{"ticker":"KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26APR30-8000000","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will BTC trimmed mean be above $80000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Apr 30, 2026?","description":"If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Apr 30, 2026 is ever above $80000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":38,"bestBid":38,"bestAsk":39,"spread":1,"volume":462633.97,"volume24h":27730.4,"openInterest":172518.56,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-05-01T03:59:59Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":9,"iyYes":6522.741684441114,"iyNo":2450.2702893686183,"cri":1.632,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0263,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.35,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:59:00.207Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26APR30-8250000","connectedTitle":"Will BTC trimmed mean be above $82500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Apr 30, 2026?: Above ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26APR30","groupLabel":"KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26APR30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26APR30-8500000","connectedTitle":"Will BTC trimmed mean be above $85000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Apr 30, 2026?: Above ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26APR30","groupLabel":"KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26APR30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26APR30-8750000","connectedTitle":"Will BTC trimmed mean be above $87500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Apr 30, 2026?: Above ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26APR30","groupLabel":"KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26APR30"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:05:27.608Z","priceCents":37,"iy":6459.687002250145,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:10:24.510Z","priceCents":36,"iy":6746.609366696703,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:10:44.861Z","priceCents":35,"iy":7078.708676453039,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:25:27.946Z","priceCents":36,"iy":6783.283387924826,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:30:28.315Z","priceCents":37,"iy":6499.54493292707,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:40:27.780Z","priceCents":38,"iy":6232.6145032911945,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:45:28.118Z","priceCents":40,"iy":5731.78391959799,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:50:28.934Z","priceCents":41,"iy":5501.088211552414,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:56:10.657Z","priceCents":40,"iy":5736.58843252305,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:00:27.704Z","priceCents":39,"iy":5983.622638061375,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:05:28.121Z","priceCents":36,"iy":6803.196570443373,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:10:27.722Z","priceCents":34,"iy":7431.607004035092,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:15:36.364Z","priceCents":32,"iy":8137.9183716294165,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:50:27.864Z","priceCents":30,"iy":8958.311419655693,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:10:41.248Z","priceCents":32,"iy":8170.494048246074,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:25:27.050Z","priceCents":33,"iy":7815.446172332903,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:45:27.337Z","priceCents":34,"iy":7483.411615596808,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:15:26.716Z","priceCents":33,"iy":7843.571190311238,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:25:27.357Z","priceCents":27,"iy":10452.831817094075,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:35:28.472Z","priceCents":26,"iy":11011.725183868495,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:45:26.885Z","priceCents":30,"iy":9034.334005162476,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:50:40.591Z","priceCents":33,"iy":7864.380834772429,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:00:27.508Z","priceCents":34,"iy":7524.738867509619,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:05:28.944Z","priceCents":32,"iy":8239.934133644956,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:30:29.219Z","priceCents":31,"iy":8647.358752939965,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:00:39.786Z","priceCents":29,"iy":9531.954022988506,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:05:29.223Z","priceCents":30,"iy":9088.322128552627,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:10:27.982Z","priceCents":31,"iy":8672.281755323544,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:25:28.567Z","priceCents":30,"iy":9101.920131096149,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:30:28.674Z","priceCents":32,"iy":8291.907205473593,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:35:33.759Z","priceCents":33,"iy":7925.781883001133,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:40:44.629Z","priceCents":32,"iy":8298.117042901464,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:45:28.848Z","priceCents":29,"iy":9564.601195067673,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:50:49.423Z","priceCents":26,"iy":11122.549827046614,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:00:31.252Z","priceCents":25,"iy":11732.561877209899,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:05:28.981Z","priceCents":26,"iy":11134.47110231676,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:10:37.427Z","priceCents":25,"iy":11741.36821788548,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:15:30.628Z","priceCents":26,"iy":11142.83121147864,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:20:30.445Z","priceCents":29,"iy":9589.233712363692,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:35:29.397Z","priceCents":30,"iy":9148.852365094714,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:45:28.567Z","priceCents":31,"iy":8733.813747997308,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:50:36.569Z","priceCents":30,"iy":9159.675915967591,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:10:35.023Z","priceCents":32,"iy":8354.426971133129,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:25:31.840Z","priceCents":31,"iy":8800.03633924079,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:40:28.217Z","priceCents":30,"iy":9235.162293067304,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:00:32.438Z","priceCents":31,"iy":8822.973010846108,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:15:30.559Z","priceCents":33,"iy":8056.758056758055,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:50:28.010Z","priceCents":34,"iy":7724.075130979023,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:55:28.618Z","priceCents":37,"iy":6777.388075097999,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:00:53.589Z","priceCents":38,"iy":6497.123235756858,"cri":1.632}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 6523%","tight LAS 0.026","3 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 34c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26APR30-8000000","marketTitle":"Will BTC trimmed mean be above $80000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Apr 30, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":34},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26APR30-8250000","reason":"Will BTC trimmed mean be above $82500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on A"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26APR30-8500000","reason":"Will BTC trimmed mean be above $85000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on A"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26APR30-8750000","reason":"Will BTC trimmed mean be above $87500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on A"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20BTC%20trimmed%20mean%20be%20above%20%2480000.00%20by%2011%3A59%20PM%20ET%20on%20A","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2302}