{"ticker":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-NV","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Nevada have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?","description":"If Nevada has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States gubernatorial elections as of Jan 20, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":9,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":9,"spread":3,"volume":2389.83,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":2157.83,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-20T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":256,"iyYes":2234.5095280893024,"iyNo":9.103931984066872,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.5,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.3,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":2410,"askDepthUsd":4774,"volume24h":0,"observability":"direct","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T07:23:08.256Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-ME","connectedTitle":"Will Maine have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatori","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-NM","connectedTitle":"Will New Mexico have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubern","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-NY","connectedTitle":"Will New York have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernat","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-PA","connectedTitle":"Will Pennsylvania have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gube","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-AZ","connectedTitle":"Will Arizona have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernato","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-MI","connectedTitle":"Will Michigan have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernat","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-WI","connectedTitle":"Will Wisconsin have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States guberna","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-KS","connectedTitle":"Will Kansas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernator","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-GA","connectedTitle":"Will Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernato","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-IA","connectedTitle":"Will Iowa have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatoria","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-NH","connectedTitle":"Will New Hampshire have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gub","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-OH","connectedTitle":"Will Ohio have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatoria","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:21:08.976Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2536.1775580285466,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T13:25:24.975Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2168.927256544079,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 2235%","12 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","cliff risk 15.7","illiquid (LAS 0.50)","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-ME","reason":"Will Maine have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 Unite"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-NM","reason":"Will New Mexico have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-NY","reason":"Will New York have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 Un"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Nevada%20have%20the%20smallest%20margin%20of%20victory%20in%202026%20Unit","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":114}