{"ticker":"KXCPI-26OCT-T0.4","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in October 2026?","description":"If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.4% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":39,"bestBid":37,"bestAsk":40,"spread":3,"volume":1112,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":211,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-11-10T13:25:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Hormuz blockade disrupts fertilizer supply chains. Fertilizer prices spike, US f","thesisSlug":"fertilizer-shock-farm-crisis","thesisPrice":60,"edge":22,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-11T06:04:33.134Z","firstDetectedPrice":36}],"indicators":{"tauDays":169,"iyYes":366.6781637293345,"iyNo":126.47578890034241,"cri":1.703,"ee":20,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.0811,"cvr":null,"overround":2.94,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.635,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":352,"askDepthUsd":324,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65,"sfEdgeCents":22,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-05-25T01:51:13.674Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26OCT-T-0.1","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in October 2026?: Above -0.1%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26OCT","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26OCT"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26OCT-T0.0","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in October 2026?: Above 0.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26OCT","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26OCT"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26OCT-T0.1","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in October 2026?: Above 0.1%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26OCT","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26OCT"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26OCT-T0.2","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in October 2026?: Above 0.2%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26OCT","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26OCT"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26OCT-T0.3","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in October 2026?: Above 0.3%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26OCT","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26OCT"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26OCT-T0.5","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in October 2026?: Above 0.5%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26OCT","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26OCT"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T02:10:36.251Z","priceCents":36,"iy":330.27713871413613,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T02:20:35.968Z","priceCents":39,"iy":290.5907207524322,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T02:25:36.453Z","priceCents":36,"iy":330.29395030433426,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T03:15:35.315Z","priceCents":39,"iy":290.64693844276684,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T03:20:40.740Z","priceCents":36,"iy":330.3578499587053,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T03:55:34.355Z","priceCents":39,"iy":290.6883759247618,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T04:00:38.980Z","priceCents":36,"iy":330.40494973771285,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T06:00:36.236Z","priceCents":39,"iy":290.8157221000748,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T06:05:56.896Z","priceCents":36,"iy":330.5513812123425,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T07:25:44.069Z","priceCents":39,"iy":290.9046343662571,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T07:30:49.213Z","priceCents":36,"iy":330.65075919452573,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T08:45:48.097Z","priceCents":39,"iy":290.98618505022375,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T08:50:43.589Z","priceCents":36,"iy":330.74513934904377,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T10:15:09.967Z","priceCents":30,"iy":434.231367990265,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T10:20:14.514Z","priceCents":33,"iy":377.84538977637357,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T10:25:10.090Z","priceCents":30,"iy":434.24686636923735,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T10:30:51.432Z","priceCents":33,"iy":377.8588759289448,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T16:56:11.383Z","priceCents":37,"iy":318.9514590416809,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:10:31.196Z","priceCents":39,"iy":307.2611898135843,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:25:31.596Z","priceCents":37,"iy":334.5083919492798,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:35:47.368Z","priceCents":39,"iy":307.29095933849845,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:05:27.878Z","priceCents":37,"iy":335.38570814952993,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T13:30:56.404Z","priceCents":38,"iy":327.2194530591187,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T13:36:07.194Z","priceCents":37,"iy":341.49110207398485,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T14:00:56.197Z","priceCents":38,"iy":327.257214336845,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T14:06:00.218Z","priceCents":37,"iy":341.52863434291345,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T14:40:59.940Z","priceCents":38,"iy":327.30757626642577,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T14:46:00.511Z","priceCents":37,"iy":341.58119338174737,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T14:56:10.403Z","priceCents":38,"iy":327.3255664265507,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T15:01:15.932Z","priceCents":37,"iy":341.6018460018174,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T02:30:45.953Z","priceCents":38,"iy":335.59475457835475,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T02:45:40.220Z","priceCents":37,"iy":350.24373125407817,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T16:31:32.477Z","priceCents":30,"iy":484.25920661094375,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T16:46:08.400Z","priceCents":34,"iy":402.8940132859693,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T22:16:11.788Z","priceCents":35,"iy":385.95529425735947,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T22:30:56.839Z","priceCents":34,"iy":403.4423057406037,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T18:16:55.536Z","priceCents":35,"iy":387.7967830438411,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T08:32:01.734Z","priceCents":36,"iy":372.4900770301826,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T08:45:35.725Z","priceCents":35,"iy":389.13920276079716,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T13:02:11.391Z","priceCents":33,"iy":425.8577407023526,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T17:47:06.342Z","priceCents":35,"iy":389.9809817493832,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T18:00:40.026Z","priceCents":36,"iy":373.3344584508794,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T18:30:41.897Z","priceCents":37,"iy":357.61185265178625,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T19:16:18.724Z","priceCents":39,"iy":328.5627177751766,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T19:30:51.253Z","priceCents":40,"iy":315.1151681189782,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T06:45:21.216Z","priceCents":41,"iy":304.8815881534639,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T09:15:32.190Z","priceCents":40,"iy":317.9941105748287,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T13:45:31.309Z","priceCents":41,"iy":305.399219959197,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T22:46:01.106Z","priceCents":40,"iy":319.03735213565636,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T01:15:27.934Z","priceCents":37,"iy":364.493238686087,"cri":1.703}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["+22c executable edge (yes)","IY 367%","6 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 35c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXCPI-26OCT-T0.4","marketTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in October 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":35},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPI-26OCT-T-0.1","reason":"Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in October 2026?: Above -0.1%"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPI-26OCT-T0.0","reason":"Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in October 2026?: Above 0.0%"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPI-26OCT-T0.1","reason":"Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in October 2026?: Above 0.1%"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20CPI%20rise%20more%20than%200.4%25%20in%20October%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":263}