{"ticker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-248","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the Democratic party win 246-249 House seats in the 120th Congress?","description":"If the Democratic party has between 246-249 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":14,"bestBid":12,"bestAsk":14,"spread":2,"volume":17826.27,"volume24h":15.01,"openInterest":12548.24,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":286,"iyYes":937.0080853412496,"iyNo":17.4237040662629,"cri":7.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1667,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.18,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":965,"askDepthUsd":1561,"volume24h":15.01,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T23:11:09.248Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-210","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win below 210 House seats in the 120th Congress?: Belo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-212","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 210-213 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 210-21","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-216","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 214-217 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 214-21","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-220","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 218-221 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 218-22","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-224","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 222-225 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 222-22","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-228","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 226-229 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 226-22","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-232","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 230-233 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 230-23","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-236","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 234-237 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 234-23","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-240","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 238-241 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 238-24","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-244","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 242-245 House seats in the 120th Congress?: 242-24","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-249","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party win above 249 House seats in the 120th Congress?: Abov","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDHOUSESEATS-27","groupLabel":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T13:10:51.404Z","priceCents":15,"iy":696.230369781919,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T13:15:50.541Z","priceCents":16,"iy":645.0456455000808,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T13:36:19.484Z","priceCents":14,"iy":754.782856257989,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T14:00:27.664Z","priceCents":15,"iy":696.3124058070547,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T14:35:53.212Z","priceCents":16,"iy":645.1650915604158,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T17:45:45.977Z","priceCents":17,"iy":600.2522267980571,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T18:05:58.701Z","priceCents":16,"iy":645.4823812362946,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T18:11:10.984Z","priceCents":17,"iy":600.2886220190899,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T18:25:54.024Z","priceCents":16,"iy":645.5128226721956,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T22:56:06.347Z","priceCents":17,"iy":600.6892609370752,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T23:25:31.246Z","priceCents":16,"iy":645.9654338966253,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T23:50:41.253Z","priceCents":17,"iy":600.7662124084845,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T02:45:21.562Z","priceCents":16,"iy":646.2682540217869,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T03:20:47.581Z","priceCents":17,"iy":601.0600242606436,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T04:15:39.194Z","priceCents":16,"iy":646.4055969532496,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T04:40:38.874Z","priceCents":15,"iy":697.7476413768286,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T06:15:39.295Z","priceCents":16,"iy":646.5866299550553,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T12:10:39.559Z","priceCents":17,"iy":601.806990297588,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T12:15:39.438Z","priceCents":16,"iy":647.132523284951,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T14:45:45.121Z","priceCents":15,"iy":698.7376552593944,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T14:50:39.403Z","priceCents":16,"iy":647.3686344195726,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T15:40:39.708Z","priceCents":15,"iy":698.8273665526921,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T15:45:40.798Z","priceCents":16,"iy":647.451751540707,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T18:10:40.455Z","priceCents":17,"iy":602.3154999964213,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T18:20:45.356Z","priceCents":16,"iy":647.6859065574713,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T00:30:34.872Z","priceCents":15,"iy":699.6973428415494,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T01:00:21.401Z","priceCents":16,"iy":648.2950643304926,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T01:25:50.949Z","priceCents":15,"iy":699.7896683752587,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T01:30:44.450Z","priceCents":16,"iy":648.3411263964921,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T04:45:25.447Z","priceCents":15,"iy":700.1165544562052,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T04:50:14.573Z","priceCents":16,"iy":648.646178530446,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T05:15:37.477Z","priceCents":15,"iy":700.1663247643357,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T13:45:35.468Z","priceCents":14,"iy":762.4987611520604,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T13:50:32.721Z","priceCents":15,"iy":703.3998984292814,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T14:15:33.963Z","priceCents":14,"iy":762.5532196070676,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T14:25:33.781Z","priceCents":15,"iy":703.4573141421562,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T15:35:35.214Z","priceCents":14,"iy":762.6984801914642,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T15:45:49.094Z","priceCents":15,"iy":703.5913205972532,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T02:30:33.903Z","priceCents":14,"iy":763.8807771677763,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T18:06:11.591Z","priceCents":13,"iy":834.0505914523144,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T18:10:53.646Z","priceCents":14,"iy":765.5839876609031,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T00:05:13.847Z","priceCents":13,"iy":834.7631604335668,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T00:10:13.943Z","priceCents":14,"iy":766.235452755079,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T07:10:45.656Z","priceCents":13,"iy":838.4738429430629,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T09:11:12.113Z","priceCents":14,"iy":769.8556036364455,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T16:20:22.690Z","priceCents":12,"iy":919.9937674145768,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T21:50:23.071Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1015.8340017480416,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T23:30:11.144Z","priceCents":14,"iy":771.4342730135137,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T16:05:17.245Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1018.4966005696812,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T03:55:17.259Z","priceCents":12,"iy":931.1375648491511,"cri":7.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 937%","11 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 7.3","illiquid (LAS 0.17)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 13c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-248","marketTitle":"Will the Democratic party win 246-249 House seats in the 120th Congress?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":13},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDHOUSESEATS-27-210","reason":"Will the Democratic party win below 210 House seats in the 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDHOUSESEATS-27-212","reason":"Will the Democratic party win 210-213 House seats in the 120"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDHOUSESEATS-27-216","reason":"Will the Democratic party win 214-217 House seats in the 120"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20Democratic%20party%20win%20246-249%20House%20seats%20in%20the%20120","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":3585}