{"ticker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-240","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the Democratic party win 238-241 House seats in the 120th Congress?","description":"If the Democratic party has between 238-241 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":19,"bestBid":15,"bestAsk":19,"spread":4,"volume":13032.61,"volume24h":865.24,"openInterest":10047.61,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":286,"iyYes":724.0517023091473,"iyNo":22.548322909281403,"cri":5.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2667,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.18,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":1533,"askDepthUsd":467,"volume24h":865.24,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T23:11:06.068Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-210","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win below 210 House seats in the 120th Congress?: Belo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-212","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 210-213 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 210-21","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-216","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 214-217 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 214-21","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-220","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 218-221 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 218-22","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-224","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 222-225 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 222-22","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-228","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 226-229 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 226-22","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-232","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 230-233 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 230-23","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-236","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 234-237 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 234-23","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-244","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 242-245 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 242-24","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-248","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 246-249 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 246-24","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-249","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win above 249 House seats in the 120th Congress?: Abov","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T05:50:44.069Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1435.6268020151788,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T05:55:32.921Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1262.2548740177292,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T06:05:34.344Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1435.6759049290113,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T06:15:33.417Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1262.3153177393785,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T12:06:05.927Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1436.9045703663894,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T12:10:35.147Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1263.3783455848513,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T12:15:36.309Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1436.9390032658482,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T12:20:31.948Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1263.4086205434085,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T13:05:35.468Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1437.1111925198318,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T13:10:43.709Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1263.5600171036153,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T16:25:34.627Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1437.7905124665601,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T16:31:05.751Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1264.1616360911964,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T17:25:34.951Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1437.9973895080147,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T17:30:53.388Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1264.3435329675247,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T17:45:33.772Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1438.06636175206,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T17:50:36.588Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1264.3998449906317,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T18:05:36.323Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1438.135340612805,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T19:10:40.938Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1264.6424772143523,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T19:15:35.304Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1438.3718898099191,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:25:37.675Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1264.8678619601321,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:35:34.578Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1438.6479622438453,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:46:19.595Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1264.9328917207545,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T22:50:37.382Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1439.1116078622292,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T22:55:27.094Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1265.3188725462187,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T23:35:18.847Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1130.2564667185059,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T16:05:17.245Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1272.802867877966,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T20:25:17.204Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1133.6420796896891,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T16:10:17.234Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1025.5848454014115,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T16:15:16.976Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1140.8309833719977,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T16:25:31.992Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1025.6204632830402,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T16:55:17.786Z","priceCents":12,"iy":929.6563860331573,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T19:40:19.212Z","priceCents":13,"iy":848.731713379652,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T20:00:18.490Z","priceCents":12,"iy":930.0730970275882,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T21:25:27.364Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1026.3654436009265,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T22:45:18.018Z","priceCents":12,"iy":930.4416643202851,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T22:50:18.384Z","priceCents":13,"iy":849.1211575964053,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:45:31.698Z","priceCents":12,"iy":933.824085218716,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:56:07.063Z","priceCents":13,"iy":852.2169179885802,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:36:01.581Z","priceCents":14,"iy":782.3247931412619,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:50:32.441Z","priceCents":16,"iy":668.638124149482,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:55:49.438Z","priceCents":15,"iy":721.7147150709851,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T01:05:33.068Z","priceCents":16,"iy":668.663789042463,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:55:54.197Z","priceCents":15,"iy":722.4482905161925,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:55:25.956Z","priceCents":16,"iy":669.9120767711374,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:45:28.118Z","priceCents":14,"iy":783.938623524652,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:50:28.934Z","priceCents":15,"iy":723.175773087139,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:20:27.646Z","priceCents":16,"iy":670.0502821816452,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:20:27.694Z","priceCents":15,"iy":723.4413656894087,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:25:27.357Z","priceCents":16,"iy":670.2541806721954,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:45:28.654Z","priceCents":15,"iy":723.5906890612445,"cri":5.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 724%","11 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 5.7","illiquid (LAS 0.27)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDHOUSESEATS-27-210","reason":"Will the Democratic party win below 210 House seats in the 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDHOUSESEATS-27-212","reason":"Will the Democratic party win 210-213 House seats in the 120"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDHOUSESEATS-27-216","reason":"Will the Democratic party win 214-217 House seats in the 120"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20Democratic%20party%20win%20238-241%20House%20seats%20in%20the%20120","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2605}