{"ticker":"KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01-T500000","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the number of ICE removals be above 500000 in FY2026?","description":"If the number of ICE removals is above 500,000 in FY2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":31,"bestBid":30,"bestAsk":31,"spread":1,"volume":6881.06,"volume24h":124.23,"openInterest":3793.27,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T14:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":248,"iyYes":343.2216083189933,"iyNo":63.040703568794676,"cri":2.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0333,"cvr":null,"overround":2.08,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":3789,"askDepthUsd":12660,"volume24h":124.23,"observability":"high","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-04-28T11:38:57.849Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01-T200000","connectedTitle":"Will the number of ICE removals be above 200000 in FY2026?: Above 200,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01-T300000","connectedTitle":"Will the number of ICE removals be above 300000 in FY2026?: Above 300,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01-T400000","connectedTitle":"Will the number of ICE removals be above 400000 in FY2026?: Above 400,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01-T600000","connectedTitle":"Will the number of ICE removals be above 600000 in FY2026?: Above 600,000","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:55:46.261Z","priceCents":26,"iy":406.85455785559174,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T08:55:37.725Z","priceCents":25,"iy":428.98782379765873,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T09:00:36.804Z","priceCents":26,"iy":406.99323164680516,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T09:40:37.440Z","priceCents":27,"iy":386.6656160158654,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T09:55:36.820Z","priceCents":26,"iy":407.05383147519257,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:35:56.821Z","priceCents":27,"iy":386.72319545261706,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:51:14.064Z","priceCents":26,"iy":407.1160448035654,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:00:38.022Z","priceCents":25,"iy":429.13240792268556,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:15:26.058Z","priceCents":26,"iy":407.1431693857278,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:15:25.830Z","priceCents":25,"iy":429.29055325555134,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:40:57.295Z","priceCents":26,"iy":407.30439587152284,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:50:25.983Z","priceCents":25,"iy":429.33094946833535,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:05:28.944Z","priceCents":26,"iy":407.59844385222027,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:21:08.976Z","priceCents":25,"iy":429.6476496900259,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:30:28.674Z","priceCents":26,"iy":407.69282089319285,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:45:28.848Z","priceCents":25,"iy":429.7471360002512,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:25:29.380Z","priceCents":26,"iy":407.75362924884257,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:40:28.838Z","priceCents":25,"iy":429.811236325526,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:55:27.474Z","priceCents":26,"iy":407.7872416491936,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:05:29.148Z","priceCents":25,"iy":429.84160631219453,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:50:28.711Z","priceCents":26,"iy":407.9137379487239,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:06:03.082Z","priceCents":25,"iy":429.98170123536295,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:25:34.527Z","priceCents":26,"iy":407.95378477198085,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:21:12.689Z","priceCents":25,"iy":430.1404732723673,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:25:55.453Z","priceCents":26,"iy":408.0867966319619,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:10:29.953Z","priceCents":25,"iy":430.19793033543647,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T05:55:33.032Z","priceCents":26,"iy":408.38839747546115,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T06:10:23.032Z","priceCents":25,"iy":430.4803689157792,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T06:15:21.852Z","priceCents":27,"iy":387.9683649619646,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T06:25:30.455Z","priceCents":25,"iy":430.4972931745539,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T07:15:20.608Z","priceCents":26,"iy":408.4767160710256,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T08:10:20.818Z","priceCents":27,"iy":388.09042324796354,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T08:25:18.986Z","priceCents":26,"iy":408.5554320931258,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T09:15:21.462Z","priceCents":25,"iy":430.6970999728602,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T09:30:36.284Z","priceCents":26,"iy":408.6277490465856,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T12:35:37.508Z","priceCents":25,"iy":430.93270365997637,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T13:16:21.515Z","priceCents":26,"iy":408.88025545857414,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T13:30:21.263Z","priceCents":25,"iy":430.997158173989,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T19:50:22.076Z","priceCents":26,"iy":409.3200710195327,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T20:10:21.410Z","priceCents":27,"iy":388.85503099165106,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T20:26:19.472Z","priceCents":25,"iy":431.4879833552033,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T02:00:21.100Z","priceCents":26,"iy":409.7349753476376,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T06:10:52.215Z","priceCents":27,"iy":389.4950217873092,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T07:05:30.870Z","priceCents":28,"iy":370.4950592199979,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T10:05:40.395Z","priceCents":27,"iy":389.7457590922148,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T10:15:29.150Z","priceCents":28,"iy":370.6882105915269,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T13:50:59.993Z","priceCents":29,"iy":353.14415490212195,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T22:35:33.050Z","priceCents":30,"iy":337.0494519483569,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T06:05:25.722Z","priceCents":31,"iy":321.9147028932443,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T10:25:14.509Z","priceCents":30,"iy":337.70834159430063,"cri":2.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 343%","tight LAS 0.033","4 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 28c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01-T500000","marketTitle":"Will the number of ICE removals be above 500000 in FY2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":28},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01-T200000","reason":"Will the number of ICE removals be above 200000 in FY2026?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01-T300000","reason":"Will the number of ICE removals be above 300000 in FY2026?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01-T400000","reason":"Will the number of ICE removals be above 400000 in FY2026?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20number%20of%20ICE%20removals%20be%20above%20500000%20in%20FY2026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1567}