{"ticker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T3.8","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.8% for the year ending in April 2026?","description":"If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.8% in the twelve months ending April 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.","price":8,"bestBid":7,"bestAsk":8,"spread":1,"volume":54023.34,"volume24h":750.95,"openInterest":25616.31,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-05-12T12:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":9,"iyYes":54425.204425204414,"iyNo":308.3402724979787,"cri":13.286,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1429,"cvr":null,"overround":1.84,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.568,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":2882,"askDepthUsd":9622,"volume24h":750.95,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65},"computedAt":"2026-05-03T14:53:05.571Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T2.3","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.3% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T2.4","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.4% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T2.5","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.5% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T2.6","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.6% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T2.7","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.7% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T2.8","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.8% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T2.9","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.9% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T3.0","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T3.1","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T3.2","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T3.3","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T3.4","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T3.5","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T3.6","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.6% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T3.7","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.7% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T3.9","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.9% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T4.0","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T4.1","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.1% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T4.2","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.2% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T4.3","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.3% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T4.4","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.4% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T4.5","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.5% for the year ending in April 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26APR","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26APR"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T18:06:27.113Z","priceCents":5,"iy":54323.9855867147,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T18:36:29.548Z","priceCents":7,"iy":38048.5344392759,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:20:50.378Z","priceCents":5,"iy":54546.16957684441,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T20:10:48.878Z","priceCents":7,"iy":38246.594481313296,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T20:25:13.065Z","priceCents":9,"iy":29130.59874935319,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T20:55:21.229Z","priceCents":10,"iy":25972.485768500952,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T22:55:16.554Z","priceCents":6,"iy":45510.01459079453,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T23:00:11.890Z","priceCents":7,"iy":38602.81574817476,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T23:05:22.745Z","priceCents":8,"iy":33424.908424908426,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T23:50:10.985Z","priceCents":10,"iy":26223.357547696975,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T00:05:20.169Z","priceCents":9,"iy":29486.701466567247,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T00:10:10.387Z","priceCents":10,"iy":26252.697194917284,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T02:00:22.749Z","priceCents":6,"iy":45978.397791536016,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T02:05:09.953Z","priceCents":7,"iy":39003.3436361756,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T02:40:16.056Z","priceCents":6,"iy":46082.144679936595,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T03:05:16.039Z","priceCents":8,"iy":33875.39343071584,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T05:25:14.785Z","priceCents":9,"iy":30019.160204616524,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T05:50:08.713Z","priceCents":8,"iy":34189.94868453206,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T10:21:05.327Z","priceCents":9,"iy":30528.21205687448,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T11:55:15.898Z","priceCents":8,"iy":34912.251517923985,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T12:05:15.241Z","priceCents":9,"iy":30713.678058884456,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T12:25:15.302Z","priceCents":10,"iy":27368.15796050987,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T13:05:17.318Z","priceCents":9,"iy":30818.83553699838,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:45:12.092Z","priceCents":10,"iy":27983.644262714028,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T21:05:13.924Z","priceCents":9,"iy":31700.356945160245,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T04:00:12.148Z","priceCents":7,"iy":42713.69430358244,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T04:05:15.331Z","priceCents":8,"iy":36982.37885462555,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T04:50:17.867Z","priceCents":6,"iy":50519.77500957092,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T04:55:11.142Z","priceCents":7,"iy":42857.14285714285,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T05:45:11.060Z","priceCents":6,"iy":50694.444444444445,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T05:50:20.851Z","priceCents":7,"iy":43001.5581651655,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T06:05:10.847Z","priceCents":6,"iy":50752.936303659655,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T06:10:53.669Z","priceCents":7,"iy":43055.009449398145,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T08:25:40.964Z","priceCents":6,"iy":51198.25708061002,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T08:50:40.450Z","priceCents":8,"iy":37638.98852223817,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T10:55:40.480Z","priceCents":7,"iy":43825.447033761535,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T12:10:12.427Z","priceCents":9,"iy":33510.90125810911,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T18:21:04.876Z","priceCents":10,"iy":30541.093343250275,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T18:30:58.513Z","priceCents":6,"iy":53198.7471702794,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T04:30:26.785Z","priceCents":7,"iy":46934.62750954039,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T04:35:22.886Z","priceCents":8,"iy":40638.00948784973,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T04:45:24.368Z","priceCents":7,"iy":46980.097987654655,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T06:05:43.062Z","priceCents":6,"iy":55701.66893954152,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T06:10:41.448Z","priceCents":7,"iy":47250.17747525784,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T06:55:36.618Z","priceCents":6,"iy":55886.760489966124,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T15:10:37.036Z","priceCents":7,"iy":49042.128987517324,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T16:50:36.391Z","priceCents":8,"iy":42753.10653900998,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T17:05:38.669Z","priceCents":7,"iy":49442.1463528315,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T10:46:05.263Z","priceCents":8,"iy":46273.83970896263,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T13:35:58.975Z","priceCents":7,"iy":54163.80782179955,"cri":13.286}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 54425%","22 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 13.3"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 7c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXCPIYOY-26APR-T3.8","marketTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.8% for the year ending in April 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":7},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPIYOY-26APR-T2.3","reason":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.3% for the year en"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPIYOY-26APR-T2.4","reason":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.4% for the year en"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPIYOY-26APR-T2.5","reason":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.5% for the year en"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20rate%20of%20CPI%20inflation%20be%20above%203.8%25%20for%20the%20year%20en","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2042}