{"ticker":"KXCNIMPORT-27FEB04-T260","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $260 billion?","description":"If U.S. imports of goods by customs basis from China (FRED series IMPCH) in calendar year 2026 are below $260 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":59,"bestBid":51,"bestAsk":60,"spread":9,"volume":119,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":20,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-02-04T13:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":241,"iyYes":145.39111388371734,"iyNo":157.50199384071172,"cri":1.041,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1765,"cvr":null,"overround":1.34,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":9,"observability":"high","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T08:47:16.383Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCNIMPORT-27FEB04-T220","connectedTitle":"Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $220 billion?: Below $22","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCNIMPORT-27FEB04","groupLabel":"KXCNIMPORT-27FEB04"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCNIMPORT-27FEB04-T240","connectedTitle":"Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $240 billion?: Below $24","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCNIMPORT-27FEB04","groupLabel":"KXCNIMPORT-27FEB04"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCNIMPORT-27FEB04-T280","connectedTitle":"Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $280 billion?: Below $28","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCNIMPORT-27FEB04","groupLabel":"KXCNIMPORT-27FEB04"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCNIMPORT-27FEB04-T300","connectedTitle":"Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $300 billion?: Below $30","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCNIMPORT-27FEB04","groupLabel":"KXCNIMPORT-27FEB04"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:16:37.894Z","priceCents":44,"iy":179.70184966305027,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:46:03.841Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2682.9098449444455,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T02:30:55.393Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6919.913177046859,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T04:00:53.477Z","priceCents":37,"iy":240.51800014957198,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T06:00:39.938Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4568.782075353612,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T06:30:33.893Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6924.360508109071,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T09:00:23.518Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4570.9763336909555,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T09:15:32.190Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6927.444843827468,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T10:00:47.760Z","priceCents":1,"iy":14052.382896809195,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T11:45:51.158Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6957.194871475695,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:01:34.013Z","priceCents":1,"iy":14335.81553671532,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T16:00:25.541Z","priceCents":51,"iy":151.41711041817234,"cri":1.041}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 145%","4 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.18)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 53c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXCNIMPORT-27FEB04-T260","marketTitle":"Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $260 billion?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":53},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCNIMPORT-27FEB04-T220","reason":"Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $220"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCNIMPORT-27FEB04-T240","reason":"Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $240"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCNIMPORT-27FEB04-T280","reason":"Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $280"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20U.S.%20imports%20of%20goods%20from%20China%20for%202026%20be%20below%20%24260","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":155}