{"ticker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T48.5","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 48.5?","description":"If China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 is above \n\n48.5\n\n, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":92,"bestBid":88,"bestAsk":93,"spread":5,"volume":1529.9,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":716,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-05-31T01:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":6,"iyYes":821.8746247147832,"iyNo":44198.59092910612,"cri":7.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0568,"cvr":null,"overround":4.87,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":447,"askDepthUsd":1364,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-25T00:30:34.475Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T47.0","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 47.0?: Above 47.0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T47.5","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 47.5?: Above 47.5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T48.0","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 48.0?: Above 48.0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T49.0","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 49.0?: Above 49.0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T49.5","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 49.5?: Above 49.5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T50.0","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 50.0?: Above 50.0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T50.5","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 50.5?: Above 50.5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T51.0","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 51.0?: Above 51.0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T51.5","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 51.5?: Above 51.5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T52.0","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 52.0?: Above 52.0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T52.5","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 52.5?: Above 52.5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T53.0","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 53.0?: Above 53.0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T53.5","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 53.5?: Above 53.5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T54.0","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 54.0?: Above 54.0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T22:46:08.261Z","priceCents":4,"iy":78826.59947808873,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T04:45:37.102Z","priceCents":5,"iy":63840.55969805762,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T07:16:49.619Z","priceCents":4,"iy":81427.77467930844,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T21:16:21.304Z","priceCents":89,"iy":32187.267773098836,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T22:46:29.142Z","priceCents":87,"iy":26804.480497007655,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T23:01:22.099Z","priceCents":89,"iy":32441.8523363926,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T23:15:58.888Z","priceCents":88,"iy":29439.80055726646,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T23:31:03.205Z","priceCents":89,"iy":32516.866529198614,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T00:01:19.444Z","priceCents":88,"iy":29540.52164956039,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T00:15:56.922Z","priceCents":87,"iy":26988.093113383133,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T00:31:09.393Z","priceCents":89,"iy":32667.940466613043,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T00:46:15.563Z","priceCents":87,"iy":27050.856120623564,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:00:58.075Z","priceCents":89,"iy":32744.00508018426,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:16:39.557Z","priceCents":87,"iy":27113.911729296335,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T00:00:43.637Z","priceCents":88,"iy":33205.14410949841,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T00:15:48.990Z","priceCents":90,"iy":40802.38479691964,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T00:30:33.240Z","priceCents":88,"iy":33287.73369813042,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T00:45:58.764Z","priceCents":91,"iy":45959.59595959598,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T01:00:40.306Z","priceCents":88,"iy":33374.896093100586,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T01:15:36.524Z","priceCents":91,"iy":46080.1043270765,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T02:15:33.552Z","priceCents":88,"iy":33592.704149933066,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T03:00:49.491Z","priceCents":91,"iy":46503.9762544803,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T03:15:21.977Z","priceCents":88,"iy":33770.712423248384,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T03:46:01.951Z","priceCents":91,"iy":46686.3447888116,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T04:00:23.830Z","priceCents":89,"iy":37405.72283954172,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T04:15:32.917Z","priceCents":90,"iy":41666.66666666667,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T04:45:29.488Z","priceCents":91,"iy":46929.75019780718,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T05:15:31.691Z","priceCents":90,"iy":41884.482978452135,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T05:30:23.618Z","priceCents":91,"iy":47121.49585745093,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T06:15:33.065Z","priceCents":90,"iy":42109.98589924369,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T16:15:36.675Z","priceCents":91,"iy":49980.438184663544,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T17:30:23.820Z","priceCents":90,"iy":44803.60065466449,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T20:45:36.245Z","priceCents":91,"iy":51279.082333688435,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T21:15:32.562Z","priceCents":90,"iy":45777.59197324416,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T21:30:30.245Z","priceCents":91,"iy":51500.91481378114,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T22:15:42.732Z","priceCents":90,"iy":46047.098402018506,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T22:45:27.492Z","priceCents":91,"iy":51877.36232155688,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T23:15:28.061Z","priceCents":90,"iy":46313.266600874114,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T23:45:27.371Z","priceCents":91,"iy":52185.457516339884,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T00:15:27.110Z","priceCents":90,"iy":46589.13629272445,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T01:30:29.921Z","priceCents":91,"iy":52729.755044371435,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T02:00:38.963Z","priceCents":90,"iy":47076.526225279464,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T06:01:31.864Z","priceCents":92,"iy":61628.24842167087,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T06:15:35.465Z","priceCents":91,"iy":54264.895685275056,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T06:30:36.963Z","priceCents":90,"iy":48372.846414371976,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T08:30:27.525Z","priceCents":92,"iy":62583.86760101391,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T08:45:33.974Z","priceCents":90,"iy":49051.814245184425,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T12:00:31.441Z","priceCents":92,"iy":63976.52796829756,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T12:15:23.947Z","priceCents":90,"iy":50145.016028087324,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T14:30:22.756Z","priceCents":88,"iy":41453.71947756957,"cri":7.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 822%","14 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 7.3"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 83c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T48.5","marketTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 48.5?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":83},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T47.0","reason":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 47.0?"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T47.5","reason":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 47.5?"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T48.0","reason":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 48.0?"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20China%20NBS%20manufacturing%20PMI%20for%20May%202026%20be%20above%2048.5%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":237}