{"ticker":"KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2-ICAS","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Iván Cepeda Castro finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","description":"If Iván Cepeda Castro finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":8,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":10,"spread":2,"volume":942.03,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":535.01,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-05-31T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":387,"iyYes":1083.7655916366086,"iyNo":8.194824889501765,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.25,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.03,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":1887,"askDepthUsd":412,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T06:42:27.358Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2-PVAL","connectedTitle":"Will Paloma Valencia finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Colombian preside","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2","groupLabel":"KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2-AESP","connectedTitle":"Will Abelardo de la Espriella finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Colombia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2","groupLabel":"KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T17:25:58.037Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4529.487890552782,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T19:41:06.630Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1756.7502526832552,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T21:51:08.489Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1448.8787764385536,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T23:40:58.175Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1228.9210800603435,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T02:05:55.605Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1064.0158582089553,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T08:00:35.497Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1230.0027176374667,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T20:45:39.630Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2997.4922829707216,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T22:10:42.843Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1452.610846781944,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T00:55:44.961Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4544.588293587773,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T09:30:15.714Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2239.3382193171037,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T22:20:29.032Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1784.3726521412468,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T22:50:23.782Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1471.4005365830226,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T01:36:38.353Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1248.1559869569626,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T02:31:03.015Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1080.4987669829436,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T02:36:01.965Z","priceCents":9,"iy":950.0110832242888,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T02:56:00.968Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1080.5460522420524,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T03:06:17.344Z","priceCents":9,"iy":950.062441255736,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T04:11:00.087Z","priceCents":10,"iy":845.7579510258515,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T04:15:43.645Z","priceCents":9,"iy":950.1798518960973,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T04:20:45.966Z","priceCents":10,"iy":845.7731937528644,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T04:30:56.558Z","priceCents":9,"iy":950.2067625884877,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T06:06:36.489Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1080.913349247674,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T06:11:35.699Z","priceCents":9,"iy":950.3780481698465,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T09:41:23.093Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1081.3282497810294,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T10:06:06.362Z","priceCents":9,"iy":950.7771382967823,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:15:39.170Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1081.512133033078,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:30:55.411Z","priceCents":9,"iy":950.9192266906697,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:35:49.447Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1081.551146611698,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:45:30.739Z","priceCents":9,"iy":950.9461792806251,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:06:06.444Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1081.6096722574528,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:10:35.457Z","priceCents":9,"iy":950.9878362886537,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:01:13.655Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1081.7155919091026,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1084%","2 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5","illiquid (LAS 0.25)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2-PVAL","reason":"Will Paloma Valencia finish 2nd in the first round of the 20"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCOLOMBIA1R2-COLOMBIAPRES26-2-AESP","reason":"Will Abelardo de la Espriella finish 2nd in the first round "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Iv%C3%A1n%20Cepeda%20Castro%20finish%202nd%20in%20the%20first%20round%20of%20the","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":167}