{"ticker":"KXCPI-26JUN-T0.2","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in June 2026?","description":"If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.2% (single-decimal) in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":77,"bestBid":66,"bestAsk":76,"spread":10,"volume":2160.83,"volume24h":208.76,"openInterest":970.07,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-14T12:25:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Stagflation traps the Fed in an impossible triangle. Powell stays until Warsh co","thesisSlug":"powell-warsh-fed-succession","thesisPrice":94,"edge":23,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-20T06:05:18.653Z","firstDetectedPrice":86},{"thesisTitle":"Hormuz blockade disrupts fertilizer supply chains. Fertilizer prices spike, US f","thesisSlug":"fertilizer-shock-farm-crisis","thesisPrice":78,"edge":1,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-07T06:05:33.207Z","firstDetectedPrice":59}],"indicators":{"tauDays":50,"iyYes":372.71363759500287,"iyNo":1404.4468904531427,"cri":1.941,"ee":18,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.1515,"cvr":null,"overround":3.67,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.635,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":10,"bidDepthUsd":290,"askDepthUsd":10449,"volume24h":208.76,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65,"sfEdgeCents":23,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-05-25T01:52:29.620Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26JUN-T-0.1","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in June 2026?: Above -0.1%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26JUN-T0.0","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in June 2026?: Above 0.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26JUN-T0.1","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in June 2026?: Above 0.1%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26JUN-T0.3","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in June 2026?: Above 0.3%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26JUN-T0.4","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in June 2026?: Above 0.4%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26JUN-T0.5","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in June 2026?: Above 0.5%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26JUN"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T18:30:42.791Z","priceCents":73,"iy":1598.2441807596472,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T18:35:45.251Z","priceCents":71,"iy":1447.323080600509,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T19:10:45.457Z","priceCents":70,"iy":1379.932380612895,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T10:50:57.135Z","priceCents":71,"iy":1463.3925974865674,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T10:56:02.250Z","priceCents":73,"iy":1616.14727957134,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T11:16:02.673Z","priceCents":74,"iy":1701.687448968277,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T13:36:20.520Z","priceCents":75,"iy":1796.554552912223,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T14:26:03.075Z","priceCents":73,"iy":1620.0207693411446,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T14:55:55.761Z","priceCents":74,"iy":1705.9629753611193,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T15:51:10.491Z","priceCents":76,"iy":1899.2611093766263,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T15:56:03.229Z","priceCents":74,"iy":1707.140410244612,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T19:51:22.617Z","priceCents":75,"iy":1804.2511122095898,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T21:35:55.767Z","priceCents":74,"iy":1713.7868153259874,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T22:05:51.568Z","priceCents":75,"iy":1807.020149512352,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T22:55:48.757Z","priceCents":76,"iy":1908.5124885791975,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T03:30:54.473Z","priceCents":74,"iy":1720.7701609152637,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T14:11:39.297Z","priceCents":79,"iy":2291.31802238634,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T20:20:46.013Z","priceCents":83,"iy":2986.5239207799755,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T00:10:40.584Z","priceCents":79,"iy":2307.335301790016,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T03:15:39.902Z","priceCents":80,"iy":2458.698910425894,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T03:31:46.269Z","priceCents":79,"iy":2312.776213736295,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T03:45:42.304Z","priceCents":80,"iy":2459.5272990684125,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T06:15:42.263Z","priceCents":81,"iy":2625.983244867942,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T13:30:50.972Z","priceCents":79,"iy":2329.0959699006658,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T23:30:40.691Z","priceCents":78,"iy":2210.685211471026,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T00:15:47.632Z","priceCents":77,"iy":2162.525257033112,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T07:01:06.720Z","priceCents":78,"iy":2301.629006831319,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T18:16:56.292Z","priceCents":77,"iy":2191.6143943954557,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T19:16:11.302Z","priceCents":76,"iy":2074.5832884613087,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T19:30:37.583Z","priceCents":75,"iy":1965.7475226195609,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T01:01:50.489Z","priceCents":76,"iy":2083.558664118927,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T17:01:11.862Z","priceCents":75,"iy":1997.883520653919,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T18:30:41.897Z","priceCents":76,"iy":2111.2653588085586,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T19:01:57.415Z","priceCents":77,"iy":2232.9444516832295,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T20:00:50.393Z","priceCents":79,"iy":2511.009341285662,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T07:01:01.096Z","priceCents":76,"iy":2131.5506377747047,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T10:31:06.482Z","priceCents":77,"iy":2259.576770537788,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T00:15:56.922Z","priceCents":74,"iy":1941.5507678506217,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:16:39.156Z","priceCents":55,"iy":834.414018986816,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T08:15:45.851Z","priceCents":74,"iy":1953.7098787846344,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T13:30:21.680Z","priceCents":75,"iy":2067.793409498631,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T14:45:36.578Z","priceCents":76,"iy":2184.8575353168753,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T15:30:23.107Z","priceCents":73,"iy":1866.5276840836218,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T00:15:48.990Z","priceCents":74,"iy":1978.5284612161536,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T19:45:39.572Z","priceCents":77,"iy":2363.826598326944,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T06:01:31.864Z","priceCents":76,"iy":2254.5806837540154,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T06:15:35.465Z","priceCents":72,"iy":1831.1087823544658,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T07:00:28.723Z","priceCents":73,"iy":1926.504347197368,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T07:30:28.960Z","priceCents":72,"iy":1832.9683206160112,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T16:00:23.503Z","priceCents":66,"iy":1393.3715078951936,"cri":1.941}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["+23c executable edge (yes)","IY 373%","6 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","illiquid (LAS 0.15)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 69c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXCPI-26JUN-T0.2","marketTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in June 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":69},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPI-26JUN-T-0.1","reason":"Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in June 2026?: Above -0.1%"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPI-26JUN-T0.0","reason":"Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in June 2026?: Above 0.0%"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPI-26JUN-T0.1","reason":"Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in June 2026?: Above 0.1%"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20CPI%20rise%20more%20than%200.2%25%20in%20June%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":236}