{"ticker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-244","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the Democratic party win 242-245 House seats in the 120th Congress?","description":"If the Democratic party has between 242-245 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":16,"bestBid":12,"bestAsk":16,"spread":4,"volume":16091,"volume24h":1446.31,"openInterest":13352,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":286,"iyYes":937.0080853412496,"iyNo":17.4237040662629,"cri":7.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3333,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.18,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":2239,"askDepthUsd":1480,"volume24h":1446.31,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T23:11:08.944Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-210","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win below 210 House seats in the 120th Congress?: Belo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-212","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 210-213 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 210-21","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-216","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 214-217 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 214-21","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-220","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 218-221 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 218-22","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-224","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 222-225 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 222-22","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-228","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 226-229 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 226-22","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-232","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 230-233 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 230-23","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-236","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 234-237 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 234-23","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-240","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 238-241 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 238-24","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-248","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 246-249 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 246-24","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-249","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win above 249 House seats in the 120th Congress?: Abov","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T03:37:42.668Z","priceCents":11,"iy":986.1229416182434,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T04:52:53.510Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1097.1137725350843,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T20:22:44.769Z","priceCents":11,"iy":988.4267204132253,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T21:22:46.664Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1099.6404828375746,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T21:30:54.141Z","priceCents":11,"iy":991.9026423968841,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T05:05:53.560Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1104.5246845295935,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T05:11:21.322Z","priceCents":11,"iy":992.9698893381903,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T08:05:53.553Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1104.9891014773555,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T08:10:54.090Z","priceCents":11,"iy":993.3874067160756,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T09:00:55.394Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1105.1340795090982,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T17:40:47.038Z","priceCents":11,"iy":994.7124229277771,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T17:45:45.977Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1106.489044579551,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T17:50:47.616Z","priceCents":13,"iy":822.7849905154955,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T18:00:47.738Z","priceCents":12,"iy":901.6170721136465,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T18:05:58.701Z","priceCents":13,"iy":822.8127057517601,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T20:51:05.742Z","priceCents":12,"iy":901.9755848800587,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T20:55:34.859Z","priceCents":13,"iy":823.1398866034403,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T23:40:28.571Z","priceCents":14,"iy":755.8489804586911,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T16:20:22.690Z","priceCents":13,"iy":839.5747318014145,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T16:35:25.053Z","priceCents":12,"iy":920.0253894926915,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T21:45:23.979Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1015.8235190740918,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T21:50:23.071Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1129.9726536298438,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T23:35:18.847Z","priceCents":12,"iy":920.9497136224863,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T16:05:17.245Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1132.934420858409,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:20:32.977Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1030.2324135822594,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:25:31.742Z","priceCents":13,"iy":852.1544842969301,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:45:31.698Z","priceCents":12,"iy":933.824085218716,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:20:27.646Z","priceCents":13,"iy":854.1300300337455,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:20:26.677Z","priceCents":12,"iy":936.0807244308909,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:30:50.691Z","priceCents":13,"iy":854.2763992391008,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:50:47.342Z","priceCents":12,"iy":936.1494761410123,"cri":7.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 937%","11 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 7.3","illiquid (LAS 0.33)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDHOUSESEATS-27-210","reason":"Will the Democratic party win below 210 House seats in the 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDHOUSESEATS-27-212","reason":"Will the Democratic party win 210-213 House seats in the 120"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDHOUSESEATS-27-216","reason":"Will the Democratic party win 214-217 House seats in the 120"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20Democratic%20party%20win%20242-245%20House%20seats%20in%20the%20120","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":3986}