{"ticker":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26-NMAC","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?","description":"If the winner of the Conn Smythe trophy in 2026 is Nathan MacKinnon, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":27,"bestBid":21,"bestAsk":26,"spread":5,"volume":9596.99,"volume24h":546.53,"openInterest":7986.45,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-06-28T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":56,"iyYes":2458.145040360977,"iyNo":173.69683749386166,"cri":3.762,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2857,"cvr":null,"overround":0.03,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"observability":"direct","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-05-03T17:28:32.175Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26-CMCD","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?: Connor McDavid","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCONNSMYTHE-26","groupLabel":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26-KKAP","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?: Kirill Kaprizov","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCONNSMYTHE-26","groupLabel":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26-LDRA","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?: Leon Draisaitl","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCONNSMYTHE-26","groupLabel":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26-KKUC","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?: Nikita Kucherov","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCONNSMYTHE-26","groupLabel":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26-NSUZ","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?: Nick Suzuki","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCONNSMYTHE-26","groupLabel":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26-JEIC","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?: Jack Eichel","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCONNSMYTHE-26","groupLabel":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26-TTHO","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?: Tage Thompson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCONNSMYTHE-26","groupLabel":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26-SAHO","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?: Sebastian Aho","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCONNSMYTHE-26","groupLabel":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26-CMAK","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?: Cale Makar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCONNSMYTHE-26","groupLabel":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26-AVAS","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?: Andrei Vasilevskiy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCONNSMYTHE-26","groupLabel":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26-MRAN","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?: Mikko Rantanen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCONNSMYTHE-26","groupLabel":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26-SJAR","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?: Seth Jarvis","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCONNSMYTHE-26","groupLabel":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26-SCRO","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?: Sidney Crosby","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCONNSMYTHE-26","groupLabel":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26-JROB","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?: Jason Robertson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCONNSMYTHE-26","groupLabel":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26-JOET","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?: Jake Oettinger","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCONNSMYTHE-26","groupLabel":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26-CCAU","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?: Cole Caufield","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCONNSMYTHE-26","groupLabel":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26-SWED","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?: Scott Wedgewood","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCONNSMYTHE-26","groupLabel":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26-FAND","connectedTitle":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?: Frederik Andersen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCONNSMYTHE-26","groupLabel":"KXCONNSMYTHE-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T15:31:02.692Z","priceCents":17,"iy":3075.8562292307365,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T17:20:58.269Z","priceCents":15,"iy":3574.7205899297155,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T17:25:58.037Z","priceCents":14,"iy":3875.318210662248,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T17:40:58.509Z","priceCents":15,"iy":3575.523939587763,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T17:50:59.166Z","priceCents":16,"iy":3313.01867219917,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T17:56:25.817Z","priceCents":17,"iy":3081.2276497845837,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T18:16:09.474Z","priceCents":18,"iy":2875.6836113897443,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T20:16:01.661Z","priceCents":17,"iy":3086.4040311217923,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T21:21:18.559Z","priceCents":18,"iy":2882.0636076156584,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T23:20:59.817Z","priceCents":17,"iy":3093.3150903131605,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T23:26:02.479Z","priceCents":18,"iy":2886.4161955626537,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T01:11:05.667Z","priceCents":20,"iy":2537.629923175861,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T03:30:41.524Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2390.6109965618652,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T05:35:23.489Z","priceCents":20,"iy":2545.7715780296426,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T06:05:43.062Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2395.114580919322,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T08:05:36.804Z","priceCents":20,"iy":2550.3965342556685,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T13:35:37.239Z","priceCents":19,"iy":2729.102954520489,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T13:40:36.031Z","priceCents":20,"iy":2560.819462227913,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T14:05:37.869Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2409.1080744179208,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T14:25:36.743Z","priceCents":20,"iy":2562.2126285493664,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T14:30:42.629Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2409.826845145121,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T14:45:38.251Z","priceCents":20,"iy":2562.842297430136,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T14:50:37.866Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2410.419096103288,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T15:15:36.113Z","priceCents":20,"iy":2563.7423614525533,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T15:55:37.073Z","priceCents":18,"iy":2921.2540017178108,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T18:15:38.085Z","priceCents":19,"iy":2738.4686064885914,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T18:30:39.225Z","priceCents":18,"iy":2926.807325525907,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T18:35:38.065Z","priceCents":19,"iy":2739.0952693744784,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T18:45:38.300Z","priceCents":18,"iy":2927.3225903626244,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T18:50:45.467Z","priceCents":19,"iy":2739.6257466441552,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T18:55:37.983Z","priceCents":18,"iy":2927.6833837094428,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T19:00:38.352Z","priceCents":19,"iy":2739.9634300838998,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T19:15:38.084Z","priceCents":18,"iy":2928.405237276163,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T19:20:36.488Z","priceCents":19,"iy":2740.639046760039,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T19:25:37.511Z","priceCents":18,"iy":2928.766297561873,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T19:30:42.505Z","priceCents":19,"iy":2740.976980058036,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T19:55:41.203Z","priceCents":18,"iy":2929.8500128236005,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T20:05:37.887Z","priceCents":19,"iy":2742.1362414600985,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T20:20:39.248Z","priceCents":18,"iy":2930.727893714358,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T20:30:37.785Z","priceCents":19,"iy":2742.9579784218786,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T20:40:37.713Z","priceCents":18,"iy":2931.451249564151,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T20:45:39.630Z","priceCents":19,"iy":2743.4899530641906,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T20:50:36.713Z","priceCents":18,"iy":2931.813061408407,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T20:55:40.788Z","priceCents":19,"iy":2743.8285898308045,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T21:00:38.542Z","priceCents":18,"iy":2932.1749625763177,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T22:35:38.310Z","priceCents":17,"iy":3146.179201880957,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T04:05:40.862Z","priceCents":18,"iy":2947.50815907287,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T15:15:13.150Z","priceCents":19,"iy":2781.2480009633005,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T16:35:59.400Z","priceCents":20,"iy":2612.1806340800113,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T16:55:53.423Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2457.3092059401524,"cri":3.762}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 2458%","18 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","illiquid (LAS 0.29)","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCONNSMYTHE-26-CMCD","reason":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?: Connor McDav"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCONNSMYTHE-26-KKAP","reason":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?: Kirill Kapri"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCONNSMYTHE-26-LDRA","reason":"Who will win the Conn Smythe trophy this year?: Leon Draisai"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20win%20the%20Conn%20Smythe%20trophy%20this%20year%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":3693}