{"ticker":"KXEFFTARIFF-26APR30-T10","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q1 2026 be above 10%?","description":"If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q1 2026 is above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":52,"bestBid":50,"bestAsk":60,"spread":10,"volume":3017.73,"volume24h":500,"openInterest":1207.4,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-04-30T12:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":9,"iyYes":4229.922354849925,"iyNo":4229.922354849925,"cri":1,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1,"cvr":null,"overround":1.49,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":10,"bidDepthUsd":3863,"askDepthUsd":2040,"volume24h":500,"observability":"medium","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T21:33:36.685Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T80","connectedTitle":"Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $80‎ billion?: Above $80‎ billion","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T100","connectedTitle":"Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $100‎ billion?: Above $100‎ billion","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T125","connectedTitle":"Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $125‎ billion?: Above $125‎ billion","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T150","connectedTitle":"Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $150‎ billion?: Above $150‎ billion","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T200","connectedTitle":"Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $200‎ billion?: Above $200‎ billion","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T250","connectedTitle":"Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $250‎ billion?: Above $250‎ billion","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFSECTOR-27JAN01-CAN","connectedTitle":"Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on Canadi","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFSECTOR-27JAN01-MINE","connectedTitle":"Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on critic","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFSECTOR-27JAN01-WIND","connectedTitle":"Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on wind t","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFSECTOR-27JAN01-FILM","connectedTitle":"Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on foreig","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONVZ-26APR27-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Verizon Communications Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Tari","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONUAL-26APR22-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will United Airlines Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: T","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONTSLA-26APR22-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Tesla, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Tariff","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONSBUX-26APR28-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Starbucks Corporation say during their next earnings call?: Tariff","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONPG-26APR24-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will The Procter & Gamble Company say during their next earnings call?: Tar","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONLYFT-26MAY07-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Lyft, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Tariff","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONLLY-26APR30-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Eli Lilly and Company say during their next earnings call?: Tariff","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONKO-26APR28-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will The Coca-Cola Company say during their next earnings call?: Tariff","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONINTC-26APR23-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Intel Corporation say during their next earnings call?: Tariff","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONGEV-26APR22-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will GE Vernova Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Tariff","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONDPZ-26APR27-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Domino's Pizza, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Tariff","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONCVNA-26APR29-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Carvana Co. say during their next earnings call?: Tariff","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONCMG-26APR29-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Tar","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONBA-26APR22-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will The Boeing Company say during their next earnings call?: Tariff","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONAMZN-26APR29-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Amazon.com, Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Tariff","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEARNINGSMENTIONAAPL-26APR30-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Apple Inc. say during their next earnings call?: Tariff","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEFFTARIFF-26APR30-T5","connectedTitle":"Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEFFTARIFF-26APR30-T7.5","connectedTitle":"Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEFFTARIFF-26APR30-T12.5","connectedTitle":"Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXEFFTARIFF-26APR30-T15","connectedTitle":"Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-26JUL01-5","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on China imports be below 10% on Jul 1, 2026?: Below 10%","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-26JUL01-14","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 10% and 19.99% on Jul 1, 2026?:","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-26JUL01-24","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 20% and 29.99% on Jul 1, 2026?:","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-26JUL01-34","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 30% and 39.99% on Jul 1, 2026?:","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-26JUL01-44","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 40% and 49.99% on Jul 1, 2026?:","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-26JUL01-55","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 50% and 60% on Jul 1, 2026?: Be","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEPRC-26JUL01-30","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on China imports be above 60% on Jul 1, 2026?: Above 60%","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEINDIA-26JUL01-5","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on India imports be below 10% on Jul 1, 2026?: Below 10%","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEINDIA-26JUL01-14","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on India imports be between 10% and 19.99% on Jul 1, 2026?:","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEINDIA-26JUL01-24","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on India imports be between 20% and 29.99% on Jul 1, 2026?:","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEINDIA-26JUL01-34","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on India imports be between 30% and 39.99% on Jul 1, 2026?:","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEINDIA-26JUL01-44","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on India imports be between 40% and 49.99% on Jul 1, 2026?:","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEINDIA-26JUL01-55","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on India imports be between 50% and 60% on Jul 1, 2026?: Be","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEINDIA-26JUL01-30","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on India imports be above 60% on Jul 1, 2026?: Above 60%","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-5","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be below 10% on Jul 1, 2026?:","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-14","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be between 10% and 19.99% on ","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-24","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be between 20% and 29.99% on ","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-34","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be between 30% and 39.99% on ","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-44","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be between 40% and 49.99% on ","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-55","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be between 50% and 60% on Jul","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01-30","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be above 60% on Jul 1, 2026?:","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATECAN-26JUL01-5","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be below 10% on Jul 1, 2026?: Below 10%","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATECAN-26JUL01-14","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be between 10% and 19.99% on Jul 1, 2026?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATECAN-26JUL01-24","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be between 20% and 29.99% on Jul 1, 2026?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATECAN-26JUL01-34","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be between 30% and 39.99% on Jul 1, 2026?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATECAN-26JUL01-44","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be between 40% and 49.99% on Jul 1, 2026?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTARIFFRATECAN-26JUL01-30","connectedTitle":"Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be above 60% on Jul 1, 2026?: Above 60%","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXSECPRESSMENTION-26MAY07-TARI","connectedTitle":"Will the White House Press Secretary say Tariff at her next press briefing?: Tar","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHOCHULMENTION-26APR22B-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Kathy Hochul say during next Governor Kathy Hochul announcement?: Tari","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26APR-TRAD","connectedTitle":"Will Powell say Trade War at his Apr 2026 press conference?: Trade War","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26APR-TARI","connectedTitle":"Will Powell say Tariff Inflation at his Apr 2026 press conference?: Tariff Infla","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR25-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner?: Tariff","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLUTNICKFTNMENTION-26APR23-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Howard Lutnick say during Budget Hearing - Department of Commerce?: Ta","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR22-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump Jr. say during Turning Point Tour at Baylor University?: ","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26APR22-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Scott Bessent say during A Review of the President’s Fiscal Year 2027 ","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26APR21B-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will Donald Trump say during Remarks to NCAA Collegiate National Champions?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"KXNYCMAYORDEBATEMENTION-26APR21-TARI","connectedTitle":"What will any participating candidate say during South Carolina GOP gubernatoria","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"0xfa772932032462681258298f5b3471dd5f2f5ee514b51558db05a39556d5e97f","connectedTitle":"Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"0x1b3f1f2bec1c92ff851c9b02c3c8bbc320e5aac7bc371ad0f615c5521a4494e7","connectedTitle":"100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"},{"connectedTicker":"0xfd1be18abbc39bdf1b16659499488e584e6c06c7b1959b425b5fb4b046d01a33","connectedTitle":"Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?","groupType":"theme","groupKey":"theme:tariff_trade","groupLabel":"Tariffs & trade"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T20:45:58.849Z","priceCents":45,"iy":2526.8258913118725,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T22:30:58.678Z","priceCents":46,"iy":2437.02798811037,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T22:35:59.256Z","priceCents":45,"iy":2537.894590460298,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T00:10:57.689Z","priceCents":44,"iy":2652.5749702818166,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T01:05:59.902Z","priceCents":43,"iy":2768.8978442390157,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T01:21:15.907Z","priceCents":44,"iy":2660.0174905259655,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T01:45:57.520Z","priceCents":45,"iy":2556.950255695026,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T03:45:44.727Z","priceCents":44,"iy":2675.4907247909614,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T04:25:44.776Z","priceCents":45,"iy":2573.322053017485,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T06:10:36.942Z","priceCents":46,"iy":2482.0614080377986,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T06:25:12.296Z","priceCents":43,"iy":2804.3656714909034,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T07:01:08.516Z","priceCents":44,"iy":2696.456086286595,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T09:00:39.856Z","priceCents":43,"iy":2822.0309670593506,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T09:30:37.422Z","priceCents":44,"iy":2712.8326007092655,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T11:30:34.506Z","priceCents":43,"iy":2839.253619519545,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T12:10:35.598Z","priceCents":44,"iy":2730.532266769262,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T14:25:33.781Z","priceCents":43,"iy":2859.726989197504,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T15:05:34.773Z","priceCents":44,"iy":2750.2543043363607,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T16:05:55.583Z","priceCents":45,"iy":2647.700819699158,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T17:05:35.469Z","priceCents":43,"iy":2878.6126207896577,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T17:25:33.858Z","priceCents":44,"iy":2766.139422087975,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T18:11:22.371Z","priceCents":46,"iy":2556.247827643272,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T00:11:15.207Z","priceCents":47,"iy":2492.7067870691085,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T06:10:41.037Z","priceCents":46,"iy":2634.681552416929,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T06:15:09.970Z","priceCents":47,"iy":2531.339143178666,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T18:06:11.591Z","priceCents":46,"iy":2717.736019723235,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T18:10:53.646Z","priceCents":47,"iy":2611.1510796222237,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T22:15:25.940Z","priceCents":50,"iy":2340.793946001411,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T00:10:13.943Z","priceCents":51,"iy":2448.900658697051,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T06:10:54.770Z","priceCents":50,"iy":2391.4040490074035,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T06:15:33.417Z","priceCents":51,"iy":2489.6648481792613,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T18:05:36.323Z","priceCents":50,"iy":2471.894893674658,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T19:10:40.938Z","priceCents":51,"iy":2580.653210948125,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T19:15:35.304Z","priceCents":50,"iy":2479.956515830955,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:20:35.695Z","priceCents":51,"iy":2589.095339628389,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:35:34.578Z","priceCents":50,"iy":2489.4284545082523,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:41:06.434Z","priceCents":51,"iy":2591.7448436599366,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T07:10:45.656Z","priceCents":50,"iy":2566.6268194923005,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T23:00:12.748Z","priceCents":51,"iy":2801.1942131225,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T14:30:16.087Z","priceCents":45,"iy":3453.94170881938,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T20:20:27.940Z","priceCents":48,"iy":3120.1504510902446,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T01:55:32.881Z","priceCents":47,"iy":4360.124413992067,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:00:31.756Z","priceCents":48,"iy":4208.799006563776,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:50:46.603Z","priceCents":49,"iy":4113.675789752826,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:15:36.364Z","priceCents":50,"iy":4108.509680324179,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:30:27.858Z","priceCents":52,"iy":4455.901134400121,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:05:28.123Z","priceCents":51,"iy":4292.632307160153,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:35:26.364Z","priceCents":56,"iy":5261.586301341654,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:40:27.254Z","priceCents":55,"iy":5055.083412023923,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:35:29.397Z","priceCents":50,"iy":4213.807434772569,"cri":1}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 4230%","70 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 47c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXEFFTARIFF-26APR30-T10","marketTitle":"Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q1 2026 be above 10%?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":47},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T80","reason":"Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $80‎ billion?: Abov"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T100","reason":"Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $100‎ billion?: Abo"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTARIFFREVENUE-26DEC31-T125","reason":"Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $125‎ billion?: Abo"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20US%20effective%20tariff%20rate%20(customs%20duties%20collected%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2385}