{"ticker":"KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR-UAT","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will UAE Team Emirates-XRG win the 2026 Tour de France?","description":"If UAE Team Emirates-XRG wins the 2026 Tour de France Cycling Grand Tour originally scheduled from Jul 4, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":53,"bestBid":51,"bestAsk":55,"spread":4,"volume":21542.56,"volume24h":2086.46,"openInterest":10426.99,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-08-09T17:50:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":28,"iyYes":1271.9850363068695,"iyNo":1377.9396415802448,"cri":1.041,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0784,"cvr":null,"overround":0.17,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4},"computedAt":"2026-07-13T04:22:32.697Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR-TEV","connectedTitle":"Will Team Visma-Lease A Bike win the 2026 Tour de France?: Team Visma-Lease A Bi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR","groupLabel":"KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR-REB","connectedTitle":"Will Red Bull-BORA-hansgrohe win the 2026 Tour de France?: Red Bull-BORA-hansgro","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR","groupLabel":"KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR-LID","connectedTitle":"Will Lidl-Trek win the 2026 Tour de France?: Lidl-Trek","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR","groupLabel":"KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR-DEC","connectedTitle":"Will Decathlon CMA CGM win the 2026 Tour de France?: Decathlon CMA CGM","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR","groupLabel":"KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR-NEI","connectedTitle":"Will Netcompany Ineos win the 2026 Tour de France?: Netcompany Ineos","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR","groupLabel":"KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR-QUI","connectedTitle":"Will Soudal Quick-Step win the 2026 Tour de France?: Soudal Quick-Step","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR","groupLabel":"KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR-PIQ","connectedTitle":"Will Pinarello Q36.5 Pro Cycling win the 2026 Tour de France?: Pinarello Q36.5 P","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR","groupLabel":"KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":-2,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T00:45:59.132Z","priceCents":43,"iy":1685.1980401320948,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T01:01:51.898Z","priceCents":41,"iy":1830.118126965242,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T01:32:20.608Z","priceCents":42,"iy":1757.5494928261764,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T01:46:08.676Z","priceCents":43,"iy":1687.6668502644866,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T02:16:05.103Z","priceCents":41,"iy":1833.3760425809785,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T02:46:06.289Z","priceCents":43,"iy":1690.0838665024646,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T03:03:05.236Z","priceCents":42,"iy":1761.4188532555881,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T03:16:01.559Z","priceCents":43,"iy":1691.3245335139147,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T03:31:19.962Z","priceCents":44,"iy":1624.5120105799924,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T04:16:10.933Z","priceCents":42,"iy":1764.5636934977038,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T11:31:04.121Z","priceCents":43,"iy":1711.9103042929823,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T11:46:41.562Z","priceCents":44,"iy":1644.2922785836565,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T12:31:00.540Z","priceCents":42,"iy":1786.00956362986,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T12:46:52.109Z","priceCents":44,"iy":1646.6819841390047,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T13:01:11.463Z","priceCents":42,"iy":1787.3395235900111,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T13:46:39.057Z","priceCents":44,"iy":1649.1371882049577,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T14:01:05.905Z","priceCents":40,"iy":1944.3162044106678,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T14:16:40.515Z","priceCents":42,"iy":1790.7049134845072,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T15:16:37.951Z","priceCents":44,"iy":1652.7749476836896,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T15:31:02.108Z","priceCents":45,"iy":1587.7535363601494,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T15:47:09.852Z","priceCents":39,"iy":2032.74857004606,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T16:00:58.227Z","priceCents":41,"iy":1870.793212847359,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T16:30:59.187Z","priceCents":45,"iy":1590.1304976336166,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T17:02:18.841Z","priceCents":41,"iy":1873.662834655672,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T17:16:00.502Z","priceCents":43,"iy":1726.51016736485,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T17:32:03.564Z","priceCents":42,"iy":1799.3988970713235,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T18:01:23.702Z","priceCents":44,"iy":1659.565070539635,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T18:32:39.024Z","priceCents":45,"iy":1594.962857029357,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T19:01:36.945Z","priceCents":41,"iy":1879.2268423578694,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T19:31:53.903Z","priceCents":44,"iy":1663.3085844299999,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T19:46:02.828Z","priceCents":45,"iy":1597.876396400699,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T20:31:28.394Z","priceCents":47,"iy":1475.8883558550313,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T20:46:01.173Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1418.3824760264965,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T21:02:08.709Z","priceCents":49,"iy":1363.253881593546,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T21:16:00.354Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1419.4517236840531,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T21:31:55.522Z","priceCents":45,"iy":1602.0653275555237,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T21:45:57.466Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1420.5225846625476,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T22:02:11.791Z","priceCents":46,"iy":1539.9039024961914,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T22:31:00.918Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1422.106335790925,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T23:01:03.005Z","priceCents":47,"iy":1481.4128443739244,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T23:17:17.135Z","priceCents":49,"iy":1367.867926344556,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T00:00:58.051Z","priceCents":45,"iy":1608.0711957000617,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T00:32:25.304Z","priceCents":49,"iy":1370.433819788873,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T01:31:07.996Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1428.5284200385358,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T01:47:06.830Z","priceCents":49,"iy":1373.0093577060013,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T02:17:25.866Z","priceCents":51,"iy":1374.0522250566894,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T02:30:57.385Z","priceCents":49,"iy":1374.5493855694099,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T03:02:05.549Z","priceCents":50,"iy":1321.6497085128724,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T04:01:35.988Z","priceCents":51,"iy":1377.6897885174017,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T04:16:03.799Z","priceCents":49,"iy":1378.1895852845037,"cri":1.041}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 1272%","7 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 48c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR-UAT","marketTitle":"Will UAE Team Emirates-XRG win the 2026 Tour de France?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":48},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR-TEV","reason":"Will Team Visma-Lease A Bike win the 2026 Tour de France?: T"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR-REB","reason":"Will Red Bull-BORA-hansgrohe win the 2026 Tour de France?: R"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCYCLINGTEAM-26TDFR-LID","reason":"Will Lidl-Trek win the 2026 Tour de France?: Lidl-Trek"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20UAE%20Team%20Emirates-XRG%20win%20the%202026%20Tour%20de%20France%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":235}