{"ticker":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-BTC","venue":"kalshi","title":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?","description":"If Bitcoin has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":41,"bestBid":38,"bestAsk":41,"spread":3,"volume":81294.96,"volume24h":343.65,"openInterest":20488.76,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":254,"iyYes":234.1475972090186,"iyNo":87.9576301690486,"cri":1.632,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0789,"cvr":null,"overround":1.13,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":329,"askDepthUsd":3119,"volume24h":343.65,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T07:06:20.691Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-LINK","connectedTitle":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?: Chainlink ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCRYPTORETURNY-26","groupLabel":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-ETH","connectedTitle":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?: Ethereum (","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCRYPTORETURNY-26","groupLabel":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-LTC","connectedTitle":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?: Litecoin (","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCRYPTORETURNY-26","groupLabel":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-DOGE","connectedTitle":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?: Dogecoin (","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCRYPTORETURNY-26","groupLabel":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-SHIBA","connectedTitle":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?: Shiba Inu ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCRYPTORETURNY-26","groupLabel":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-XRP","connectedTitle":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?: Ripple (XR","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCRYPTORETURNY-26","groupLabel":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-DOT","connectedTitle":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?: Polkadot (","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCRYPTORETURNY-26","groupLabel":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-XLM","connectedTitle":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?: Stellar Lu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCRYPTORETURNY-26","groupLabel":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-SOL","connectedTitle":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?: Solana (SO","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCRYPTORETURNY-26","groupLabel":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:05:34.223Z","priceCents":39,"iy":223.26496100860206,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:10:35.320Z","priceCents":40,"iy":214.11726977993828,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:20:34.247Z","priceCents":39,"iy":223.27369273328114,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:40:31.351Z","priceCents":40,"iy":214.13485607008758,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:45:32.390Z","priceCents":39,"iy":223.2885382327843,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:50:30.882Z","priceCents":40,"iy":214.1407188087909,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:56:11.773Z","priceCents":39,"iy":223.29552503331885,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:05:33.701Z","priceCents":40,"iy":214.1490947067037,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:10:32.252Z","priceCents":39,"iy":223.3042591488803,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:36:01.581Z","priceCents":38,"iy":232.99151634955936,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:05:33.351Z","priceCents":37,"iy":243.28704443323903,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:10:50.083Z","priceCents":38,"iy":233.1274161343951,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:25:55.723Z","priceCents":39,"iy":223.56835171835345,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:35:46.618Z","priceCents":38,"iy":233.21962631269773,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T09:10:36.934Z","priceCents":39,"iy":223.66820476856793,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:10:25.553Z","priceCents":40,"iy":214.57209034366804,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:36:49.055Z","priceCents":39,"iy":223.7944625017879,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:20:27.646Z","priceCents":40,"iy":214.7176707740817,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:30:27.858Z","priceCents":39,"iy":223.89978621668288,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:15:28.658Z","priceCents":37,"iy":244.00917419315675,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:20:30.013Z","priceCents":38,"iy":233.82031606142024,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:25:34.527Z","priceCents":37,"iy":244.05612685951502,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:55:28.618Z","priceCents":38,"iy":233.88092267522575,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:15:31.220Z","priceCents":39,"iy":224.22075608467557,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:22:00.476Z","priceCents":38,"iy":233.8974572049305,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:00:30.655Z","priceCents":36,"iy":254.92509610981688,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:10:29.953Z","priceCents":38,"iy":233.9672954455883,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:50:27.707Z","priceCents":39,"iy":224.31502312212862,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:56:15.726Z","priceCents":38,"iy":233.99579407294752,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:20:33.249Z","priceCents":39,"iy":224.33353343501645,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:25:32.917Z","priceCents":40,"iy":215.14291777021555,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:40:29.306Z","priceCents":38,"iy":234.02429964376185,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:50:29.397Z","priceCents":39,"iy":224.3520468030715,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:05:29.960Z","priceCents":40,"iy":215.16574639916678,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:10:31.100Z","priceCents":39,"iy":224.36439074613025,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:15:36.878Z","priceCents":40,"iy":215.17251136778972,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:20:28.909Z","priceCents":39,"iy":224.37056322705033,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:45:31.461Z","priceCents":41,"iy":206.44188802250727,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:50:30.869Z","priceCents":40,"iy":215.19280882624602,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:55:29.937Z","priceCents":39,"iy":224.39172859737283,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T05:21:03.720Z","priceCents":32,"iy":304.8816440122326,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T05:25:27.876Z","priceCents":39,"iy":224.410251572308,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T05:30:30.200Z","priceCents":38,"iy":234.09513386248696,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T05:50:28.327Z","priceCents":41,"iy":206.4784074498292,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T05:55:33.032Z","priceCents":39,"iy":224.42877760554606,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T06:00:39.035Z","priceCents":38,"iy":234.11353937669728,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T06:35:21.333Z","priceCents":37,"iy":244.3430259431832,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T06:40:20.856Z","priceCents":35,"iy":266.5088020920801,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T06:45:34.976Z","priceCents":34,"iy":278.5724048881651,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T06:50:20.971Z","priceCents":38,"iy":234.1457559917723,"cri":1.632}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 234%","9 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 37c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-BTC","marketTitle":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":37},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-LINK","reason":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-ETH","reason":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-LTC","reason":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Which%20of%20these%20cryptocurrencies%20will%20have%20a%20positive%20return%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2050}