{"ticker":"KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31-40","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the national debt hit $40 trillion during the Trump Administration?","description":"If the U.S. federal debt increases to 40 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":97,"bestBid":97,"bestAsk":100,"spread":3,"volume":46389.9,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":9932.9,"status":"active","closeTime":"2029-03-31T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":964,"iyYes":1.1705237490877274,"iyNo":1223.7175505740454,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":2.86,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":847,"askDepthUsd":0,"volume24h":0,"observability":"direct","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T05:26:54.500Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31-42.5","connectedTitle":"Will the national debt hit $42.5 trillion during the Trump Administration?: $42.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31","groupLabel":"KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31-45","connectedTitle":"Will the national debt hit $45 trillion during the Trump Administration?: $45 tr","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31","groupLabel":"KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31-47.5","connectedTitle":"Will the national debt hit $47.5 trillion during the Trump Administration?: $47.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31","groupLabel":"KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31-50","connectedTitle":"Will the national debt hit $50 trillion during the Trump Administration?: $50 tr","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31","groupLabel":"KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31-52.5","connectedTitle":"Will the national debt hit $52.5 trillion during the Trump Administration?: $52.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31","groupLabel":"KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T00:15:57.880Z","priceCents":98,"iy":1823.857297570704,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T14:31:31.930Z","priceCents":97,"iy":1204.2271246165035,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-27T18:46:23.692Z","priceCents":98,"iy":1829.025722943252,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-29T16:16:01.715Z","priceCents":97,"iy":1209.2528248630979,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T20:02:24.787Z","priceCents":98,"iy":1842.3139916974822,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T15:45:57.541Z","priceCents":97,"iy":1216.7068054478766,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["5 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","cliff risk 32.3","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 87c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31-40","marketTitle":"Will the national debt hit $40 trillion during the Trump Administration?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":87},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31-42.5","reason":"Will the national debt hit $42.5 trillion during the Trump A"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31-45","reason":"Will the national debt hit $45 trillion during the Trump Adm"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31-47.5","reason":"Will the national debt hit $47.5 trillion during the Trump A"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20national%20debt%20hit%20%2440%20trillion%20during%20the%20Trump%20Adm","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":572}