{"ticker":"KXDEFAULT-26DEC31","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the US default on its debt by Dec 31, 2026?","description":"If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":8,"bestBid":1,"bestAsk":5,"spread":4,"volume":844,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":499,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":541,"askDepthUsd":2677,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-04-24T07:48:03.283Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"0x5b9cb2fbdfb50eae19a1fdd228487ff797fab1539a1e74565b5e6ad3b586368b","venue":"polymarket","title":"US defaults on debt by 2027?","confidenceScore":0.88,"priceCents":null},"contagion":[],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T21:20:34.916Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13775.265136208725,"cri":99}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":[],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 7c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXDEFAULT-26DEC31","marketTitle":"Will the US default on its debt by Dec 31, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":7},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x5b9cb2fbdfb50eae19a1fdd228487ff797fab1539a1e74565b5e6ad3b586368b","reason":"Same market on polymarket"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20US%20default%20on%20its%20debt%20by%20Dec%2031%2C%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1809}