{"ticker":"KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-4750.00","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Ethereum reach above $4750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?","description":"If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is above 4750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":19,"bestBid":15,"bestAsk":19,"spread":4,"volume":165039.15,"volume24h":1263,"openInterest":47033.63,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":254,"iyYes":813.522967438104,"iyNo":25.334625283539573,"cri":5.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2,"cvr":null,"overround":0.72,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.364,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":6676,"askDepthUsd":7242,"volume24h":1263,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.2},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T23:19:02.474Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-3500.00","connectedTitle":"Will Ethereum reach above $3500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?: Above $3,500.00","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHMAXY-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXETHMAXY-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-3750.00","connectedTitle":"Will Ethereum reach above $3750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?: Above $3,750.00","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHMAXY-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXETHMAXY-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-4000.00","connectedTitle":"Will Ethereum reach above $4000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?: Above $4,000.00","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHMAXY-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXETHMAXY-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-4250.00","connectedTitle":"Will Ethereum reach above $4250.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?: Above $4,250.00","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHMAXY-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXETHMAXY-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-4500.00","connectedTitle":"Will Ethereum reach above $4500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?: Above $4,500.00","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHMAXY-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXETHMAXY-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-5000.00","connectedTitle":"Will Ethereum reach above $5000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?: Above $5,000.00","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHMAXY-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXETHMAXY-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-6000.00","connectedTitle":"Will Ethereum reach above $6000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?: Above $6,000.00","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHMAXY-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXETHMAXY-27JAN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:05:47.604Z","priceCents":16,"iy":752.0958600876022,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:10:36.964Z","priceCents":17,"iy":699.4390634927671,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:20:36.853Z","priceCents":16,"iy":752.1283318352913,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:26:00.532Z","priceCents":17,"iy":699.4665168068216,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:35:56.821Z","priceCents":16,"iy":752.157854039181,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:40:56.839Z","priceCents":17,"iy":699.4967179415423,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:45:56.603Z","priceCents":16,"iy":752.1785209609044,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:51:14.064Z","priceCents":17,"iy":699.5159382033835,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:15:26.058Z","priceCents":16,"iy":752.2405285409773,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:25:24.889Z","priceCents":17,"iy":699.5818442635443,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:40:39.612Z","priceCents":16,"iy":752.2907326418604,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:46:24.942Z","priceCents":17,"iy":699.6202952007363,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:56:21.113Z","priceCents":18,"iy":652.8095676189007,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:05:15.221Z","priceCents":17,"iy":699.6560034272636,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:20:12.362Z","priceCents":18,"iy":652.8531405442524,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:30:13.843Z","priceCents":16,"iy":752.3941151295511,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:40:57.295Z","priceCents":17,"iy":699.8400959516692,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:45:24.478Z","priceCents":16,"iy":752.5477644471499,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:25:27.946Z","priceCents":15,"iy":812.3631060156764,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:30:28.315Z","priceCents":18,"iy":653.0839176830599,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:35:44.189Z","priceCents":16,"iy":752.6512175962293,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:40:27.780Z","priceCents":17,"iy":699.9527973736579,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:50:28.934Z","priceCents":16,"iy":752.6807808633489,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:56:10.657Z","priceCents":15,"iy":812.4301152983014,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:05:28.121Z","priceCents":16,"iy":752.7103464529814,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:05:28.123Z","priceCents":15,"iy":812.5833208924927,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:10:41.248Z","priceCents":16,"iy":752.8463780870138,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:15:27.408Z","priceCents":15,"iy":812.6056682028253,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:40:27.254Z","priceCents":16,"iy":752.9055376128621,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:55:27.378Z","priceCents":15,"iy":812.6950697372265,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:05:28.160Z","priceCents":16,"iy":752.9587891361749,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:11:05.203Z","priceCents":15,"iy":812.7301971509256,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:15:26.716Z","priceCents":16,"iy":752.9795000962713,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:45:26.885Z","priceCents":14,"iy":881.1099459039475,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:50:40.591Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.0505177529326,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:00:27.508Z","priceCents":15,"iy":812.8387919944878,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:05:28.944Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.0801123970839,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:25:29.176Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.3819445487998,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:30:29.219Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.1333886187937,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:45:28.654Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.4204834901216,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:00:39.786Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.1955537387586,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:05:29.223Z","priceCents":15,"iy":812.9825650942889,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:10:27.982Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.4700397900277,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:15:27.925Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.2251597839672,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:30:28.674Z","priceCents":15,"iy":813.0368926136155,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:35:33.759Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.5168494014795,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:40:44.629Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.2784565309684,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:45:28.848Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.536125765832,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:50:49.423Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.2991850806467,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:25:27.842Z","priceCents":15,"iy":813.2926490403015,"cri":5.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 814%","7 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 5.7","illiquid (LAS 0.20)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 17c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-4750.00","marketTitle":"Will Ethereum reach above $4750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":17},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-3500.00","reason":"Will Ethereum reach above $3500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-3750.00","reason":"Will Ethereum reach above $3750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-4000.00","reason":"Will Ethereum reach above $4000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Ethereum%20reach%20above%20%244750.00%20by%20Jan%201%2C%202027%20at%2012%3A00AM","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":3845}