{"ticker":"KXDSENATESEATS-29-B45","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the Democratic party hold fewer than 45 Senate seats in the 121st Congress?","description":"If the Democratic party has below 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":10,"bestBid":9,"bestAsk":14,"spread":5,"volume":1389.98,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1165.98,"status":"active","closeTime":"2029-02-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":969,"iyYes":380.76640717461817,"iyNo":3.724438954370736,"cri":10.111,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.5556,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.27,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":1788,"askDepthUsd":1394,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T09:27:37.402Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXDSENATESEATS-29-E45","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party hold exactly 45 Senate seats in the 121st Congress?: 4","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDSENATESEATS-29","groupLabel":"KXDSENATESEATS-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDSENATESEATS-29-E46","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party hold exactly 46 Senate seats in the 121st Congress?: 4","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDSENATESEATS-29","groupLabel":"KXDSENATESEATS-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDSENATESEATS-29-E47","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party hold exactly 47 Senate seats in the 121st Congress?: 4","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDSENATESEATS-29","groupLabel":"KXDSENATESEATS-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDSENATESEATS-29-E48","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party hold exactly 48 Senate seats in the 121st Congress?: 4","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDSENATESEATS-29","groupLabel":"KXDSENATESEATS-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDSENATESEATS-29-E49","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party hold exactly 49 Senate seats in the 121st Congress?: 4","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDSENATESEATS-29","groupLabel":"KXDSENATESEATS-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDSENATESEATS-29-E50","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party hold exactly 50 Senate seats in the 121st Congress?: 5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDSENATESEATS-29","groupLabel":"KXDSENATESEATS-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDSENATESEATS-29-E51","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party hold exactly 51 Senate seats in the 121st Congress?: 5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDSENATESEATS-29","groupLabel":"KXDSENATESEATS-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDSENATESEATS-29-E52","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party hold exactly 52 Senate seats in the 121st Congress?: 5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDSENATESEATS-29","groupLabel":"KXDSENATESEATS-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDSENATESEATS-29-E53","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party hold exactly 53 Senate seats in the 121st Congress?: 5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDSENATESEATS-29","groupLabel":"KXDSENATESEATS-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDSENATESEATS-29-E54","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party hold exactly 54 Senate seats in the 121st Congress?: 5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDSENATESEATS-29","groupLabel":"KXDSENATESEATS-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDSENATESEATS-29-E55","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party hold exactly 55 Senate seats in the 121st Congress?: 5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDSENATESEATS-29","groupLabel":"KXDSENATESEATS-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDSENATESEATS-29-E56","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party hold exactly 56 Senate seats in the 121st Congress?: 5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDSENATESEATS-29","groupLabel":"KXDSENATESEATS-29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXDSENATESEATS-29-A56","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic party hold more than 56 Senate seats in the 121st Congress?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXDSENATESEATS-29","groupLabel":"KXDSENATESEATS-29"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T22:15:41.218Z","priceCents":9,"iy":371.7705962197484,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T23:35:43.652Z","priceCents":11,"iy":297.5072400907697,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T23:50:44.263Z","priceCents":20,"iy":147.08386097149898,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T02:45:40.220Z","priceCents":8,"iy":423.3441921917076,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:16:36.952Z","priceCents":2,"iy":1812.842853841382,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T08:15:29.490Z","priceCents":20,"iy":148.1810772764318,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T14:45:51.830Z","priceCents":1,"iy":3675.954466383862,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T15:00:27.158Z","priceCents":2,"iy":1819.4303153611393,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T16:30:24.350Z","priceCents":5,"iy":705.5386052208837,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T18:15:52.900Z","priceCents":6,"iy":581.8031114511604,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T18:30:26.965Z","priceCents":5,"iy":705.5981865058287,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T18:45:58.555Z","priceCents":6,"iy":581.8155425976818,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T19:00:25.010Z","priceCents":8,"iy":427.08171174553564,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T19:30:26.398Z","priceCents":9,"iy":375.5098183127146,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T20:00:59.143Z","priceCents":8,"iy":427.0999632678769,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T20:45:27.982Z","priceCents":7,"iy":493.43539768465484,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T21:00:46.362Z","priceCents":8,"iy":427.11821635025825,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T21:45:26.964Z","priceCents":7,"iy":493.45648642700286,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T22:00:52.605Z","priceCents":11,"iy":300.5146816940351,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T22:15:26.890Z","priceCents":10,"iy":334.28377792566994,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T22:46:17.555Z","priceCents":11,"iy":300.524467696557,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T23:00:28.220Z","priceCents":12,"iy":272.3882444967737,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T23:30:27.747Z","priceCents":15,"iy":210.4861092736686,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T23:45:52.359Z","priceCents":16,"iy":195.01137248317028,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T00:00:27.082Z","priceCents":10,"iy":334.3086121358606,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T04:00:58.475Z","priceCents":12,"iy":272.4459128702364,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T05:16:02.046Z","priceCents":10,"iy":334.3831369108088,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T03:45:24.714Z","priceCents":12,"iy":273.8367564632978,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T19:15:22.663Z","priceCents":8,"iy":431.4762294888176,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T20:15:25.878Z","priceCents":9,"iy":379.38195293242325,"cri":10.111}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 381%","13 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 10.1","illiquid (LAS 0.56)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDSENATESEATS-29-E45","reason":"Will the Democratic party hold exactly 45 Senate seats in th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDSENATESEATS-29-E46","reason":"Will the Democratic party hold exactly 46 Senate seats in th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDSENATESEATS-29-E47","reason":"Will the Democratic party hold exactly 47 Senate seats in th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20Democratic%20party%20hold%20fewer%20than%2045%20Senate%20seats%20in","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":201}