{"ticker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.4","venue":"kalshi","title":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?","description":"If the CPI year-over-year is exactly 3.4% in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":7,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":12,"spread":9,"volume":1182,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1060,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-08-12T12:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Hormuz blockade disrupts fertilizer supply chains. Fertilizer prices spike, US f","thesisSlug":"fertilizer-shock-farm-crisis","thesisPrice":55,"edge":48,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-08T06:05:48.007Z","firstDetectedPrice":10}],"indicators":{"tauDays":47,"iyYes":24958.584470057456,"iyNo":23.873659286907973,"cri":32.333,"ee":43,"eeSource":"thesis","las":3,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.16,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.625,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":9,"bidDepthUsd":200,"askDepthUsd":829,"volume24h":0,"sfEdgeCents":48,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T05:48:09.685Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T2.0","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 2.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T2.1","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 2.1%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T2.2","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 2.2%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T2.6","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 2.6%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T2.7","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 2.7%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T2.8","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 2.8%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T2.9","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 2.9%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.0","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 3.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.1","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 3.1%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.2","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 3.2%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.3","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 3.3%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.5","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 3.5%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.6","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 3.6%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.7","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 3.7%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.8","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 3.8%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T3.9","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 3.9%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.0","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 4.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.1","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 4.1%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.2","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 4.2%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.3","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 4.3%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.4","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 4.4%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T4.5","connectedTitle":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 4.5%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T09:30:33.166Z","priceCents":1,"iy":52275.620623806506,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T20:46:17.837Z","priceCents":2,"iy":28096.771659728223,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T21:15:25.603Z","priceCents":1,"iy":57692.30769230769,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T13:00:40.124Z","priceCents":7,"iy":7952.516832768725,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T07:30:44.645Z","priceCents":2,"iy":30726.544917277988,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T03:30:51.722Z","priceCents":3,"iy":20569.712180894945,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T19:00:33.710Z","priceCents":5,"iy":12225.003525595823,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T02:30:46.806Z","priceCents":4,"iy":15807.994225390237,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T13:16:07.374Z","priceCents":3,"iy":24603.720613477326,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["+48c executable edge (yes)","IY 24959%","22 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 3.00)","price shifted 30% since edge was set"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T2.0","reason":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 2.0%"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T2.1","reason":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 2.1%"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL-T2.2","reason":"CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?: Exactly 2.2%"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=CPI%20year-over-year%20in%20Jul%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":93}