{"ticker":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MI","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Michigan have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?","description":"If Michigan has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":9,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":9,"spread":5,"volume":5493,"volume24h":100,"openInterest":3759,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-03T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":256,"iyYes":3416.949787220763,"iyNo":5.932204491702715,"cri":24,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.25,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.2,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":1890,"askDepthUsd":6436,"volume24h":100},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T20:22:53.175Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MN","connectedTitle":"Will Minnesota have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NH","connectedTitle":"Will New Hampshire have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Sen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-GA","connectedTitle":"Will Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NC","connectedTitle":"Will North Carolina have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Se","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-ME","connectedTitle":"Will Maine have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-IA","connectedTitle":"Will Iowa have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elect","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-TX","connectedTitle":"Will Texas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-OH","connectedTitle":"Will Ohio have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elect","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-AK","connectedTitle":"Will Alaska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NE","connectedTitle":"Will Nebraska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03","groupLabel":"KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T23:55:49.626Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2148.0454727014785,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T00:01:06.002Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3303.0802354387333,"cri":24}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 3417%","10 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 24.0","illiquid (LAS 1.25)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-MN","reason":"Will Minnesota have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 U"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-NH","reason":"Will New Hampshire have the smallest margin of victory in 20"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-GA","reason":"Will Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 Uni"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Michigan%20have%20the%20smallest%20margin%20of%20victory%20in%202026%20Un","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2010}