{"ticker":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-HNAK","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Hikaru Nakamura be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?","description":"If Hikaru Nakamura is selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":76,"bestBid":76,"bestAsk":83,"spread":7,"volume":776,"volume24h":600,"openInterest":176,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-09-29T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":143,"iyYes":80.41353855553784,"iyNo":806.369094959699,"cri":3.167,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0921,"cvr":null,"overround":3.35,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":5476,"askDepthUsd":830,"volume24h":600},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T06:05:55.079Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-JDON","connectedTitle":"Will John Donaldson be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Ches","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26","groupLabel":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-LARO","connectedTitle":"Will Levon Aronian be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26","groupLabel":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-RROB","connectedTitle":"Will Ray Robson be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Ol","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26","groupLabel":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-SSHA","connectedTitle":"Will Sam Shankland be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26","groupLabel":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-SSEV","connectedTitle":"Will Samuel Sevian be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26","groupLabel":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-WSO","connectedTitle":"Will Wesley So be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Oly","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26","groupLabel":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-LDOM","connectedTitle":"Will Leinier Domínguez Pérez be selected to the United States team for the 46th ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26","groupLabel":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-HNIE","connectedTitle":"Will Hans Niemann be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26","groupLabel":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-ALIA","connectedTitle":"Will Awonder Liang be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26","groupLabel":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-JXIO","connectedTitle":"Will Jeffery Xiong be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26","groupLabel":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-MANT","connectedTitle":"Will Mikhail Antipov be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Che","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26","groupLabel":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-GOPA","connectedTitle":"Will Grigoriy Oparin be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Che","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26","groupLabel":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-AMIS","connectedTitle":"Will Abhimanyu Mishra be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Ch","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26","groupLabel":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-FCAR","connectedTitle":"Will Fabiano Caruana be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Che","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26","groupLabel":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T20:27:24.828Z","priceCents":86,"iy":1517.7199485164638,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T20:35:49.453Z","priceCents":84,"iy":1297.1738026738872,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T01:20:36.880Z","priceCents":82,"iy":1142.590569294892,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:10:31.453Z","priceCents":75,"iy":762.6622833899817,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:25:17.355Z","priceCents":76,"iy":805.3240805254406,"cri":3.167}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["14 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 68c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-HNAK","marketTitle":"Will Hikaru Nakamura be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":68},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-JDON","reason":"Will John Donaldson be selected to the United States team fo"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-LARO","reason":"Will Levon Aronian be selected to the United States team for"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCHESSOLYMPIADUSA-26-RROB","reason":"Will Ray Robson be selected to the United States team for th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Hikaru%20Nakamura%20be%20selected%20to%20the%20United%20States%20team%20f","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":120}