{"ticker":"KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01-T200000","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the number of ICE removals be above 200000 in FY2026?","description":"If the number of ICE removals is above 200,000 in FY2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":95,"bestBid":95,"bestAsk":99,"spread":4,"volume":468.9,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":366,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T14:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":248,"iyYes":7.741840789150231,"iyNo":2794.804524883228,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0421,"cvr":null,"overround":2.08,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":1800,"askDepthUsd":252,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-04-28T11:40:59.718Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01-T300000","connectedTitle":"Will the number of ICE removals be above 300000 in FY2026?: Above 300,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01-T400000","connectedTitle":"Will the number of ICE removals be above 400000 in FY2026?: Above 400,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01-T500000","connectedTitle":"Will the number of ICE removals be above 500000 in FY2026?: Above 500,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01-T600000","connectedTitle":"Will the number of ICE removals be above 600000 in FY2026?: Above 600,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T12:37:57.977Z","priceCents":86,"iy":836.3146525311105,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T12:52:46.325Z","priceCents":87,"iy":911.1531689938779,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T14:30:49.776Z","priceCents":86,"iy":842.8474765592275,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T14:35:53.212Z","priceCents":87,"iy":918.2501457402215,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T15:05:54.236Z","priceCents":86,"iy":842.9266930366575,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T15:11:34.315Z","priceCents":87,"iy":918.3364503657294,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T17:20:47.417Z","priceCents":86,"iy":843.2215091059327,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T17:25:45.628Z","priceCents":87,"iy":918.6576460493525,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T00:21:13.947Z","priceCents":86,"iy":844.1485098990462,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T00:25:56.530Z","priceCents":87,"iy":919.6675932367144,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T00:46:20.831Z","priceCents":86,"iy":844.2057204821143,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T00:51:14.095Z","priceCents":87,"iy":919.7264599408513,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T01:40:42.938Z","priceCents":86,"iy":844.3265238493328,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T01:45:43.690Z","priceCents":87,"iy":919.8580715916368,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T01:55:53.085Z","priceCents":86,"iy":844.3583199555844,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T02:00:49.732Z","priceCents":87,"iy":919.8961767313049,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T13:25:40.602Z","priceCents":88,"iy":1009.8152025603783,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T13:45:42.490Z","priceCents":89,"iy":1114.193803525291,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T21:36:26.199Z","priceCents":90,"iy":1245.6204213495932,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T12:40:46.960Z","priceCents":92,"iy":1595.4252440173939,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T10:45:11.530Z","priceCents":93,"iy":1849.6299105508201,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T16:31:05.751Z","priceCents":94,"iy":2191.4696834983783,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T12:10:55.860Z","priceCents":95,"iy":2686.766078948691,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T21:00:31.706Z","priceCents":94,"iy":2235.9162042992652,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T20:20:13.068Z","priceCents":95,"iy":2754.421571469989,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.042","4 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 86c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01-T200000","marketTitle":"Will the number of ICE removals be above 200000 in FY2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":86},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01-T300000","reason":"Will the number of ICE removals be above 300000 in FY2026?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01-T400000","reason":"Will the number of ICE removals be above 400000 in FY2026?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01-T500000","reason":"Will the number of ICE removals be above 500000 in FY2026?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20number%20of%20ICE%20removals%20be%20above%20200000%20in%20FY2026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1422}