{"ticker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.6","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.6% for the year ending in July 2026?","description":"If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.6% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.","price":32,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":70,"spread":70,"volume":3520.9,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":2843.56,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-08-12T12:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":76,"iyYes":1024.5766294153389,"iyNo":226.8958625694869,"cri":2.125,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":2.1875,"cvr":null,"overround":4.47,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.568,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":70,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":747,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:07:09.049Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.0","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in July 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.2","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in July 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.3","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in July 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.4","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in July 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.6","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.6% for the year ending in July 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.7","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.7% for the year ending in July 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.8","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.8% for the year ending in July 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.9","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.9% for the year ending in July 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.0","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in July 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.1","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.1% for the year ending in July 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.2","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.2% for the year ending in July 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.3","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.3% for the year ending in July 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.4","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.4% for the year ending in July 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.5","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.5% for the year ending in July 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.7","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.7% for the year ending in July 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.8","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.8% for the year ending in July 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.9","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.9% for the year ending in July 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T5.0","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 5.0% for the year ending in July 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUL"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T17:12:01.418Z","priceCents":31,"iy":884.9594837191701,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T18:40:58.121Z","priceCents":32,"iy":845.4415643870852,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T19:46:12.149Z","priceCents":33,"iy":808.1711373021787,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T00:00:45.728Z","priceCents":32,"iy":856.8548387096772,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T00:05:46.698Z","priceCents":28,"iy":1036.9121796935663,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T00:35:58.162Z","priceCents":27,"iy":1090.5042840508886,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T01:15:42.393Z","priceCents":29,"iy":987.775445080219,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T01:21:44.311Z","priceCents":32,"iy":857.3947359694017,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T02:15:37.222Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1148.8356820451572,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T05:40:39.124Z","priceCents":27,"iy":1093.052868561264,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T13:21:13.427Z","priceCents":28,"iy":1043.274452638198,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T13:50:52.447Z","priceCents":27,"iy":1097.196949014211,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T14:21:11.617Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1155.27474238357,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T16:06:00.662Z","priceCents":27,"iy":1098.3448361716341,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T16:21:47.115Z","priceCents":28,"iy":1044.7376706643386,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T16:26:37.988Z","priceCents":31,"iy":904.3461399662823,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T19:15:47.818Z","priceCents":32,"iy":864.5143672395727,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T10:30:40.997Z","priceCents":33,"iy":841.330358144236,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T11:00:39.691Z","priceCents":32,"iy":880.7815037303685,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T12:16:00.138Z","priceCents":33,"iy":842.0282085475416,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T14:45:43.035Z","priceCents":34,"iy":806.0171910183786,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T15:15:39.848Z","priceCents":36,"iy":738.3470129817589,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T15:30:47.126Z","priceCents":41,"iy":597.7239029053242,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T16:15:39.988Z","priceCents":40,"iy":623.2710631467503,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T16:30:48.817Z","priceCents":41,"iy":598.0097258846714,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T16:45:41.121Z","priceCents":42,"iy":573.9423140529925,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T17:15:40.364Z","priceCents":43,"iy":551.0611602400037,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T17:30:49.804Z","priceCents":33,"iy":844.1287231582251,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T18:15:46.285Z","priceCents":39,"iy":650.5286476571474,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T18:30:39.549Z","priceCents":43,"iy":551.3877187230916,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T19:00:38.896Z","priceCents":44,"iy":529.5292888763618,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T19:15:40.326Z","priceCents":46,"iy":488.4724467835167,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T19:45:43.021Z","priceCents":44,"iy":529.7164721090282,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T20:00:41.707Z","priceCents":43,"iy":551.7838757638912,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T21:45:54.465Z","priceCents":35,"iy":773.6947061019973,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T22:15:51.803Z","priceCents":40,"iy":625.0570828386153,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T22:30:39.832Z","priceCents":34,"iy":808.9897601844052,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T22:45:48.140Z","priceCents":41,"iy":599.7852081019328,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T23:00:40.368Z","priceCents":39,"iy":651.999675537552,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T23:30:40.691Z","priceCents":35,"iy":774.3310481456037,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T23:45:43.975Z","priceCents":34,"iy":809.4703664625907,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T02:15:38.911Z","priceCents":33,"iy":847.6432709498384,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T02:30:45.953Z","priceCents":32,"iy":887.2905107819022,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T01:01:31.712Z","priceCents":36,"iy":759.1385856884178,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T22:31:13.094Z","priceCents":13,"iy":2922.509999392582,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T07:15:53.958Z","priceCents":6,"iy":6871.592743469882,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T09:30:53.537Z","priceCents":32,"iy":933.0939319570762,"cri":2.125}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1025%","18 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 2.19)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.0","reason":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year en"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.2","reason":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year en"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.3","reason":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year en"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20rate%20of%20CPI%20inflation%20be%20above%204.6%25%20for%20the%20year%20en","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":171}