{"ticker":"KXCPI-26SEP-T0.3","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in September 2026?","description":"If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.3% (single-decimal) in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":48,"bestBid":43,"bestAsk":52,"spread":9,"volume":1886.99,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":308.01,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-10-14T12:25:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Stagflation traps the Fed in an impossible triangle. Powell stays until Warsh co","thesisSlug":"powell-warsh-fed-succession","thesisPrice":70,"edge":23,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-20T06:05:18.653Z","firstDetectedPrice":56}],"indicators":{"tauDays":142,"iyYes":339.60637980088836,"iyNo":193.26937403873265,"cri":1.326,"ee":18,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.2093,"cvr":null,"overround":2.95,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.635,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":9,"bidDepthUsd":318,"askDepthUsd":326,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65,"sfEdgeCents":23,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-05-25T01:26:21.051Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26SEP-T-0.1","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in September 2026?: Above -0.1%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26SEP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26SEP-T0.0","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in September 2026?: Above 0.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26SEP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26SEP-T0.1","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in September 2026?: Above 0.1%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26SEP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26SEP-T0.2","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in September 2026?: Above 0.2%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26SEP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26SEP-T0.4","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in September 2026?: Above 0.4%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26SEP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPI-26SEP-T0.5","connectedTitle":"Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in September 2026?: Above 0.5%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPI-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXCPI-26SEP"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T06:30:40.632Z","priceCents":36,"iy":431.8843023367603,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T01:00:44.814Z","priceCents":42,"iy":337.2119879897101,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T19:16:11.302Z","priceCents":43,"iy":327.5500015586374,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T19:30:37.583Z","priceCents":46,"iy":290.09252347232655,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T20:15:42.060Z","priceCents":43,"iy":327.64094269252035,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T22:01:44.596Z","priceCents":45,"iy":302.2453479434896,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T23:16:14.578Z","priceCents":46,"iy":290.39923338138453,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T23:30:38.273Z","priceCents":47,"iy":278.9760906890774,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T00:30:37.457Z","priceCents":46,"iy":290.5016141926325,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T03:15:37.905Z","priceCents":47,"iy":279.2713795991716,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T04:31:24.180Z","priceCents":48,"iy":268.39024677196386,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T16:45:39.596Z","priceCents":49,"iy":258.752585962085,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T18:16:09.833Z","priceCents":50,"iy":248.7121480552754,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T19:16:18.724Z","priceCents":43,"iy":329.78257651098437,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T19:30:51.253Z","priceCents":50,"iy":248.80030537681316,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T20:00:50.393Z","priceCents":51,"iy":258.9924934611874,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T21:45:53.696Z","priceCents":52,"iy":269.70647750267153,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T11:30:59.551Z","priceCents":50,"iy":249.93494843807773,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T12:16:51.654Z","priceCents":52,"iy":270.82220365373115,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T13:16:08.532Z","priceCents":54,"iy":293.55064321994826,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T17:31:02.423Z","priceCents":55,"iy":306.0019831062517,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T18:15:46.951Z","priceCents":51,"iy":260.6396712201717,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:16:39.156Z","priceCents":45,"iy":306.68145459434027,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T02:01:00.090Z","priceCents":51,"iy":261.21853993500343,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T13:30:26.671Z","priceCents":52,"iy":274.68074514026375,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T15:45:37.262Z","priceCents":51,"iy":264.07293094283614,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T23:00:41.701Z","priceCents":48,"iy":275.4384376226268,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T00:15:27.110Z","priceCents":46,"iy":298.57655784704946,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T00:45:26.517Z","priceCents":43,"iy":337.2016846955979,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T01:00:34.615Z","priceCents":44,"iy":323.7814633528173,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T01:15:27.934Z","priceCents":43,"iy":337.2510433222916,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T02:30:27.078Z","priceCents":44,"iy":323.9214398593256,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T02:45:34.330Z","priceCents":43,"iy":337.3992059401722,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T06:15:35.465Z","priceCents":44,"iy":324.2741747666464,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T07:15:38.066Z","priceCents":46,"iy":299.1853233736447,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T09:30:27.567Z","priceCents":45,"iy":311.7020640654489,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T10:15:33.340Z","priceCents":46,"iy":299.4466845129396,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T18:45:58.794Z","priceCents":45,"iy":312.5450037559891,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T19:15:30.465Z","priceCents":46,"iy":300.233514956077,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T19:30:26.210Z","priceCents":43,"iy":339.04713170689575,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T20:15:36.366Z","priceCents":46,"iy":300.3218975346178,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T20:30:28.420Z","priceCents":47,"iy":288.5091051504953,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T21:00:27.315Z","priceCents":45,"iy":312.7487774365973,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T21:30:25.019Z","priceCents":46,"iy":300.4313957057973,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T21:45:44.899Z","priceCents":47,"iy":288.61430372190864,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T22:00:24.961Z","priceCents":48,"iy":277.2907900888266,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T22:15:39.835Z","priceCents":44,"iy":325.791047440532,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T22:30:25.038Z","priceCents":46,"iy":300.5177871157001,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T23:15:37.996Z","priceCents":45,"iy":312.95501242466474,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T00:16:15.500Z","priceCents":43,"iy":339.5205881172201,"cri":1.326}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["+23c executable edge (yes)","IY 340%","6 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","illiquid (LAS 0.21)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPI-26SEP-T-0.1","reason":"Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in September 2026?: Above -0.1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPI-26SEP-T0.0","reason":"Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in September 2026?: Above 0.0%"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPI-26SEP-T0.1","reason":"Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in September 2026?: Above 0.1%"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20CPI%20rise%20more%20than%200.3%25%20in%20September%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":167}