{"ticker":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26SEP01","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-09-01T14:00:00.000Z?","description":"If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before September 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":5,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":6,"spread":1,"volume":121731.43,"volume24h":596.95,"openInterest":52358.75,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-09-01T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":35,"iyYes":16429.159723419336,"iyNo":66.93636827106111,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1667,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-07-28T18:53:22.051Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26AUG01","connectedTitle":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z?: Before Aug","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDIAZOUT-MDC","groupLabel":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":-1,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-16T14:46:45.322Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2923.4696774298204,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-16T15:01:00.925Z","priceCents":19,"iy":3313.7114689274404,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-16T15:16:26.642Z","priceCents":18,"iy":3541.8190252364966,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-16T16:46:26.064Z","priceCents":19,"iy":3318.9417105599937,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-16T17:31:02.935Z","priceCents":20,"iy":3116.1291699570997,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-16T18:45:58.409Z","priceCents":19,"iy":3324.827742097279,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-16T19:31:44.516Z","priceCents":18,"iy":3555.222958686718,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-16T20:16:20.640Z","priceCents":19,"iy":3329.238177066149,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-16T20:46:13.189Z","priceCents":18,"iy":3559.180139941303,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-16T21:46:34.337Z","priceCents":19,"iy":3333.731749890623,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-16T22:16:38.910Z","priceCents":18,"iy":3563.986234653902,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T02:00:57.306Z","priceCents":25,"iy":2354.8893524591927,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T02:16:15.640Z","priceCents":19,"iy":3347.1415422550444,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T02:30:57.053Z","priceCents":18,"iy":3577.4818257229676,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T15:15:57.226Z","priceCents":17,"iy":3878.5096383428977,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T16:32:40.349Z","priceCents":18,"iy":3623.0831432818627,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T20:45:58.563Z","priceCents":19,"iy":3403.5885900060093,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T22:31:27.712Z","priceCents":17,"iy":3904.170935544773,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T04:31:58.795Z","priceCents":14,"iy":5050.553807142535,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T06:16:13.280Z","priceCents":13,"iy":5511.241161708198,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T15:16:27.818Z","priceCents":12,"iy":6090.669821982539,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T21:01:34.564Z","priceCents":11,"iy":6756.770810583701,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T22:32:05.928Z","priceCents":12,"iy":6132.954510738398,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T23:31:35.256Z","priceCents":8,"iy":9626.631195101254,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-20T02:01:36.713Z","priceCents":9,"iy":8484.23079968633,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-20T04:17:03.245Z","priceCents":10,"iy":7568.252505471719,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-20T17:02:08.424Z","priceCents":6,"iy":13337.531681982864,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-21T08:45:58.783Z","priceCents":5,"iy":16426.642664266423,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T04:00:59.130Z","priceCents":6,"iy":13807.0632927693,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T21:16:28.045Z","priceCents":5,"iy":17040.56810084281,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T23:31:24.506Z","priceCents":4,"iy":21574.7604856784,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T01:45:59.238Z","priceCents":7,"iy":11970.589272490037,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T02:02:25.116Z","priceCents":10,"iy":8111.511679589115,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T03:02:30.196Z","priceCents":12,"iy":6616.077975793229,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T03:31:33.088Z","priceCents":8,"iy":10380.601444257592,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T05:15:59.411Z","priceCents":9,"iy":9143.185897224152,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T05:32:16.637Z","priceCents":10,"iy":8140.658687086461,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T06:15:57.853Z","priceCents":11,"iy":7323.996374638703,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T08:00:59.743Z","priceCents":10,"iy":8161.693458222565,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T15:46:02.500Z","priceCents":5,"iy":17369.633822571755,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T16:45:56.218Z","priceCents":6,"iy":14337.052358865072,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T17:46:54.251Z","priceCents":5,"iy":17406.254706089047,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T18:00:54.622Z","priceCents":6,"iy":14355.76866752023,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T18:16:35.825Z","priceCents":5,"iy":17414.99673547285,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T20:15:56.184Z","priceCents":6,"iy":14389.726297424026,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T21:45:56.829Z","priceCents":5,"iy":17479.080552475043,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T01:01:22.428Z","priceCents":6,"iy":14461.782285054333,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-27T14:45:58.840Z","priceCents":5,"iy":19281.027580071168,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T18:31:22.681Z","priceCents":6,"iy":16426.32808610058,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T18:46:00.899Z","priceCents":5,"iy":19927.588287692877,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 16429%","1 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7","illiquid (LAS 0.17)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 5c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26SEP01","marketTitle":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-09-01T14:00:00.000Z?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":5},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26AUG01","reason":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-08-01T14:00:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Miguel%20D%C3%ADaz-Canel%20leave%20office%20before%202026-09-01T14%3A00%3A","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":113}