{"ticker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05-SERV","venue":"kalshi","title":"What will Shopify Inc. say during their next earnings call?","description":"If Service is said by any Shopify Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Shopify Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.","price":90,"bestBid":90,"bestAsk":93,"spread":3,"volume":50,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":50,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-09-30T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":150,"iyYes":27.068255758678706,"iyNo":2192.5287164529764,"cri":9,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0333,"cvr":null,"overround":5.83,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.568,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":365,"askDepthUsd":525,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.65},"computedAt":"2026-05-03T18:09:45.054Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05-REPU","connectedTitle":"What will Shopify Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Repurchase / Buybac","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05-OPEN","connectedTitle":"What will Shopify Inc. say during their next earnings call?: OpenAI","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05-SHOP","connectedTitle":"What will Shopify Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Shop Pay","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05-AMAZ","connectedTitle":"What will Shopify Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Amazon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05-ACQU","connectedTitle":"What will Shopify Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Acquired / Acquisit","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Shopify Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Tariff","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05-KLAR","connectedTitle":"What will Shopify Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Klarna","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05-SHOPC","connectedTitle":"What will Shopify Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Shopify Capital ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05-HEAD","connectedTitle":"What will Shopify Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Headwind","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T04:30:35.166Z","priceCents":80,"iy":939.5411692782909,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:45:12.439Z","priceCents":79,"iy":898.1229277530421,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:50:24.951Z","priceCents":80,"iy":954.9848903075576,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T06:40:40.491Z","priceCents":79,"iy":901.543112895334,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T13:55:58.814Z","priceCents":80,"iy":960.5073584074,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T14:00:37.715Z","priceCents":81,"iy":1030.4984315092372,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T14:05:37.869Z","priceCents":90,"iy":2175.5543193197173,"cri":9}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.033","9 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 9.0"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 81c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05-SERV","marketTitle":"What will Shopify Inc. say during their next earnings call?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":81},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05-REPU","reason":"What will Shopify Inc. say during their next earnings call?:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05-OPEN","reason":"What will Shopify Inc. say during their next earnings call?:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXEARNINGSMENTIONSHOP-26MAY05-SHOP","reason":"What will Shopify Inc. say during their next earnings call?:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=What%20will%20Shopify%20Inc.%20say%20during%20their%20next%20earnings%20call%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":3010}