{"ticker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27JAN01","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":11,"bestBid":11,"bestAsk":15,"spread":4,"volume":8553.78,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":5737,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":254,"iyYes":1162.7936112034815,"iyNo":17.762659633331808,"cri":8.091,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2727,"cvr":null,"overround":0.24,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":6038,"askDepthUsd":2131,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T05:49:58.137Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26MAY01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26JUN01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26JUL01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26AUG01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26SEP01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26OCT01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26NOV01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26DEC01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27FEB01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27MAR01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27APR01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-27MAY01","connectedTitle":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acqui","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27","groupLabel":"KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T19:15:35.304Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1134.072624635402,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:15:33.259Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1028.047912409806,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:35:34.578Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1134.3122021055572,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:50:59.310Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1028.146634452259,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T21:40:33.262Z","priceCents":13,"iy":938.3998354586589,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T02:31:27.017Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1029.0834621289598,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T02:35:56.817Z","priceCents":13,"iy":939.1394460156739,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T04:25:54.703Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1029.396117522937,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T04:31:12.448Z","priceCents":13,"iy":939.4283908838613,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T07:25:55.817Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1136.284934159485,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T09:11:12.113Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1030.1805702556208,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T14:30:24.654Z","priceCents":13,"iy":940.9337749148922,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T19:00:42.472Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1031.8087491728184,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T19:40:57.258Z","priceCents":13,"iy":941.7136905686878,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T05:50:32.539Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1033.6057006636702,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T05:55:32.812Z","priceCents":13,"iy":943.2664793896793,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T08:10:19.739Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1033.9930028418712,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T08:15:16.954Z","priceCents":13,"iy":943.6199346731519,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T09:06:11.812Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1034.1488040964143,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T09:10:46.874Z","priceCents":13,"iy":943.7621202327083,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T09:55:22.281Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1034.2846691448283,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T10:00:20.817Z","priceCents":13,"iy":943.8861118401752,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T10:25:46.174Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1034.3686036281476,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T10:30:40.249Z","priceCents":13,"iy":943.9627111691105,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T14:40:32.019Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1035.076593089865,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T14:45:15.906Z","priceCents":13,"iy":944.6088284262556,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T15:30:16.540Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1035.2127020469625,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T15:25:46.380Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1151.0462526774184,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T15:30:41.302Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1043.2866517774203,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T16:00:50.802Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1151.158422928907,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T16:10:17.234Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1043.3964568699146,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T16:15:16.976Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1151.2032971511396,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T16:25:31.992Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1043.4411989048415,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T18:15:19.610Z","priceCents":13,"iy":952.5135048147598,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T18:35:19.483Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1043.8074142823532,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T19:40:19.212Z","priceCents":13,"iy":952.7326971981167,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T19:55:19.351Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1044.0313391424643,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T22:10:18.128Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1152.3083057006363,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T22:15:18.071Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1044.4305707299309,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T02:00:17.708Z","priceCents":13,"iy":953.714727121358,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T02:25:17.898Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1045.1360824447074,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T09:45:23.424Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1154.4840787103328,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T09:50:25.508Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1046.3985905545262,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T15:00:31.206Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1155.4733190059624,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T15:45:31.177Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1047.40997556913,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:20:27.646Z","priceCents":13,"iy":959.5441326845115,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:30:27.858Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1051.4834034540509,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:50:47.342Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1160.358426984754,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:30:29.707Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1052.8606867326441,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:05:32.944Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1162.3085017580431,"cri":8.091}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1163%","12 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 8.1","illiquid (LAS 0.27)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26MAY01","reason":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreemen"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26JUN01","reason":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreemen"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCOMPANYACTIONMERGER-27-26JUL01","reason":"Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreemen"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Tesla%20or%20SpaceX%20announce%20a%20definitive%2C%20binding%20agreemen","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1833}