{"ticker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.4","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in June 2026?","description":"If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.4% in the twelve months ending June 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.","price":92,"bestBid":93,"bestAsk":97,"spread":4,"volume":1455,"volume24h":2,"openInterest":830,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-14T12:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":72,"iyYes":38.271391348568464,"iyNo":6755.29109742386,"cri":13.286,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.043,"cvr":null,"overround":12.98,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.568,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":557,"askDepthUsd":495,"volume24h":2,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65},"computedAt":"2026-05-03T17:49:38.541Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.5","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.5% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.6","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.6% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.7","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.7% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.8","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.8% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.9","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.9% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.0","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.1","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.2","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.3","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.5","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.6","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.6% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.7","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.7% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.8","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.8% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.9","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.9% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T4.0","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":-2,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:55:47.653Z","priceCents":52,"iy":469.209197093573,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:10:47.680Z","priceCents":51,"iy":450.84789193794836,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:25:55.723Z","priceCents":50,"iy":433.2241371124721,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:30:47.670Z","priceCents":67,"iy":879.6075989751882,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T08:10:46.732Z","priceCents":99,"iy":42926.3830646598,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:35:41.129Z","priceCents":41,"iy":626.2595712877363,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:05:28.944Z","priceCents":49,"iy":453.522860329577,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:30:29.219Z","priceCents":50,"iy":435.82609941611247,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:15:28.658Z","priceCents":49,"iy":454.4614491448728,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T11:40:23.572Z","priceCents":50,"iy":439.57896765180527,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T13:05:23.356Z","priceCents":49,"iy":457.8462900676993,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T13:21:05.475Z","priceCents":45,"iy":537.716492829554,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T15:00:22.947Z","priceCents":46,"iy":516.8927690084629,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T18:25:20.920Z","priceCents":50,"iy":441.07162278104715,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T18:35:29.595Z","priceCents":49,"iy":459.1189306709451,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T19:50:22.076Z","priceCents":48,"iy":478.17429125399576,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T04:55:22.185Z","priceCents":53,"iy":500.025201580333,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T13:10:31.371Z","priceCents":61,"iy":696.4626952183528,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T13:25:30.834Z","priceCents":63,"iy":758.27099045459,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T16:10:59.098Z","priceCents":62,"iy":727.6181069196706,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T17:50:12.373Z","priceCents":64,"iy":803.30897271363,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T22:11:22.776Z","priceCents":63,"iy":771.1133139194084,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T12:15:24.945Z","priceCents":65,"iy":857.9492752181942,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T17:30:40.809Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1031.1067949876376,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T17:35:24.471Z","priceCents":70,"iy":1080.9735954747186,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T20:15:26.018Z","priceCents":74,"iy":1320.4104858484845,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T22:35:24.379Z","priceCents":70,"iy":1083.8349516622336,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T00:25:17.551Z","priceCents":60,"iy":697.4255760926333,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T21:40:37.073Z","priceCents":72,"iy":1209.2343540351062,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T05:35:40.824Z","priceCents":75,"iy":1416.7971327648893,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T05:40:35.672Z","priceCents":74,"iy":1344.193046227102,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:01:03.116Z","priceCents":75,"iy":1422.4843461768298,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T14:25:57.166Z","priceCents":70,"iy":1107.225349610196,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T14:40:18.586Z","priceCents":71,"iy":1161.919527825316,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T21:25:32.353Z","priceCents":75,"iy":1429.0002218539157,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T22:50:30.441Z","priceCents":71,"iy":1167.0942033945937,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T01:00:31.015Z","priceCents":73,"iy":1290.373508527749,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T03:20:29.493Z","priceCents":77,"iy":1599.8173914181937,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T04:10:38.843Z","priceCents":76,"iy":1513.9409181009266,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T11:35:52.767Z","priceCents":80,"iy":1920.1178373686496,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T13:50:49.118Z","priceCents":78,"iy":1704.0292180858135,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T18:01:39.900Z","priceCents":80,"iy":1926.9094220591537,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T06:00:12.595Z","priceCents":81,"iy":2067.2945816114625,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T06:10:52.266Z","priceCents":79,"iy":1824.396101796684,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T15:55:12.501Z","priceCents":81,"iy":2078.700230544836,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:00:14.251Z","priceCents":85,"iy":2763.1936373068997,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T11:50:10.397Z","priceCents":88,"iy":3615.7978395270197,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T11:55:10.360Z","priceCents":91,"iy":4985.687631622004,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T17:40:41.532Z","priceCents":92,"iy":5767.064189931856,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T13:55:41.795Z","priceCents":93,"iy":6740.736327892298,"cri":13.286}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.043","15 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 13.3"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 83c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.4","marketTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in June 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":83},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.5","reason":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.5% for the year en"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.6","reason":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.6% for the year en"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.7","reason":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.7% for the year en"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20rate%20of%20CPI%20inflation%20be%20above%203.4%25%20for%20the%20year%20en","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2457}