{"ticker":"KXCAPRIMARY-2626-CESP","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Chris Espinosa advance in the 2026 CA-26 primary?","description":"If Chris Espinosa advances in the 2026 CA-26 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":6,"bestBid":7,"bestAsk":14,"spread":7,"volume":0.01,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0.01,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":524,"iyYes":925.7771878355411,"iyNo":5.244893306040182,"cri":13.286,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1,"cvr":null,"overround":0.82,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":904,"askDepthUsd":5605,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:05:34.433Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCAPRIMARY-2626-DMIL","connectedTitle":"Will Daniel Miller advance in the 2026 CA-26 primary?: Daniel Miller","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCAPRIMARY-2626","groupLabel":"KXCAPRIMARY-2626"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCAPRIMARY-2626-JIRW","connectedTitle":"Will Jacqui Irwin advance in the 2026 CA-26 primary?: Jacqui Irwin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCAPRIMARY-2626","groupLabel":"KXCAPRIMARY-2626"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCAPRIMARY-2626-LHER","connectedTitle":"Will Liam Hernandez advance in the 2026 CA-26 primary?: Liam Hernandez","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCAPRIMARY-2626","groupLabel":"KXCAPRIMARY-2626"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCAPRIMARY-2626-MKOS","connectedTitle":"Will Michael Koslow advance in the 2026 CA-26 primary?: Michael Koslow","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCAPRIMARY-2626","groupLabel":"KXCAPRIMARY-2626"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCAPRIMARY-2626-SGAL","connectedTitle":"Will Sam Gallucci advance in the 2026 CA-26 primary?: Sam Gallucci","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCAPRIMARY-2626","groupLabel":"KXCAPRIMARY-2626"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCAPRIMARY-2626-SKAC","connectedTitle":"Will Sonia Kacker advance in the 2026 CA-26 primary?: Sonia Kacker","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCAPRIMARY-2626","groupLabel":"KXCAPRIMARY-2626"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCAPRIMARY-2626-SSAM","connectedTitle":"Will Sasan Samadzadeh advance in the 2026 CA-26 primary?: Sasan Samadzadeh","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCAPRIMARY-2626","groupLabel":"KXCAPRIMARY-2626"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCAPRIMARY-2626-WSCO","connectedTitle":"Will William Scott advance in the 2026 CA-26 primary?: William Scott","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCAPRIMARY-2626","groupLabel":"KXCAPRIMARY-2626"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:16:38.703Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6810.5742481699,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T09:00:23.812Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3372.9372937293724,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T09:15:32.190Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6814.85141605955,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T11:45:51.782Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3380.0447900819263,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T05:45:27.587Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6838.76340168627,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T21:00:46.362Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1085.5897843818084,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T18:01:14.300Z","priceCents":7,"iy":922.1383286273353,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T22:00:40.693Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1087.739454855801,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:15:28.713Z","priceCents":7,"iy":925.2349134512173,"cri":13.286}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 926%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 13.3","illiquid (LAS 1.00)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCAPRIMARY-2626-DMIL","reason":"Will Daniel Miller advance in the 2026 CA-26 primary?: Danie"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCAPRIMARY-2626-JIRW","reason":"Will Jacqui Irwin advance in the 2026 CA-26 primary?: Jacqui"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCAPRIMARY-2626-LHER","reason":"Will Liam Hernandez advance in the 2026 CA-26 primary?: Liam"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Chris%20Espinosa%20advance%20in%20the%202026%20CA-26%20primary%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":153}