{"ticker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27FEB01","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Feb 1, 2027?","description":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":25,"bestBid":25,"bestAsk":34,"spread":9,"volume":9949.68,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":6099.51,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-02-01T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":238,"iyYes":459.9758040125012,"iyNo":51.10842266805569,"cri":3,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.36,"cvr":null,"overround":1.06,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":9,"observability":"high","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T04:00:48.814Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26AUG01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26DEC01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26JUL01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26NOV01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26OCT01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26SEP01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27APR01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27JAN01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27MAR01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27MAY01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T20:15:26.001Z","priceCents":43,"iy":194.80971851891806,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T02:00:26.239Z","priceCents":44,"iy":187.22310399052677,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T02:30:24.100Z","priceCents":46,"iy":172.70176534325068,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T02:45:39.095Z","priceCents":45,"iy":179.81608151423507,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T03:00:30.784Z","priceCents":43,"iy":195.0311628019468,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T03:15:32.704Z","priceCents":46,"iy":172.7233467983349,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T03:30:25.527Z","priceCents":45,"iy":179.8385529065762,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T03:45:37.485Z","priceCents":43,"iy":195.05553668492595,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T04:01:46.121Z","priceCents":45,"iy":179.85450375387484,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T04:15:24.627Z","priceCents":43,"iy":195.07205148664502,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T05:00:29.179Z","priceCents":44,"iy":187.31747085490449,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T05:15:25.336Z","priceCents":43,"iy":195.1043027321073,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T05:45:21.873Z","priceCents":44,"iy":187.3408885604008,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T06:01:29.370Z","priceCents":43,"iy":195.12948184658052,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T07:00:23.503Z","priceCents":44,"iy":187.38018302386882,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T07:45:39.422Z","priceCents":43,"iy":195.18694603214635,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T08:15:36.136Z","priceCents":44,"iy":187.4202501161749,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T08:30:33.106Z","priceCents":43,"iy":195.21135887091364,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T17:00:24.578Z","priceCents":44,"iy":187.69589151691707,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T17:16:14.841Z","priceCents":45,"iy":180.2556532482832,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T18:45:23.713Z","priceCents":46,"iy":173.1743070128302,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T21:01:18.290Z","priceCents":44,"iy":187.82262487080308,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T12:30:35.248Z","priceCents":40,"iy":221.9420640003891,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T16:30:34.587Z","priceCents":41,"iy":213.06340355306853,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T17:15:28.228Z","priceCents":40,"iy":222.1194454924966,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T03:45:24.714Z","priceCents":41,"iy":213.46952560201933,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T04:00:31.942Z","priceCents":43,"iy":196.64901756305883,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T20:31:02.468Z","priceCents":44,"iy":189.33758892104623,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T23:00:31.759Z","priceCents":45,"iy":181.90129668667808,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T01:00:53.127Z","priceCents":43,"iy":197.3516649204926,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T01:31:27.632Z","priceCents":44,"iy":189.49901060007775,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T03:31:01.561Z","priceCents":43,"iy":197.4354178356922,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T04:00:28.716Z","priceCents":44,"iy":189.5786642012784,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T04:15:49.563Z","priceCents":45,"iy":182.06387426482925,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T17:00:57.269Z","priceCents":41,"iy":214.82456060721086,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T18:01:08.753Z","priceCents":38,"iy":243.61188912138894,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T20:31:05.509Z","priceCents":39,"iy":233.6363522843738,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T15:45:49.665Z","priceCents":38,"iy":244.51811562649044,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T14:30:23.274Z","priceCents":37,"iy":257.2345900036367,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T17:15:48.401Z","priceCents":36,"iy":268.70440307132816,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T19:15:22.663Z","priceCents":30,"iy":352.7957857818466,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T19:45:24.433Z","priceCents":31,"iy":336.5671936991307,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T21:45:22.979Z","priceCents":30,"iy":352.947839696755,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T02:00:24.519Z","priceCents":31,"iy":336.93010850795014,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T18:30:26.166Z","priceCents":26,"iy":432.06584421122943,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T19:00:21.655Z","priceCents":27,"iy":410.47677852216646,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T21:00:54.050Z","priceCents":26,"iy":432.2546118894503,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T00:45:25.200Z","priceCents":25,"iy":457.8218550356223,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T01:00:42.056Z","priceCents":23,"iy":510.9261479477057,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T16:15:40.663Z","priceCents":25,"iy":459.06175323858633,"cri":3}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 460%","10 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.36)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26AUG01","reason":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreemen"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26DEC01","reason":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreemen"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26JUL01","reason":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreemen"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Tesla%20or%20SpaceX%20announce%20a%20definitive%2C%20binding%20agreemen","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":224}