{"ticker":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-DOT","venue":"kalshi","title":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?","description":"If Polkadot has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":12,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":13,"spread":7,"volume":18034.57,"volume24h":7,"openInterest":9045.95,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":254,"iyYes":2247.860895999581,"iyNo":9.158328684470904,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.6667,"cvr":null,"overround":1.39,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":1537,"askDepthUsd":77,"volume24h":7,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T05:53:17.981Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-LINK","connectedTitle":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?: Chainlink ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCRYPTORETURNY-26","groupLabel":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-BTC","connectedTitle":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?: Bitcoin (B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCRYPTORETURNY-26","groupLabel":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-ETH","connectedTitle":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?: Ethereum (","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCRYPTORETURNY-26","groupLabel":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-LTC","connectedTitle":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?: Litecoin (","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCRYPTORETURNY-26","groupLabel":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-DOGE","connectedTitle":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?: Dogecoin (","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCRYPTORETURNY-26","groupLabel":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-SHIBA","connectedTitle":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?: Shiba Inu ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCRYPTORETURNY-26","groupLabel":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-XRP","connectedTitle":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?: Ripple (XR","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCRYPTORETURNY-26","groupLabel":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-XLM","connectedTitle":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?: Stellar Lu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCRYPTORETURNY-26","groupLabel":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-SOL","connectedTitle":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?: Solana (SO","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCRYPTORETURNY-26","groupLabel":"KXCRYPTORETURNY-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T20:30:19.556Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1634.7251052494248,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T20:40:17.156Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1437.3337210650852,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T20:55:18.297Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1888.6968075487775,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T21:00:17.397Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1634.858812074002,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T21:20:17.863Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1437.4904787624469,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T21:25:27.364Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1634.9734353333436,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T22:00:44.991Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1437.647270655981,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T02:00:17.708Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1280.497074541691,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T02:25:17.898Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1438.678468897864,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T03:46:08.198Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1636.656424973096,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T05:15:16.576Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1439.340559719958,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T05:40:16.709Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1637.1607206237395,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T05:45:15.929Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1439.4584533243194,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T08:55:47.213Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1892.3820264682615,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T09:00:40.594Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1440.2168021680218,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T12:30:36.125Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1893.4830046722088,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T12:35:47.919Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1441.0603496897913,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T12:55:32.269Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1893.6160954857794,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T13:10:32.786Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1639.161811337259,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T18:00:48.072Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1442.3331622421802,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T18:15:32.835Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1640.519963730732,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T18:30:31.180Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1442.4459088212636,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T18:40:49.120Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1640.6289696576468,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T19:00:44.477Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1442.5643117016007,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T19:05:33.396Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1640.7444034882676,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:05:32.736Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1895.822209910439,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:40:32.186Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1641.161383150091,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:56:35.570Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1896.089068427896,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T21:10:33.651Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1641.2961449580241,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T21:36:01.887Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1443.1735479736265,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:00:33.079Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1641.5207971592602,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:05:34.223Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1443.2920703452257,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T02:35:31.964Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1897.832909076779,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T02:50:50.712Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1642.8185639476176,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:15:32.208Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1444.5066345539556,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:10:50.083Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1643.1722717859784,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:40:31.362Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1444.8402910995403,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:26:00.532Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1644.8528547356873,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:00:38.022Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1446.3351526283109,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:15:36.364Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1288.2908674491841,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:25:27.446Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1447.3788563724327,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:50:47.342Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1902.2550787044377,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:45:28.654Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2721.283299914064,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:55:28.242Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2243.926813061472,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:05:29.223Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2721.4221245536237,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:15:27.925Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1903.0015792474433,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:40:28.217Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2245.301293126014,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:06:03.082Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1904.2046768994642,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:30:29.707Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1648.3732254707534,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:05:32.944Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2724.993713064252,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 2248%","9 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7","illiquid (LAS 0.67)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-LINK","reason":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-BTC","reason":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-ETH","reason":"Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Which%20of%20these%20cryptocurrencies%20will%20have%20a%20positive%20return%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1725}