{"ticker":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26JUL01","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-07-01T14:00:00.000Z?","description":"If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before July 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":21,"bestBid":21,"bestAsk":22,"spread":1,"volume":63651.17,"volume24h":7077.17,"openInterest":38061.39,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-01T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":34,"iyYes":4066.6229471205043,"iyNo":287.35470592535523,"cri":3.762,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0476,"cvr":null,"overround":0.28,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":1954,"askDepthUsd":3042,"volume24h":7077.17},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:00:28.051Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26AUG01","connectedTitle":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z?: Before Aug","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDIAZOUT-MDC","groupLabel":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26JUN01","connectedTitle":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-06-01T14:00:00.000Z?: Before Jun","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDIAZOUT-MDC","groupLabel":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26SEP01","connectedTitle":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-09-01T14:00:00.000Z?: Before Sep","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDIAZOUT-MDC","groupLabel":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T23:45:41.939Z","priceCents":26,"iy":2763.403170393833,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T01:30:24.876Z","priceCents":27,"iy":2630.1320643155877,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T04:00:25.548Z","priceCents":26,"iy":2776.475715859937,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T04:45:39.475Z","priceCents":27,"iy":2639.70001832781,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T05:00:24.051Z","priceCents":25,"iy":2929.7658862876256,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T05:15:39.769Z","priceCents":26,"iy":2780.339775843469,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T06:30:26.521Z","priceCents":25,"iy":2934.71269296741,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T06:45:34.493Z","priceCents":26,"iy":2784.961004359428,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T07:00:24.415Z","priceCents":27,"iy":2646.353950958279,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T07:45:40.826Z","priceCents":28,"iy":2518.9786059351277,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T08:00:29.088Z","priceCents":27,"iy":2649.26671638081,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T08:30:24.556Z","priceCents":28,"iy":2521.076119614893,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T10:15:41.488Z","priceCents":27,"iy":2655.969027483722,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T10:45:23.400Z","priceCents":28,"iy":2527.45773144319,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T11:00:42.346Z","priceCents":26,"iy":2798.238798238798,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T11:15:23.934Z","priceCents":27,"iy":2658.974650675895,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T11:30:39.515Z","priceCents":26,"iy":2799.822536239095,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T11:45:36.810Z","priceCents":27,"iy":2660.4800146977914,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T12:15:24.320Z","priceCents":28,"iy":2531.684591404603,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T12:30:42.397Z","priceCents":27,"iy":2662.7053366031296,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T12:45:25.864Z","priceCents":24,"iy":3119.4897261506358,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T13:00:48.138Z","priceCents":25,"iy":2956.1836883453475,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T13:15:25.365Z","priceCents":28,"iy":2534.5559897691896,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T13:30:43.005Z","priceCents":25,"iy":2957.8606158833063,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T14:16:00.656Z","priceCents":26,"iy":2808.5272752606284,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T14:30:23.075Z","priceCents":29,"iy":2416.562615687749,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T15:15:45.130Z","priceCents":27,"iy":2670.993184431352,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T16:00:25.080Z","priceCents":20,"iy":3954.924693899665,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T17:00:26.034Z","priceCents":21,"iy":3723.648103309121,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T17:15:53.202Z","priceCents":23,"iy":3314.7692104468606,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T05:16:02.046Z","priceCents":22,"iy":3558.714412855871,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T14:00:48.576Z","priceCents":21,"iy":3814.259390803184,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T17:15:23.557Z","priceCents":19,"iy":4338.759289479555,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T22:31:06.960Z","priceCents":21,"iy":3852.139817913419,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T10:30:31.042Z","priceCents":20,"iy":4154.218238725281,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T15:01:02.876Z","priceCents":19,"iy":4451.206108984918,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T23:30:22.107Z","priceCents":20,"iy":4219.165414402959,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T03:00:44.402Z","priceCents":22,"iy":3755.5601285359253,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:15:28.713Z","priceCents":23,"iy":3586.2897946735843,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:00:47.817Z","priceCents":26,"iy":3055.519732480819,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:15:26.069Z","priceCents":27,"iy":2903.4447964101673,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:45:24.371Z","priceCents":25,"iy":3223.62223268959,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:45:23.161Z","priceCents":26,"iy":3062.0041673185183,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:00:42.217Z","priceCents":23,"iy":3602.8910300127686,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:45:24.293Z","priceCents":21,"iy":4052.221449299803,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:00:45.486Z","priceCents":22,"iy":3820.307342182526,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:15:26.107Z","priceCents":21,"iy":4054.7343435366124,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:45:37.754Z","priceCents":22,"iy":3823.8067224859174,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:00:25.491Z","priceCents":20,"iy":4315.313451364053,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:30:24.725Z","priceCents":21,"iy":4060.97018246551,"cri":3.762}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 4067%","tight LAS 0.048","3 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 19c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26JUL01","marketTitle":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-07-01T14:00:00.000Z?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":19},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26AUG01","reason":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-08-01T14:00:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26JUN01","reason":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-06-01T14:00:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26SEP01","reason":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-09-01T14:00:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Miguel%20D%C3%ADaz-Canel%20leave%20office%20before%202026-07-01T14%3A00%3A","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":159}