{"ticker":"KXCAPRIMARY-0626-LTOM","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Lauren Babb Tomlinson advance in the 2026 CA-06 primary?","description":"If Lauren Babb Tomlinson advances in the 2026 CA-06 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":26,"bestBid":14,"bestAsk":23,"spread":9,"volume":6083.88,"volume24h":900,"openInterest":3577.06,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":414.6641299807582,"iyNo":10.98893584048521,"cri":6.143,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.6429,"cvr":null,"overround":0.78,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":9,"bidDepthUsd":883,"askDepthUsd":1831,"volume24h":900},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T22:04:14.433Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCAPRIMARY-0626-KKIL","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Kiley advance in the 2026 CA-06 primary?: Kevin Kiley","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCAPRIMARY-0626","groupLabel":"KXCAPRIMARY-0626"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCAPRIMARY-0626-MGUE","connectedTitle":"Will Martha Guerrero advance in the 2026 CA-06 primary?: Martha Guerrero","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCAPRIMARY-0626","groupLabel":"KXCAPRIMARY-0626"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCAPRIMARY-0626-THO","connectedTitle":"Will Thien Ho advance in the 2026 CA-06 primary?: Thien Ho","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCAPRIMARY-0626","groupLabel":"KXCAPRIMARY-0626"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCAPRIMARY-0626-RPAN","connectedTitle":"Will Richard Pan advance in the 2026 CA-06 primary?: Richard Pan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCAPRIMARY-0626","groupLabel":"KXCAPRIMARY-0626"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCAPRIMARY-0626-MSTA","connectedTitle":"Will Michael Stansfield advance in the 2026 CA-06 primary?: Michael Stansfield","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCAPRIMARY-0626","groupLabel":"KXCAPRIMARY-0626"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCAPRIMARY-0626-TVAN","connectedTitle":"Will Tyler Vandenberg advance in the 2026 CA-06 primary?: Tyler Vandenberg","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCAPRIMARY-0626","groupLabel":"KXCAPRIMARY-0626"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T00:50:31.741Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.0327738695322,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T01:30:29.961Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.4650133420654,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T01:35:23.006Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.0771384096655,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T01:50:26.667Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.482630451143,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T02:00:20.302Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.1029007960615,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T02:10:23.777Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.5002484711127,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T02:15:19.330Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.1172139729766,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T02:30:21.081Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.5166088767669,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T02:35:28.802Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.1372533087604,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T02:40:19.315Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.5254186513287,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T02:45:21.071Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.1472733652196,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T02:55:30.303Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.5392630429667,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T03:00:21.895Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.1615881809788,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T03:05:27.982Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.5480734032303,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T03:10:31.220Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.1716088665966,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T03:30:20.437Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.569470940804,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T03:35:26.248Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.1973775335888,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T04:25:23.855Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.6173055892621,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T04:35:34.114Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.2560792266463,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T04:40:22.066Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.631153714341,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T04:45:17.779Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.2661023554422,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T04:50:24.155Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.6399664505491,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T04:55:33.772Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.2761257434155,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T05:25:25.083Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.6701832762077,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T05:30:19.466Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.3104936128084,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T05:40:17.895Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.6827744109237,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T05:45:41.551Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.326246571294,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T06:15:30.994Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.7142542828034,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T06:25:30.530Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.3663478998149,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T07:25:36.405Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.774703787724,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T07:30:37.286Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.430805154883,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T07:50:31.316Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.7973751160278,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T07:55:33.019Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.4551584625759,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T08:15:31.676Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.8187883106107,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T08:20:31.993Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.4809459851424,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T08:36:11.594Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.8364237161245,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T08:46:16.505Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.5053024424491,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T10:05:53.905Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.915794331815,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T10:10:54.003Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.5898455472181,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T10:15:55.036Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.9246144297836,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T10:35:59.023Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.6156420286668,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T10:50:58.638Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.9548564979325,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T10:55:54.026Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.6342738880574,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T11:00:55.564Z","priceCents":9,"iy":681.9636776064194,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T11:05:58.132Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.6443067985062,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T14:35:54.129Z","priceCents":9,"iy":682.1514953422084,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T18:15:20.212Z","priceCents":10,"iy":607.3615548455804,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T18:25:23.968Z","priceCents":9,"iy":682.3532940417812,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T19:30:53.857Z","priceCents":11,"iy":546.06440282054,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T20:21:00.107Z","priceCents":14,"iy":414.6150552155245,"cri":6.143}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 415%","6 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.1","illiquid (LAS 0.64)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCAPRIMARY-0626-KKIL","reason":"Will Kevin Kiley advance in the 2026 CA-06 primary?: Kevin K"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCAPRIMARY-0626-MGUE","reason":"Will Martha Guerrero advance in the 2026 CA-06 primary?: Mar"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCAPRIMARY-0626-THO","reason":"Will Thien Ho advance in the 2026 CA-06 primary?: Thien Ho"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Lauren%20Babb%20Tomlinson%20advance%20in%20the%202026%20CA-06%20primary","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":124}