{"ticker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02-HOLI","venue":"kalshi","title":"What will Ulta Beauty, Inc. say during their next earnings call?","description":"If Holiday is said by any Ulta Beauty, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Ulta Beauty, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.","price":83,"bestBid":66,"bestAsk":78,"spread":12,"volume":50,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":50,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-09-30T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":125,"iyYes":150.75832286771725,"iyNo":568.0824000101874,"cri":1.941,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1818,"cvr":null,"overround":8.25,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":12,"bidDepthUsd":89,"askDepthUsd":170,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:47:04.148Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02-AI","connectedTitle":"What will Ulta Beauty, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: AI / Artificia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02-DIAM","connectedTitle":"What will Ulta Beauty, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Diamond","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02-GOOG","connectedTitle":"What will Ulta Beauty, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Google / Gemin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02-HEAD","connectedTitle":"What will Ulta Beauty, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Headwind","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02-LUXU","connectedTitle":"What will Ulta Beauty, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Luxury","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02-MIDD","connectedTitle":"What will Ulta Beauty, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Middle East","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02-RARE","connectedTitle":"What will Ulta Beauty, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Rare Beauty","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02-REWA","connectedTitle":"What will Ulta Beauty, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Reward","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02-SPAC","connectedTitle":"What will Ulta Beauty, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Space NK","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02-STOR","connectedTitle":"What will Ulta Beauty, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Store Opening","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02-TAIL","connectedTitle":"What will Ulta Beauty, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Tailwind","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02-TARG","connectedTitle":"What will Ulta Beauty, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Target","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Ulta Beauty, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Tariff","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02-TRAF","connectedTitle":"What will Ulta Beauty, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Traffic","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02-UNCE","connectedTitle":"What will Ulta Beauty, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Uncertainty","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02","groupLabel":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T23:15:22.595Z","priceCents":48,"iy":312.30090406010925,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T00:45:21.147Z","priceCents":1,"iy":28553.479992414184,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T02:00:23.703Z","priceCents":49,"iy":300.3145922400581,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T02:30:24.936Z","priceCents":50,"iy":288.58545687426374,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T02:45:29.454Z","priceCents":48,"iy":312.6614374123626,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T11:45:33.412Z","priceCents":49,"iy":301.28394057058955,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T12:15:43.906Z","priceCents":48,"iy":313.64352645049394,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T13:00:23.381Z","priceCents":49,"iy":301.4082395281484,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T15:45:55.045Z","priceCents":50,"iy":289.85277067484077,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T16:00:24.257Z","priceCents":48,"iy":314.0321060601248,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T16:30:46.558Z","priceCents":49,"iy":301.75778163046465,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:00:46.641Z","priceCents":48,"iy":314.13688821096235,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:15:22.717Z","priceCents":49,"iy":301.832103845161,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:30:52.011Z","priceCents":54,"iy":340.4566091419941,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:45:21.832Z","priceCents":55,"iy":354.49815334274547,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:15:23.704Z","priceCents":56,"iy":369.2055145287068,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:30:37.180Z","priceCents":55,"iy":354.5855014713312,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T19:15:22.992Z","priceCents":56,"iy":369.328797310766,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T19:30:35.019Z","priceCents":57,"iy":384.70001534732086,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T19:45:25.531Z","priceCents":59,"iy":417.6557748401911,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:00:52.940Z","priceCents":62,"iy":473.58334125080415,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:30:30.829Z","priceCents":63,"iy":494.3063942976453,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:45:33.684Z","priceCents":64,"iy":516.1463663826094,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:00:37.157Z","priceCents":65,"iy":539.2315070298971,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:15:27.070Z","priceCents":66,"iy":563.6759628352926,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:45:23.951Z","priceCents":67,"iy":589.6549138351537,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:15:28.713Z","priceCents":64,"iy":518.808127164847,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:30:34.750Z","priceCents":65,"iy":542.0168739162519,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:00:58.051Z","priceCents":66,"iy":566.6376722552651,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:15:23.946Z","priceCents":67,"iy":592.7014948777553,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:31:47.431Z","priceCents":66,"iy":566.7328521554199,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:00:47.817Z","priceCents":64,"iy":519.1152640332234,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:45:24.371Z","priceCents":65,"iy":542.4245749769084,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:15:25.566Z","priceCents":64,"iy":519.3271512060129,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:45:23.161Z","priceCents":65,"iy":542.6025942007276,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:00:42.217Z","priceCents":64,"iy":519.4601883576876,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:15:24.477Z","priceCents":65,"iy":542.6938200383833,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:45:24.293Z","priceCents":64,"iy":519.5891331135756,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:00:45.486Z","priceCents":65,"iy":542.8328898386718,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:45:29.880Z","priceCents":66,"iy":567.7228023306565,"cri":1.941}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 151%","15 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.18)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 75c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02-HOLI","marketTitle":"What will Ulta Beauty, Inc. say during their next earnings call?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":75},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02-AI","reason":"What will Ulta Beauty, Inc. say during their next earnings c"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02-DIAM","reason":"What will Ulta Beauty, Inc. say during their next earnings c"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXEARNINGSMENTIONULTA-26JUN02-GOOG","reason":"What will Ulta Beauty, Inc. say during their next earnings c"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=What%20will%20Ulta%20Beauty%2C%20Inc.%20say%20during%20their%20next%20earnings%20c","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":138}