{"ticker":"KXCPI-26NOV-T0.2","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in November 2026?","description":"If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.2% (single-decimal) in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":64,"bestBid":63,"bestAsk":65,"spread":2,"volume":1300.06,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":339.06,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-10T13:25:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Stagflation traps the Fed in an impossible triangle. Powell stays until Warsh co","thesisSlug":"powell-warsh-fed-succession","thesisPrice":75,"edge":11,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-18T06:04:45.167Z","firstDetectedPrice":60},{"thesisTitle":"Hormuz blockade disrupts fertilizer supply chains. Fertilizer prices spike, US f","thesisSlug":"fertilizer-shock-farm-crisis","thesisPrice":75,"edge":11,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-07T06:05:33.207Z","firstDetectedPrice":55}],"indicators":{"tauDays":200,"iyYes":107.44470476215935,"iyNo":311.503311322871,"cri":1.703,"ee":10,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.0317,"cvr":null,"overround":3.1,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.635,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":304,"askDepthUsd":302,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65,"sfEdgeCents":11,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-05-25T01:26:20.508Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26NOV-T-0.1","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in November 2026?: Above -0.1%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26NOV","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26NOV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26NOV-T0.0","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in November 2026?: Above 0.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26NOV","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26NOV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26NOV-T0.1","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in November 2026?: Above 0.1%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26NOV","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26NOV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26NOV-T0.3","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in November 2026?: Above 0.3%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26NOV","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26NOV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26NOV-T0.4","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in November 2026?: Above 0.4%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26NOV","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26NOV"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26NOV-T0.5","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in November 2026?: Above 0.5%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26NOV","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26NOV"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T05:45:42.631Z","priceCents":55,"iy":215.18100661835686,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T23:45:46.334Z","priceCents":56,"iy":224.88633558058305,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T12:01:09.985Z","priceCents":58,"iy":244.61443819100396,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T12:15:42.976Z","priceCents":60,"iy":265.7147849044883,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T12:45:41.421Z","priceCents":59,"iy":254.93935379296127,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T13:01:11.627Z","priceCents":60,"iy":265.7547678104234,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T16:31:32.477Z","priceCents":56,"iy":225.64990263052152,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T20:30:27.112Z","priceCents":57,"iy":235.20926049552781,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T09:16:10.801Z","priceCents":58,"iy":245.66956619419656,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T13:00:46.810Z","priceCents":59,"iy":256.1952923118689,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T14:00:47.236Z","priceCents":60,"iy":267.10574460300035,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T14:16:19.913Z","priceCents":58,"iy":245.92007330439438,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T18:46:26.541Z","priceCents":57,"iy":236.275172164025,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T22:01:44.596Z","priceCents":58,"iy":246.3082271136375,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T22:16:01.876Z","priceCents":57,"iy":236.44374962851447,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T23:00:39.077Z","priceCents":58,"iy":246.35758506726245,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T23:30:38.273Z","priceCents":59,"iy":256.74380187557097,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T00:16:05.778Z","priceCents":60,"iy":267.6633357451551,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T01:01:50.489Z","priceCents":62,"iy":291.188129921118,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T02:32:09.346Z","priceCents":61,"iy":279.23162580027486,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T04:45:37.102Z","priceCents":62,"iy":291.40898497730666,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T12:00:41.372Z","priceCents":63,"iy":304.5621543212926,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T18:30:41.897Z","priceCents":64,"iy":318.41368917153557,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T19:01:57.415Z","priceCents":65,"iy":332.6644989140205,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T07:01:01.096Z","priceCents":66,"iy":348.57080183438825,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T09:30:53.537Z","priceCents":67,"iy":364.76159835236047,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T09:46:00.262Z","priceCents":66,"iy":348.76812030632533,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T11:01:00.239Z","priceCents":61,"iy":281.0917951242914,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T17:15:47.515Z","priceCents":67,"iy":365.3424403769504,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T20:45:52.393Z","priceCents":69,"iy":400.81075652891036,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T22:01:58.573Z","priceCents":61,"iy":281.72849319606394,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T22:16:03.032Z","priceCents":69,"iy":400.93537259289513,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T22:46:29.142Z","priceCents":66,"iy":349.7011064432683,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T23:45:58.373Z","priceCents":71,"iy":441.1438520480293,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T00:01:19.444Z","priceCents":66,"iy":349.7908805204959,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T00:31:09.393Z","priceCents":67,"iy":365.889001051959,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:16:38.703Z","priceCents":59,"iy":259.37201981127686,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:30:58.259Z","priceCents":63,"iy":306.9129693853145,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T03:16:16.340Z","priceCents":64,"iy":320.5608497497265,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T03:46:11.755Z","priceCents":63,"iy":307.0555066088707,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T06:00:39.938Z","priceCents":64,"iy":320.7414840115313,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T06:15:23.022Z","priceCents":63,"iy":307.21336171711357,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T11:15:23.090Z","priceCents":64,"iy":321.08906372848185,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T11:45:21.856Z","priceCents":63,"iy":307.56151932581764,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T00:15:27.110Z","priceCents":64,"iy":323.55789580992524,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T00:45:26.517Z","priceCents":63,"iy":309.9265866873222,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T02:15:34.518Z","priceCents":64,"iy":323.6918608679265,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T02:30:27.078Z","priceCents":65,"iy":338.1592591140869,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T02:45:34.330Z","priceCents":64,"iy":323.72577322787856,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T03:00:27.152Z","priceCents":63,"iy":310.07039049586723,"cri":1.703}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["+11c executable edge (yes)","IY 107%","tight LAS 0.032","6 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 58c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXCPI-26NOV-T0.2","marketTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in November 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":58},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPI-26NOV-T-0.1","reason":"Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in November 2026?: Above -0.1%"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPI-26NOV-T0.0","reason":"Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in November 2026?: Above 0.0%"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPI-26NOV-T0.1","reason":"Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in November 2026?: Above 0.1%"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20CPI%20rise%20more%20than%200.2%25%20in%20November%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":208}