{"ticker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.9","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.9% for the year ending in June 2026?","description":"If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.9% in the twelve months ending June 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.","price":69,"bestBid":67,"bestAsk":68,"spread":1,"volume":3347.08,"volume24h":879,"openInterest":2308.08,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-14T12:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":72,"iyYes":250.21729123007606,"iyNo":1031.4283014984499,"cri":2.03,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0149,"cvr":null,"overround":12.98,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.568,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":508,"askDepthUsd":882,"volume24h":879,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65},"computedAt":"2026-05-03T16:18:45.350Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.5","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.5% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.6","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.6% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.7","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.7% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.8","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.8% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.9","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.9% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.0","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.1","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.2","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.3","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.4","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.5","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.6","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.6% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.7","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.7% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.8","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.8% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T4.0","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T23:00:46.437Z","priceCents":39,"iy":736.0625003512536,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T05:35:40.824Z","priceCents":41,"iy":679.6018766921014,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:01:03.116Z","priceCents":42,"iy":654.7943815734615,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T14:25:57.166Z","priceCents":39,"iy":742.2060035848568,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T14:40:18.586Z","priceCents":40,"iy":711.8802740901584,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T21:25:32.353Z","priceCents":42,"iy":657.793752916882,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T22:50:30.441Z","priceCents":39,"iy":745.6083950180702,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T01:00:31.015Z","priceCents":44,"iy":607.4236441139344,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T03:20:29.493Z","priceCents":46,"iy":560.9749294583277,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T04:10:38.843Z","priceCents":45,"iy":584.3280736529892,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T11:35:52.767Z","priceCents":47,"iy":541.3098158539278,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T13:36:16.387Z","priceCents":45,"iy":587.3515346478889,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T13:50:49.118Z","priceCents":43,"iy":637.1057362789535,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T15:36:12.305Z","priceCents":44,"iy":612.2913596223206,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T18:01:39.900Z","priceCents":45,"iy":588.7778789625191,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T18:11:13.617Z","priceCents":46,"iy":565.5582757445227,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T00:10:10.387Z","priceCents":45,"iy":590.7739211938489,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T01:35:12.542Z","priceCents":47,"iy":545.4922796417037,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T02:05:09.953Z","priceCents":46,"iy":568.0249504455148,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T03:35:20.773Z","priceCents":45,"iy":591.8869473817664,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T04:50:09.435Z","priceCents":46,"iy":568.8846916044627,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T06:00:12.595Z","priceCents":47,"iy":546.8257535284325,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T06:10:52.266Z","priceCents":45,"iy":592.7362862377411,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T14:15:10.592Z","priceCents":46,"iy":571.8685915030367,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T15:55:12.501Z","priceCents":52,"iy":528.2293795726074,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:00:14.251Z","priceCents":55,"iy":595.9829413799197,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:10:35.742Z","priceCents":57,"iy":646.4436433507808,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:50:24.951Z","priceCents":58,"iy":673.6983333524272,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:55:16.238Z","priceCents":59,"iy":702.0569437131916,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T06:05:10.847Z","priceCents":58,"iy":678.6966203665411,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T06:15:40.588Z","priceCents":59,"iy":707.3134602391956,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T11:50:10.397Z","priceCents":57,"iy":653.5955925572094,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T11:55:10.360Z","priceCents":63,"iy":839.5856510631647,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T12:00:14.769Z","priceCents":64,"iy":876.6399471614278,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T12:10:12.427Z","priceCents":65,"iy":915.8622712998297,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T13:10:25.252Z","priceCents":63,"iy":840.1758614679894,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T13:25:24.975Z","priceCents":64,"iy":877.339258377914,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T13:35:57.740Z","priceCents":66,"iy":958.0677336786463,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T18:05:59.867Z","priceCents":65,"iy":918.9289684368719,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T18:10:59.052Z","priceCents":66,"iy":960.5485294317015,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T20:56:02.494Z","priceCents":67,"iy":1006.2195932823787,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T00:51:14.230Z","priceCents":62,"iy":810.4052742593367,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T01:46:04.558Z","priceCents":64,"iy":883.4911212167974,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T17:35:36.292Z","priceCents":62,"iy":818.1767565492102,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T01:55:48.412Z","priceCents":64,"iy":895.7604761028285,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T05:10:45.830Z","priceCents":65,"iy":937.5098789239086,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T06:10:41.332Z","priceCents":66,"iy":980.4871258662191,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T12:10:35.571Z","priceCents":65,"iy":941.2982973312359,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T12:15:45.302Z","priceCents":66,"iy":983.9456342466997,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T13:55:41.795Z","priceCents":67,"iy":1030.1092661392913,"cri":2.03}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 250%","tight LAS 0.015","15 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 62c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.9","marketTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.9% for the year ending in June 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":62},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.5","reason":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.5% for the year en"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.6","reason":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.6% for the year en"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.7","reason":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.7% for the year en"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20rate%20of%20CPI%20inflation%20be%20above%203.9%25%20for%20the%20year%20en","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2880}