z","priceCents":34,"iy":17134.931360694212,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T17:51:03.395Z","priceCents":35,"iy":16409.03274890203,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T18:00:55.541Z","priceCents":34,"iy":17180.635590802758,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T18:10:39.377Z","priceCents":35,"iy":16460.833969333242,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T18:15:20.212Z","priceCents":36,"iy":15772.700264678877,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T18:20:24.648Z","priceCents":35,"iy":16488.862633353026,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T18:25:23.968Z","priceCents":34,"iy":17251.75095604348,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T18:35:26.271Z","priceCents":36,"iy":15826.558265582658,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T18:45:21.943Z","priceCents":35,"iy":16561.376566262963,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T18:55:24.144Z","priceCents":36,"iy":15876.899654731807,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:00:21.381Z","priceCents":34,"iy":17353.157280546307,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:05:24.419Z","priceCents":33,"iy":18163.250148544263,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:10:29.499Z","priceCents":32,"iy":19029.072620215895,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:15:25.978Z","priceCents":34,"iy":17395.76262618968,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:20:25.981Z","priceCents":33,"iy":18212.352078166772,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:30:54.601Z","priceCents":35,"iy":16687.76816487304,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:35:43.128Z","priceCents":34,"iy":17455.76279292204,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:40:37.879Z","priceCents":33,"iy":18275.230728991515,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:45:36.915Z","priceCents":35,"iy":16728.95219292061,"cri":1.857}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"consider_long","confidence":"low","reasoning":"10c edge in neutral regime","positives":["+10c executable edge (yes)","IY 16795%","tight LAS 0.029","49 connected markets"],"warnings":["price shifted 50% since edge was set"],"sizeHint":"small"},"nextActions":{"execute":{"description":"Buy 10 YES contracts at market","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T82999.99","marketTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":10,"triggerType":"immediate"},"auth":"required"},"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 32c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T82999.99","marketTitle":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":10,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":32},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T66999.99","reason":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $67,000 or above"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T67499.99","reason":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $67,500 or above"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T67999.99","reason":"Bitcoin price  on May 15, 2026?: $68,000 or above"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Bitcoin%20price%20%20on%20May%2015%2C%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":143}