{"ticker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T49.5","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 49.5?","description":"If China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 is above \n\n49.5\n\n, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":56,"bestBid":61,"bestAsk":67,"spread":6,"volume":319,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":315,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-05-31T01:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":6,"iyYes":3853.379388007016,"iyNo":9426.972191172983,"cri":1.564,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0984,"cvr":null,"overround":4.87,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":864,"askDepthUsd":598,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-25T00:32:10.407Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T47.0","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 47.0?: Above 47.0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T47.5","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 47.5?: Above 47.5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T48.0","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 48.0?: Above 48.0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T48.5","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 48.5?: Above 48.5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T49.0","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 49.0?: Above 49.0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T50.0","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 50.0?: Above 50.0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T50.5","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 50.5?: Above 50.5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T51.0","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 51.0?: Above 51.0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T51.5","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 51.5?: Above 51.5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T52.0","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 52.0?: Above 52.0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T52.5","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 52.5?: Above 52.5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T53.0","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 53.0?: Above 53.0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T53.5","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 53.5?: Above 53.5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T54.0","connectedTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 54.0?: Above 54.0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30","groupLabel":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T06:05:44.071Z","priceCents":66,"iy":4482.093950940701,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T06:15:42.701Z","priceCents":67,"iy":4689.960167461592,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T06:30:41.532Z","priceCents":62,"iy":3771.540948635046,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T06:50:46.919Z","priceCents":64,"iy":4112.878803884699,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T06:55:44.518Z","priceCents":65,"iy":4297.579045566114,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T07:00:49.820Z","priceCents":66,"iy":4492.89417732851,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T07:10:43.633Z","priceCents":67,"iy":4701.266294871574,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T07:21:05.177Z","priceCents":68,"iy":4923.040304665186,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T07:25:48.285Z","priceCents":67,"iy":4704.54930206073,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T07:35:44.275Z","priceCents":15,"iy":13136.445432412407,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T07:40:41.371Z","priceCents":14,"iy":14243.062235693413,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T08:05:47.894Z","priceCents":15,"iy":13153.989654880015,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T08:10:58.170Z","priceCents":14,"iy":14262.088016938216,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T08:35:42.785Z","priceCents":15,"iy":13170.742061470537,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T10:45:53.987Z","priceCents":16,"iy":12273.425991161213,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T10:50:52.070Z","priceCents":15,"iy":13250.053384582532,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T10:55:56.816Z","priceCents":16,"iy":12278.931180315265,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T11:00:38.091Z","priceCents":17,"iy":11421.257601290852,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T11:26:32.352Z","priceCents":16,"iy":12295.476419634264,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T11:36:38.071Z","priceCents":17,"iy":11439.58674752479,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T12:01:10.020Z","priceCents":13,"iy":15697.52784327683,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T12:06:27.395Z","priceCents":12,"iy":17205.545199374345,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T12:41:30.180Z","priceCents":13,"iy":15725.82442343596,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T12:50:46.583Z","priceCents":14,"iy":14440.283745365216,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T12:55:42.346Z","priceCents":13,"iy":15735.955084019246,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T13:15:45.542Z","priceCents":23,"iy":7879.015550577926,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T13:25:42.420Z","priceCents":24,"iy":7456.027179288693,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T13:35:45.816Z","priceCents":23,"iy":7886.134377148308,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T13:40:45.834Z","priceCents":24,"iy":7460.840003442637,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T14:31:02.739Z","priceCents":23,"iy":7905.521910714435,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T15:25:40.247Z","priceCents":28,"iy":6087.109595767744,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T15:31:21.677Z","priceCents":23,"iy":7927.061444950571,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T17:27:06.648Z","priceCents":25,"iy":7140.528203456145,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T17:40:47.212Z","priceCents":35,"iy":4423.21137264041,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T18:06:17.809Z","priceCents":45,"iy":2914.4254988639914,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T19:01:32.608Z","priceCents":55,"iy":2921.678637180635,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T13:15:43.574Z","priceCents":56,"iy":3201.774447208317,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T13:30:50.972Z","priceCents":57,"iy":3337.0384806009065,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T04:15:39.462Z","priceCents":26,"iy":7482.326086474747,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T04:45:39.755Z","priceCents":27,"iy":7118.602408222258,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T05:00:49.483Z","priceCents":6,"iy":41278.664067951584,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T05:45:42.631Z","priceCents":5,"iy":50173.63623209376,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T06:30:40.632Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T04:31:24.180Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T21:16:21.304Z","priceCents":66,"iy":7722.391408879628,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T22:46:29.142Z","priceCents":63,"iy":6819.779287682283,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T15:15:34.050Z","priceCents":11,"iy":35048.44313056988,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T00:00:43.637Z","priceCents":62,"iy":7387.747373644382,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T04:30:22.309Z","priceCents":63,"iy":7892.894164166707,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T18:15:40.351Z","priceCents":61,"iy":9060.425899022946,"cri":1.564}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 3853%","14 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 50c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T49.5","marketTitle":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 49.5?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":50},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T47.0","reason":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 47.0?"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T47.5","reason":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 47.5?"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCHNBSPMI-26MAY30-T48.0","reason":"Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 48.0?"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20China%20NBS%20manufacturing%20PMI%20for%20May%202026%20be%20above%2049.5%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":153}