{"ticker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T4.0","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in June 2026?","description":"If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.0% in the twelve months ending June 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.","price":61,"bestBid":57,"bestAsk":60,"spread":3,"volume":3557.45,"volume24h":742.46,"openInterest":3436.66,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-14T12:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":72,"iyYes":383.57717795219406,"iyNo":674.0087891653208,"cri":1.326,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0526,"cvr":null,"overround":12.98,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.568,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":295,"askDepthUsd":872,"volume24h":742.46,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65},"computedAt":"2026-05-03T17:49:36.015Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.5","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.5% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.6","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.6% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.7","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.7% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.8","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.8% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.9","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.9% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.0","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.1","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.2","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.3","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.4","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.5","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.6","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.6% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.7","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.7% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.8","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.8% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T3.9","connectedTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.9% for the year ending in June 2026?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCPIYOY-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T06:00:12.595Z","priceCents":39,"iy":758.4661032249712,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T06:10:52.266Z","priceCents":38,"iy":791.2604012455969,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T06:35:51.562Z","priceCents":37,"iy":825.950543539752,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T14:15:10.592Z","priceCents":38,"iy":794.8193094379436,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T15:55:12.501Z","priceCents":45,"iy":595.9510949024288,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:00:14.251Z","priceCents":46,"iy":572.4263033807133,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:10:35.742Z","priceCents":47,"iy":549.9235024996005,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:50:24.951Z","priceCents":48,"iy":528.5047270264732,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:55:16.238Z","priceCents":49,"iy":507.7831440000982,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:15:10.458Z","priceCents":50,"iy":488.2289994649545,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T01:35:15.935Z","priceCents":51,"iy":510.2451972811044,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T02:15:09.672Z","priceCents":50,"iy":490.420014511058,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T10:05:40.490Z","priceCents":51,"iy":512.6828059158886,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T11:50:10.397Z","priceCents":49,"iy":513.1883761109777,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T11:55:10.360Z","priceCents":54,"iy":578.8447656398217,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T12:00:14.769Z","priceCents":55,"iy":602.6899636734818,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T12:10:12.427Z","priceCents":56,"iy":627.6538642474356,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T13:10:25.252Z","priceCents":54,"iy":579.2516808878686,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T13:25:24.975Z","priceCents":55,"iy":603.1707401348159,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T13:35:57.740Z","priceCents":56,"iy":628.1546022466056,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T16:16:04.588Z","priceCents":57,"iy":655.2330777908581,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T18:05:59.867Z","priceCents":56,"iy":629.7555168308631,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T18:10:59.052Z","priceCents":57,"iy":655.9348308804217,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T20:56:02.494Z","priceCents":58,"iy":684.4009600364151,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T21:10:59.647Z","priceCents":59,"iy":713.27833786771,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T00:51:14.230Z","priceCents":54,"iy":583.0826166830853,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T01:46:04.558Z","priceCents":56,"iy":632.4993254165709,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T03:40:27.327Z","priceCents":57,"iy":659.4752535912951,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T06:05:43.062Z","priceCents":56,"iy":634.0532505465764,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T06:10:41.448Z","priceCents":57,"iy":660.4114072619542,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T06:55:36.618Z","priceCents":56,"iy":634.3476274653904,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T16:15:37.524Z","priceCents":57,"iy":664.2192239505861,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T17:20:41.967Z","priceCents":58,"iy":692.4016361218443,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T17:25:38.035Z","priceCents":57,"iy":664.666331431609,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T17:35:36.292Z","priceCents":53,"iy":565.4797486925565,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T17:40:41.532Z","priceCents":55,"iy":612.9246965144965,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T17:50:37.626Z","priceCents":56,"iy":638.3135531080624,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T17:55:38.522Z","priceCents":57,"iy":664.8581332394232,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T18:05:38.113Z","priceCents":56,"iy":638.4100466501588,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T18:10:36.417Z","priceCents":57,"iy":664.9495063457051,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T00:05:38.748Z","priceCents":56,"iy":640.6109748820323,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T00:10:38.495Z","priceCents":57,"iy":667.242024605692,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T01:55:48.412Z","priceCents":58,"iy":695.813941258447,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T05:10:45.830Z","priceCents":57,"iy":669.1707364769935,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T05:30:46.976Z","priceCents":59,"iy":726.578921619898,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T06:05:44.089Z","priceCents":58,"iy":697.4893020889754,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T06:10:41.332Z","priceCents":59,"iy":726.8503970759922,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T07:30:42.645Z","priceCents":58,"iy":698.0592173163529,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T13:55:41.795Z","priceCents":56,"iy":645.7401369828393,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T14:00:27.159Z","priceCents":57,"iy":672.5939853513198,"cri":1.326}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 384%","15 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 55c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T4.0","marketTitle":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in June 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":55},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.5","reason":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.5% for the year en"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.6","reason":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.6% for the year en"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPIYOY-26JUN-T2.7","reason":"Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.7% for the year en"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20rate%20of%20CPI%20inflation%20be%20above%204.0%25%20for%20the%20year%20en","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2840}